TimeWise Chronicles

Previews of 20 races across the cards at Monday afternoon’s meetings.

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13:46 Naas – IRONXCELL FOR ENERGY

  • Race Details: This is a 5f 205y race for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €10,200, run on Turf with Good-good to yielding in places going.
  • Pace Angles: A weak pace is forecast, suggesting a steadily-run race. This is expected to disadvantage front-runners like Letherfly and tactically favour hold-up runners such as Bonus Time and Shoney.
  • Draw Bias: There is no significant draw bias noted for this race.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • BONUS TIME (IRE): Considered Proven/Progressive. This lightly raced 3yo filly from the Twomey yard has shown improvement, finishing runner-up at Leopardstown and winning well at the Curragh. She holds the top Timeform Adjusted Rating (104p) and her strong Timefigure profile suggests 6f is ideal, with the weak pace suiting her late kick. She is on an upward curve and benefits from a strong trainer/jockey combination (26% mid-season strike rate).
    • KODILICIOUS (IRE): Her ground and trip are fine, but her form has dipped. First-time blinkers may spark a revival, but she is considered a gamble.
    • LETHERFLY (IRE): While better suited back at 6f, she faces layoff and form issues, and the weak pace is a tactical mismatch for her front-running style. She was beaten last time out after trading at less than half her starting Betfair SP.
    • ZUHEILA (IRE): She is on the up but will face more seasoned rivals, raising questions about her class at this level.
    • SHONEY (IRE): Although tactically suited by the pace, her recent runs have been disappointing, leaving questions to be answered.
    • HEAVEN’S WISH (IRE): This horse requires major improvement to be competitive.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • BONUS TIME – 11/10
    • KODILICIOUS – 4/1
    • ZUHEILA – 11/2
    • LETHERFLY – 13/2
    • SHONEY – 20/1
    • HEAVEN’S WISH – 50/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: BONUS TIME – Classy and progressive, with tactical and physical upside.
    • Each-Way Saver: None (due to the small field of 6 runners, which limits place terms).

14:00 Cork – FERMOY HANDICAP HURDLE

  • Race Details: This is a 2m 1f 20y Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of €8,700, run on Turf with Good going.
  • Pace Angles: A weak early pace is expected, likely suiting efficiently-ridden hold-up types, particularly Wholelotofbusiness. Prominent racers like Hasten Slowly risk setting unsustainable fractions.
  • Draw Bias: This is not applicable for hurdles races.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • WHOLELOTOFBUSINESS (IRE): Considered Promising/Progressive. An unexposed 6yo with only five hurdle runs, he significantly improved to finish second at Killarney and shaped well at Sligo. His energy-efficient running style (confirmed by FS% figures and Tfigs) makes him well-suited to a weak pace, allowing for a late surge. He has untapped upside at this trip.
    • DUNKERQUE (DEN): This horse is improving, though this particular contest is considered deeper.
    • SECRET ROCK (IRE): Well-treated on his Flat form, he could be primed for a strong performance here. He has shown improved form recently and shaped well at Newcastle.
    • AVALO (IRE): While showing some upside, he may need to find more to win this race. He won a maiden at Wexford.
    • FASCINATING SHADOW (IRE): Considered an interesting outsider, there’s a possibility of a bounce-back performance with reapplied cheekpieces and tongue-tie, and he appears well treated at his best.
    • HASTEN SLOWLY (IRE): Considered Exposed. She often races prominently but has previously burned out from similar positions. The expected weak pace is not favourable for her style, and with blinkers off, she is vulnerable to late finishers. She usually races close up.
    • CHAMPAGNE DAWN (IRE): Returns from a long layoff and showed a heavy defeat on her recent return.
    • JAKE PETER (IRE): Currently out of form and hard to trust.
    • CAPPA HILL (IRE): While honest, he is considered limited and exposed at this grade.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • WHOLELOTOFBUSINESS – 7/2
    • SECRET ROCK – 4/1
    • DUNKERQUE – 9/2
    • AVALO – 13/2
    • FASCINATING SHADOW – 8/1
    • HASTEN SLOWLY – 10/1
    • JAKE PETER – 14/1
    • CAPPA HILL – 16/1
    • CHAMPAGNE DAWN – 20/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: WHOLELOTOFBUSINESS – Unexposed, strong closer in a suitable pace scenario.
    • Each-Way Saver: FASCINATING SHADOW – Bounce back possible with cheekpieces/tongue tie combo.

14:10 Ripon

  • Note: The provided sources do not contain a race preview for the 14:10 Ripon race.

14:16 Naas – TASTE OF KILDARE AT NAAS RACECOURSE HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a 5f 205y Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €9,600, run on Turf with Good-good to yielding in places going.
  • Pace Angles: A strong early gallop is expected, with several committed front-runners. This will favour hold-up or energy-efficient midfield closers, as front-runners may be overcooked by halfway.
  • Draw Bias: There is no prominent or declared draw bias for this race. Strong closers from mid-to-high draws will be well positioned.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • LAUGH A MINUTE: Considered Proven. A C&D winner with a consistent course record, he usually bounces back from poor efforts. Well-treated on past marks and tactically suited to a pace collapse, he can race prominently or sit off the pace. He has a TFR of 103 and is improving.
    • TROPICAL RETREAT (IRE): Considered Progressive. This lightly raced 3yo had a smart Naas win recently. While he raced closer to the pace than ideal last time, he has scope to progress with better placement. He is tactically at risk if held too far back early.
    • SPARKLING SEA (IRE): Considered Promising. A quality filly returning from a listed effort, she previously went close at Navan and is a Naas maiden winner. She is still progressive, though the burning gallop might catch her out.
    • SATURN SEVEN (IRE): Considered Unexposed. She won well at the Curragh recently and was not beaten far last time despite being caught wide. A strong pace will suit her usual racing style, and she retains upside.
    • NEVER SHOUT NEVER: Considered Capable. A consistent handicapper with a midfield running style and a tongue tie back on. Her TFRs are solid, though slightly shy of winning standard, making her an each-way contender at double-figure odds.
    • GENESIS: Considered Solid. Often in the mix but rarely wins, she tends to travel well in strongly run races and could pick up pieces late, making her a sneaky frame player.
    • JON RIGGENS: He is classy but has been off form; he needs a resurgence.
    • BETSEN: She is regressing and is unlikely to be suited by the likely pace.
    • DANDYVILLE: She is past her best, and her running style is unsuited to this race.
    • MINT MAN: Reliable enough, but he lacks punch.
    • HEARTWARMER: Returns after a long break, making her unlikely to fire on her first outing.
    • JERED MADDOX: This horse is completely out of form.
    • DMANIAC: A midfield type, he doesn’t win much.
    • NOUVEL ESPOIR (IRE): His recent form is suspect, and his previous win looks flukey.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • LAUGH A MINUTE – 6/1
    • SPARKLING SEA – 13/2
    • TROPICAL RETREAT – 7/1
    • SATURN SEVEN – 9/1
    • NEVER SHOUT NEVER – 10/1
    • GENESIS – 11/1
    • JON RIGGENS – 12/1
    • MINT MAN – 14/1
    • DMANIAC – 14/1
    • BETSEN – 16/1
    • DANDYVILLE – 18/1
    • HEARTWARMER – 20/1
    • JERED MADDOX – 40/1
    • NOUVEL ESPOIR – 50/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: LAUGH A MINUTE – Best profile and proven over C&D in likely conditions.
    • Each-Way Saver: SATURN SEVEN – Still unexposed and race should fall into her lap.

14:23 Lingfield – GET RACEDAY READY HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 6 Handicap, 1m4f, for 4yo+ horses rated 0–55, run on AW (Standard).
  • Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, likely to compromise front-runners and favour energy-efficient closers. Multiple forward goers, including Knight Of Magic and Velvet Vulcan, are expected to force the pace.
  • Draw Bias: There is a bias against low draws (1–3), with mid-to-high draws preferred due to the strong pace.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • KNIGHT OF MAGIC (IRE): Considered Progressive. He returned with a strong third at Yarmouth off a break, justifying market support. He fared best of the hold-up horses, suggesting solid form. Returns to AW with an ideal pace setup and is drawn wide, which suits. Trainer James Owen has a 20% strike rate with 10f+ runners. He looks well handicapped off 46.
    • FRAVANCO: Considered Proven/Stayer. He stays well and is best on synthetic tracks. He achieved a career-best effort when second at Lingfield over 10f, racing prominently. While there’s a slight stamina query at 1m4f at full intensity, the strong pace could help if he drops in behind. He is respected with ideal track and surface conditions.
    • THIS TIME MAYBE: She shows good recent form, but her pace profile is a worry.
    • BALGOWAN (IRE): He is honest but needs conditions to fall right tactically. He traded at less than half his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time.
    • HONRADO: A recent winner, he could bounce back, and he is well drawn.
    • SMOKEY MALONE: He carries a hold-up risk, is better on polytrack, and lacks punch.
    • MISS DUBAI: She has a chance based on earlier Lingfield form but is considered a risky type.
    • ARENAS DEL TIEMPO: While she has the stamina, she lacks a finishing kick.
    • DEVIZES (IRE): An old-timer with a solid profile, but his form is dipping.
    • VELVET VULCAN: His aggressive style could be punished by the strong pace.
    • MYBAD (IRE): He has a poor strike rate and no recent promise.
    • NEVENDON: A modest chaser, his Flat form is unreliable.
    • STILETTO: This horse is considered non-runner material unless significant money arrives.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • KNIGHT OF MAGIC – 7/2
    • FRAVANCO – 9/2
    • THIS TIME MAYBE – 5/1
    • BALGOWAN – 7/1
    • HONRADO – 8/1
    • SMOKEY MALONE – 10/1
    • MISS DUBAI – 12/1
    • ARENAS DEL TIEMPO – 14/1
    • DEVIZES – 14/1
    • VELVET VULCAN – 20/1
    • NEVENDON – 25/1
    • MYBAD – 33/1
    • STILETTO – 40/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: KNIGHT OF MAGIC – Unexposed, perfect setup, trainer in form.
    • Each-Way Saver: FRAVANCO – Reliable Lingfield type, drawn well.

14:30 Cork – FOLLOW US ON INSTAGRAM HANDICAP HURDLE (Div I)

  • Race Details: This is a 0–100 Handicap Hurdle, 2m1f20y, for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,000, run on good ground.
  • Pace Angles: A Very Strong pace is forecast, with numerous habitual front-runners and prominent types. This setup is likely to undermine those forcing the issue early and favour late closers or energy-efficient midfield travellers.
  • Draw Bias: Cork’s hurdles track generally favours well-positioned stalkers on good ground, with inside early being modestly advantageous, but there is minimal draw impact.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • VALE OF GLORY (IRE): Considered Proven. He comes into this race after a clear form resurgence, finishing a strong second at this track (a personal best TFR 101+, Adj 108+). While his prominent style is a risk given the pace, he has shown tractability and is well in off 98, still rated to win.
    • PAMPAR LADY (IRE): Considered Proven. She is consistently performing at this grade, finishing second last time with solid late gains. Her best efforts come when held up, which suits today’s tempo. Although still winless after 13 attempts, she rates a danger on form and race shape.
    • GETAWAY HENRY (IRE): He is a fit improver with solid back-form. He was beaten last time after trading at less than 50% of his starting Betfair SP.
    • SHE’S ON LINE (IRE): A lively outsider, she performs better when held up.
    • HOLLOW SPARK (IRE): Considered Proven. She has winning form off similar marks and can bounce back despite her last run. While a prominent type, she is not a tearaway, so a tactical ride will be needed.
    • MILESFROMTHEHONK (IRE): Considered Promising. Lightly raced with signs of ability from his Flat pedigree, he has shaped as a stayer. He could improve now handicapping but is not well drawn for a hold-up ride and needs to settle to finish effectively.
    • BEARAMI CREEK (IRE): Considered a Pace-Favoured Type. While modest on form, she is one of the few hold-up types, and if ridden cold, this could play to her strengths, offering value in exotic bets.
    • TASMANIAN GIRL (IRE): She runs in patches and is sometimes outclassed.
    • MARALINGA (IRE): Flat-bred, she might improve for the trip.
    • AMRON DIAMOND (IRE): Her stamina is suspect, and she shows weak finishing.
    • TEA IT IS (IRE): A risky jumper, but the race shape might help her.
    • HE WHO DARES (IRE): There is no evidence of ability from this horse.
    • KATZOFF (IRE): Shows poor chase/hurdle form.
    • SAYITFIRST (IRE): His run-style is vulnerable in this race.
    • TEAGARDEN JAZZ: She has regressed in form.
    • SUPERVALUE PARK (IRE): He has shown no promise yet.
    • MET OFFICE (IRE): A non-stayer, he is uncompetitive.
    • METEOR STORM: He is considered out of his depth.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • VALE OF GLORY – 5/1
    • PAMPAR LADY – 11/2
    • GETAWAY HENRY – 6/1
    • SHE’S ON LINE – 9/1
    • HOLLOW SPARK – 10/1
    • MILESFROMTHEHONK – 12/1
    • BEARAMI CREEK – 14/1
    • TASMANIAN GIRL – 16/1
    • MARALINGA – 20/1
    • TEA IT IS – 20/1
    • Others – 25/1 bar
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: VALE OF GLORY – Good course run last time, still well handicapped.
    • Each-Way Saver: PAMPAR LADY – Solid recent form and tactically well positioned.

14:46 Naas – JOIN US FOR HURLING FOR CANCER RESEARCH SUPPORTED BY CENTRA APPRENTICE HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a 5f 205y Apprentice Handicap (0–60), for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,000, run on Turf with Good to Yielding going. There are 17 declared runners.
  • Pace Angles: A Strong pace is forecast, with pace-forcers like Sunday Sovereign and An Laochmor expected to ensure a genuine gallop. This could compromise front-runners and favour midfield/hold-up types.
  • Draw Bias: Historically, Naas sprints on this going offer no significant bias, but middle-to-high draws are marginally favoured when pace collapses late.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • LISMACBRYAN HILL (IRE): Considered Proven & Progressive. She has shown solid recent efforts over 6f. Blinkers are now applied for the first time, and a return to Naas suits her. Her profile fits a “go day” with consistent FS% and fair Tfigs, and her stamina can handle a strong pace. Well drawn (middle) as a stalker, she is expected to be delivered late.
    • NORDIC PASSAGE (IRE): Considered Proven & Rejuvenated. He possesses a class edge based on past ratings and signalled a return to form with eye-catching late gains at Cork. He is well-handicapped on older form and could take advantage if the pace collapses. His jockey is effective in these races, and prominent placing is likely with luck.
    • SUNDAY SOVEREIGN: Considered Regressive but Capable. A front-runner with speed, but he may get softened up by early duels. His recent Naas third showed ability, but he lacks stamina reserves when the pace is furious. He needs everything to go right from a potentially tricky low draw. He has returned in good heart.
    • ANNIE LAVINIA (IRE): An Interesting Outsider. She has shown flashes of form over 5f/6f at this level and has handled Naas before. She gets in light and can sit mid-division; the shape of the race could suit her. Her jockey-trainer combination has had previous success in similar grades.
    • HASTILY: A profiled Each-Way Play. She bounced back with a gritty 6f Cork success and is versatile and tactically smart. A step back to a slightly shorter trip is no issue if the race becomes attritional, and she could be staying on late if others fade.
    • WHATSWRONGNOW (IRE): Conditions suit this hold-up type, and he has some finishing potential.
    • DINAMINE (IRE): She is likely better over further, but is not entirely out of it.
    • Other runners are rated ≤5/10, appearing regressive or pace-compromised.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • LISMACBRYAN HILL – 6/1
    • NORDIC PASSAGE – 13/2
    • SUNDAY SOVEREIGN – 15/2
    • HASTILY – 9/1
    • ANNIE LAVINIA – 12/1
    • Field (Others) – 14/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: LISMACBRYAN HILL – On the upgrade, should relish strong tempo and blinkers.
    • Each-Way Saver: HASTILY – Battle-hardened type with recent form; will be finishing.

14:53 Lingfield – DOWNLOAD THE RACEDAY READY APP HANDICAP (Div I)

  • Race Details: This is a Class 6 Handicap, 1m 1y, for 4yo+ horses rated 0-55, run on AW (Standard). There are 10 declared runners.
  • Pace Angles: A weak pace is forecast, with little natural pace in the field, suggesting it could become tactical. This tempo is expected to assist Invincible Navy over Vitalline.
  • Draw Bias: There is a historical bias against low draws over this trip on the AW, with mid-to-wide draws preferred, especially if there is a slow early pace.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • INVINCIBLE NAVY (IRE): Considered Promising (Stable Switch Angle). While still a maiden, he is now with the James Owen yard, known for an excellent record with new recruits from basement marks. He benefits from a positive move to a visor and showed encouraging form in May under similar conditions. His mid-field run style is well-suited to the weak pace, suggesting he could improve sharply.
    • VITALLINE: Considered Proven but Risky (Hold-up Type). He won here in June but missed the break. Despite this, he managed to get up late over 7f. While wide-drawn, Rossa Ryan takes over, which could be a positive booking, and he is not ruled out if he starts smartly. His slow starts are a concern.
    • ANTICIPATING: He is honest, but his wide draw and the weak pace scenario are not ideal for him.
    • AL SHABAB (FR): He has potential for an upswing from his new yard; market movements may provide more information. He is a stable-switcher.
    • THUNDERING BREEZE (IRE): Considered a Blinkered Maiden. She has a slightly regressive profile but shaped well enough at Kempton after a long layoff. Down in grade, 1m seems more suitable, and cheekpieces are retained. She needs to find more but could sneak a place.
    • TASKHEER (IRE): Generally inconsistent, but he can travel well off a weak pace.
    • ROYAL JET: He is a risky choice, but a small turnaround is possible with a drop in trip. He was beaten last time out after trading at less than 50% of his starting Betfair SP.
    • SO CHIC (IRE) / FORMAL ADDRESS / SIR PATCHY: These horses show limited recent form or have major profile negatives.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • INVINCIBLE NAVY – 3/1
    • VITALLINE – 4/1
    • ANTICIPATING – 11/2
    • THUNDERING BREEZE – 7/1
    • AL SHABAB – 15/2
    • Others – 10/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: INVINCIBLE NAVY – Strong case on switch to yard that excels with this type.
    • Each-Way Saver: AL SHABAB – Profile and draw could allow a prominent ride to hold for a place.

15:00 Cork – FOLLOW US ON INSTAGRAM HANDICAP HURDLE (Div II)

  • Race Details: This is a 2m 1f 20y Handicap Hurdle (0–100) for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,000, run on Turf with Good going. There are 18 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A Slow-to-steady early pace is expected, setting the race up ideally for strong-closing, stamina-rich types. Hold-up horses are favoured over front-running gallopers if the pace remains subdued. Cottage Artist should be better positioned than That’s All.
  • Draw Bias: Not applicable over hurdles. Cork’s hurdles track generally favours well-positioned stalkers on good ground; inside early is modestly advantageous, but there is minimal draw impact.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • THAT’S ALL (IRE): Considered a Leading Contender. She broke her maiden at Kilbeggan recently with a polished staying effort, staying on strongly to lead late. This effort followed a promising near-miss in this division last year. She is expected to improve and is considered top of the list, being fit for the likely race setup.
    • ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE (IRE): Considered a Solid Chase Return to Hurdles. She showed strong form when second over fences and has a consistent marathon profile. Back hurdling on a stronger mark, but the pace setup and trip could suit. She is a capable place contender and a strong finisher.
    • NAVY WAVES (IRE): Considered a Consistent Each-Way Threat. She was in form over this distance last term, and a recent run over much further suggests her stamina is intact. A mid-field hold-up type, she is well-suited to a slow pace and is likely to pick up late ground.
    • SMALL BUCKS (IRE): Potentially overpriced given recent placed form, capable of picking off late faded leaders. He shaped well but may be outpaced late.
    • BANNOW BLAZE (IRE): Lightly raced, he now has first-time cheekpieces applied, and improvement is possible. He is an unexposed type with tactical upside.
    • HOPE SHE FLIES (IRE): She is a stable switcher dropping in grade. While limited, she is an interesting possibility for a big market move if supported. She traded at 25% or less of her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
    • THE BORDER BOY (IRE) / SURVIVING MURMANSK (IRE) / CHAPTER THIRTY (IRE): These are longshots likely to struggle but may offer frame value if others falter.
    • TEDWORTH (IRE): He has shown little promise in bumpers/maiden hurdles.
    • NIOSFEARABOLT (IRE): He has shown little in maiden/handicap hurdles.
    • RIDEAU CANAL (IRE): He is a poor maiden handicap hurdler.
    • DONTGOWITHJOE (IRE): He showed fair form in maidens on the Flat but was tailed off on his handicap debut.
    • KENTUCKY BLUEBIRD (IRE): She shows poor form over hurdles and was well held on her handicap debut.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • THAT’S ALL – 9/2
    • ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE – 6/1
    • NAVY WAVES – 13/2
    • SMALL BUCKS – 8/1
    • BANNOW BLAZE – 10/1
    • HOPE SHE FLIES – 12/1
    • Others – 16/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Bet: THAT’S ALL – Strong last-time figure, ideal setup.
    • Each-Way Saver: ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE – Will be finishing well and thrives at this level.

15:10 Ripon – WEATHERBYS BLOODSTOCK PRO FILLIES’ HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 5, 5f Handicap for 3yo+ fillies, with a prize of £4,711, run on Turf with Good (Good to Firm in places) going. There are 8 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast. The forecast of a strong pace shouldn’t detract from the chances of Cheerleader while advancing those of Radio Star (IRE). Prominent racers are normally favoured anyway at this track and trip.
  • Draw Bias: There is no significant draw bias (N/A).
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • TIVA (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. She is progressive and has been a model of consistency with four placed efforts before a slight disappointment at York. She is particularly effective when held up just off a good pace, and the predicted strong gallop suits her ideally. She has run to an 82 Timeform Adjusted Rating twice in July and retains jockey Tudhope and the visor/tongue tie.
    • RADIO STAR (IRE): Considered Promising. Still a maiden, but shaping well in competitive sprints. Her Doncaster third was solid, and her Chester effort was better than it looked. With a likely strong pace, her late kick should be better deployed here.
    • CHEERLEADER: Considered Proven. A dual winner earlier in the summer at this trip, including a strong front-running Catterick win. While her form has slightly dropped, a return to a front-friendly Ripon track and a suitable pace map suggest a rebound is possible. She is considered a viable each-way play.
    • MARAJITO: Considered a Main Danger. Proven. Her Redcar win confirmed her ability to take advantage when conditions are right. She handles fast ground, shows her best form at 5f, and her trainer Tim Easterby is in hot form. She will need to avoid a pace collapse and usually leads.
    • PROFITABLE EDGE (IRE): Considered Regressive. Her 2024 form shows she once had the tools for this grade, but her 2025 runs have lacked spark, and her Timefigures are plateauing. She still races prominently, which could be a plus if she bounces back.
    • TWO SHOES (IRE): Considered an Interesting Outsider. She is unproven. Poorly positioned last time, her first-time visor is retained. Drawn wide, she could improve if she gets a tow into the race, and she might offer value if attracting late support.
    • GLORIOUS KITTY (IRE): Considered Exposed. She lacks recent spark but has hinted at ability at this trip, with excuses for her last run. Her trainer’s yard occasionally produces unexpected winners.
    • BACK BEFORE DARK: She needs a resurgence after two poor runs following a break.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • TIVA (IRE) – 3/1
    • RADIO STAR – 7/2
    • CHEERLEADER – 5/1
    • MARAJITO – 11/2
    • PROFITABLE EDGE – 10/1
    • TWO SHOES – 12/1
    • GLORIOUS KITTY – 16/1
    • BACK BEFORE DARK – 25/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: TIVA (IRE) – consistent, well drawn, pace scenario ideal, and retains Tudhope.
    • Each-Way Saver: CHEERLEADER – front-runner with course pace edge; potential to control the race if she breaks sharply.

15:16 Naas – CURRAGH TO CURRAGH CYCLE ON 30th AUGUST HANDICAP (Div I)

  • Race Details: This is a 7f Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,900, run on Turf with Good-good to yielding in places going. There are 18 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A very strong pace is forecast, which significantly boosts the prospects of hold-up or midfield closers. Front-runners such as Ferrybank, Goldsmith, Bearwithus, and Are You In Or Out risk getting drawn into a collapse.
  • Draw Bias: There is no explicit draw bias reported at Naas over this trip, but given the pace, middle to wide draws may benefit late runners with cover.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • GOLDSMITH (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. He surged home from the rear for second at Naas under a 7lb claimer, and with Seamie Heffernan now booked and returning to the same trip/track under similar ground, he looks a major player, especially as the race shape will suit his late kick. He is very well suited to the race shape and track, showing a big figure recently, and benefits from exaggerated waiting tactics.
    • ROSATO (IRE): Considered Progressive. She is up 14lb for three wins in her last six starts, including a Naas 6f success last time. She has shown she can sit off a hot pace and pounce late. The track and ground hold no fears, and she is only 4.
    • RISING SKY (IRE): She has an improving profile and shows sharp late pace. She traded at less than half her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out. She benefits from exaggerated waiting tactics and is considered an each-way option, drawn to stay covered up and travel into a strong pace.
    • SECRET MAGICIAN (IRE): Considered Proven. He won this race last year and remains capable despite a below-par effort last time, making him a contender if bouncing back.
    • PORT LOUIS (IRE): Considered Proven. He maintains steady form in big handicaps. While drawn wide, he travels well and can finish strong late. A slight stamina edge over 8f helps if the race collapses up front, and he is an honest handicapper who handles field size and conditions.
    • CECCO (USA): Considered an Interesting Outsider. He is unexposed. Coming here after a 90-day break and gelding operation, his Cork maiden form suggests ability, and he is drawn to track the leaders from stall 4. He is lightly raced, and though a big field is a question, he is not dismissed.
    • FERRYBANK: His form is solid, but he is badly served by the likely pace collapse. The predicted strong pace means he is unlikely to be as well served as Goldsmith, and he risks being undone by going too hard on the front.
    • DYNAMIC FORCE (IRE): He is out of form but has past form that reads well if he bounces back.
    • MARTINELLI (IRE): He may improve in first-time blinkers, and his trainer has a profitable record in this setup.
    • ARE YOU IN OR OUT (IRE): A consistent type, but she is up a chunk in the weights now.
    • PROLEEK PRINCE (IRE): A fairly useful handicapper, he hinted at a revival last time.
    • CLEVER AND CLASSY (IRE): A fair handicapper, she won at Roscommon but tailed off last time. She usually fronts or races prominently.
    • VERHOYEN: He showed good form when second at Fairyhouse recently.
    • BEARWITHUS (IRE): A fair handicapper, he finished second at Roscommon in May.
    • SPENT ALL ME MONEY (IRE): A fair handicapper, he finished fourth at the Curragh in May.
    • TOUTED PLAN (IRE): Considered Under the Radar. His best efforts have come from midfield or held up. With the right race shape, she is a potential late player from stall 9.
    • GREAT MOVER (IRE): He is a modest maiden.
    • EXPERT ANALYSIS (IRE): He is a modest maiden and was well held last time.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • GOLDSMITH – 11/2
    • ROSATO – 6/1
    • RISING SKY – 15/2
    • SECRET MAGICIAN – 8/1
    • PORT LOUIS – 9/1
    • CECCO – 14/1
    • FERRYBANK – 14/1
    • DYNAMIC FORCE – 18/1
    • OTHERS – 20/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: GOLDSMITH (IRE) – well handicapped, Heffernan booked, strong pace ideal.
    • Each-Way Saver: RISING SKY (IRE) – shaping better than form, well positioned, still improving.

15:23 Lingfield – DOWNLOAD THE RACEDAY READY APP HANDICAP (Div II)

  • Race Details: This is a Class 6 Handicap, 1m 1y, for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of £4,711, run on Lingfield AW (Standard). There are 9 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A very weak pace is forecast, with the race lacking natural leaders, which favours those who can race handily. Horses with early tactical speed and mid-to-wide draws are best placed. Alyara should be better positioned than Beautiful Dawn.
  • Draw Bias: Low draws are disadvantaged over this trip on Lingfield’s turning polytrack; wide/mid draws are preferred.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • RETRACTION (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Progressive. He is lightly raced this year and shaped well on reappearance when third at Wolverhampton after six months off, despite being denied a clear run. Sectionals suggest his effort can be upgraded. He should be able to sit handy in a race devoid of pace, and the Carr yard is currently red-hot.
    • STAR OF ST LOUIS (FR): Considered Proven. Absent for 508 days, he landed a minor event impressively in March 2024 and has proven ability on this surface. He has a strong stamina profile and is tactically adaptable, though market watch is essential due to his long absence. He could represent value if strong in the betting despite his layoff.
    • VELVET VORTEX: Considered a Main Danger. Unexposed. He may not have stayed the mile last time. He is likely to get a better tow today and could go forward from a middle stall. His light campaign suggests connections still have hopes for him, and he is a speculative each-way option.
    • SEMSER: Considered Exposed. Often tricky, but capable of hitting the frame in this grade. He tends to pull early and gets behind, and the lack of pace may see him outpaced again. He tends to be ridden quietly and risks being caught out by the slow gallop and tactical nature.
    • BEAUTIFUL DAWN (IRE): Her trainer switch is interesting, but she needs a pace collapse to factor. She tends to be ridden quietly and risks being caught out by the slow gallop and tactical nature.
    • ALYARA: She shows poor form but is ideally placed given the pace and draw combination.
    • CELTIC JOHN (IRE): He needs to bounce back, though his racing style may help if he is sharper today.
    • CAPALLCLISTE (IRE): He stays, but lacks a turn of foot, making him a midfield stayer in a weak field.
    • REEL POWER: He is very out of form, making him hard to recommend after a long break.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • RETRACTION – 5/2
    • STAR OF ST LOUIS – 4/1
    • VELVET VORTEX – 5/1
    • SEMSER – 6/1
    • BEAUTIFUL DAWN – 13/2
    • ALYARA – 12/1
    • CAPALLCLISTE – 14/1
    • CELTIC JOHN – 16/1
    • REEL POWER – 33/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: RETRACTION (IRE) – well-handicapped, sharp return last time, no pace problem.
    • Each-Way Saver: VELVET VORTEX – ideally drawn, lightly raced, could go forward in weak field.

15:40 Ripon – WILMOT-SMITH MEMORIAL HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 3, 6f Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of £9,277, run on Turf with Good (Good to Firm in places) going. There are 12 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, with several prominent types expected to set the fractions. Hold-up horses are generally disadvantaged at this trip here. Kodiac Thriller (IRE) is unlikely to be vulnerable to Another Investment (IRE) due to the strong pace.
  • Draw Bias: There is no pronounced bias reported; however, prominent racers are traditionally favoured at Ripon over 6f.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • KODIAC THRILLER (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. A consistent front-runner with several strong in-frame efforts this summer, showing solid sectionals and a favourable pace map. He races prominently and should avoid a pace collapse. He is a front-running specialist with strong form who must hold unless exposed.
    • ANOTHER INVESTMENT (IRE): Considered Proven. He is likely to be among the pace-setters and should be able to control from the front. He handles Ripon well and should not be bullied out of the lead despite the strong pace. He thrives on getting the pace, and the track/race shape suits him.
    • MISTER SOX: Considered Progressive. His Time-figure readings understate his finishing ability. His pace map marks him just off the pace, likely to take advantage when leaders tire. He is improving, has placed at this trip before, and possesses good finishing speed. However, he relies on a strong pace and late gaps, so he may be vulnerable if the front stays intact. He is a strong finisher with place claims if the pace collapses.
    • FIRST FOLIO: Considered a Main Danger. Proven. Typically held up, he closes very strongly when the tempo breaks down. The pace forecast suits his deep-running style, though he needs gaps late. He is a strong finisher who needs a race collapse to be most effective. In a big field with a strong pace scenario, he has place interest under each-way terms.
    • FORTAMOUR (IRE): Considered Proven. He was last year’s winner and is among a shortlist of front-runners here again. He is likely to race prominently and stay all the way with a clear gallop, though he may not be fast enough off a high mark.
    • EYE OF DUBAI: Considered an Interesting Outsider. Promising. He was beaten last time when heavily backed, suggesting support despite a poor showing. As a prominent type, the tactical race shape should suit if he fully recovers. His form is patchy, so he needs to bounce back.
    • GRANT WOOD (IRE): Considered Proven. A consistent performer, his map suggests he’ll race mid-pack, able to pounce as the leaders tire. He is consistent in this band, with pace and positioning being key.
    • MISTER SKETCH: He is a fairly useful handicapper.
    • WESTMORIAN: A useful handicapper, he recorded a hat-trick between March and April.
    • ARCHDUKE FERDINAND (IRE): He is a useful handicapper.
    • MANDURAH (IRE): Simon & Ed Crisford have a 26% strike rate with handicap debutants.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • KODIAC THRILLER (IRE) – 7/1
    • ANOTHER INVESTMENT (IRE) – 7/1
    • MISTER SOX – 8/1
    • FIRST FOLIO – 8/1
    • FORTAMOUR – 9/1
    • EYE OF DUBAI – 10/1
    • GRANT WOOD (IRE) – 11/1
    • Others – 14/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: KODIAC THRILLER (IRE) – front-running specialist, strong form, and must hold unless exposed.
    • Each-Way Saver: MISTER SOX – improving, well drawn, finishing style fits strong pace scenario.

15:46 Naas – CURRAGH TO CURRAGH CYCLE ON 30th AUGUST HANDICAP (Div II)

  • Race Details: This is a 7f Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,900, run on Turf with Good-good to yielding in places going. There are 18 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A strong pace is expected, with multiple mid-to-high energy profile (EPF 1–2) runners likely to ensure an honest gallop. This suggests that front-runners such as Lady Pagasa, Free Solo, Gordon Bennett, and Purring Along could be drawn into a collapse. The strong pace should not shift the advantage away from Free Solo (IRE) and towards Gordon Bennett (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: There is no strong bias evident. Naas’ 7f is relatively fair, but wide-drawn closers often need luck.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • GORDON BENNETT (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. A C&D winner who shaped better than the result at Naas recently when poorly placed. He is well suited to a strong pace and has Timeform TFR upside (77). He will be finishing strongly, as the pace here plays into his hands. He acts on all ground, finishes fast, and the track and trip suit him ideally. He is a reliable closer with peak figures.
    • FREE SOLO (IRE): Considered Proven. He is no mug on the figures (TFR 78) and won impressively at the Curragh earlier in the summer. He is well drawn, tactically versatile, and returning to his favoured 7f. His form is holding up, and he is consistent.
    • STAR MIND: Considered Progressive. She ran well over an inadequate trip at Tramore and is now back to her optimum distance. Her EPF and pace map suggest she can track early speed and pounce late. She is a strong finisher who should get a good pace to aim at, offering each-way value.
    • SHE’S SMART (IRE): Considered a Main Danger. Proven. Up in the weights after her Limerick win (TFR 77), but she races handily and arrives in peak form. Her form has been franked, and she is likely to be involved again, with her prominent type fitting the race shape.
    • SEND HARRY (IRE): Considered Promising. He has shown a marked upgrade in recent runs, is tactically versatile, and is capable of taking a step forward if given a smoother passage. He is on an upward curve and is dangerous to dismiss from a low draw.
    • WHITE CLOVER (IRE): Considered an Interesting Outsider. Proven. She won nicely at Listowel in June. She needs to bounce back after three poor runs, but the pace angle suits her, and her prominent style is a positive. She usually fronts or races prominently.
    • LOVELY (IRE): Considered Lightly raced. She has a slightly quirky head carriage but possesses talent. While her profile is inconsistent, conditions are ideal, and she has ability on her day.
    • PAUSE FOR PEACE (IRE): A Hold-Up Risk Type. She is a hold-up horse drawn wide and will need everything to fall right, with trouble finding a run likely.
    • BLUEBELARDO (IRE): A Hold-Up Risk Type. She is a hold-up horse drawn wide and will need everything to fall right, with trouble finding a run likely.
    • PINBALL WIZARD (IRE): Included in “Others”.
    • RACING ROYALTY: Included in “Others”.
    • SHELBOURNE (IRE): Included in “Others”.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • GORDON BENNETT (IRE) – 5/1
    • FREE SOLO (IRE) – 6/1
    • STAR MIND – 13/2
    • SHE’S SMART (IRE) – 7/1
    • SEND HARRY (IRE) – 9/1
    • WHITE CLOVER (IRE) – 12/1
    • LOVELY (IRE) – 14/1
    • Others – 16/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: GORDON BENNETT (IRE) – reliable closer, track record, peak figures.
    • Each-Way Saver: STAR MIND – trip ideal, likely strong tempo makes her interesting at a price.

16:10 Ripon – TEDDY BEARS’ PICNIC FAMILY DAY HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 4, 1m 1f 170y Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of £6,281, run on Turf with Good (Good to Firm in places) going. There are 6 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A very weak pace is forecast, playing into the hands of prominent racers. Dawn Of Liberation (EPF 1.9) and Thats My Boy Luke (EPF 1.9) are expected to race handily and benefit. Dawn Of Liberation ought to be better placed than Pebble Island.
  • Draw Bias: There is no meaningful draw bias at Ripon over this intermediate trip.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • DAWN OF LIBERATION (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. A strong, well-made gelding who is well-handicapped following a close second at Pontefract in a better race. As a prominent racer in a slow-run event, he thrives with these tactics and was visually upgraded last time. He has C&D credentials and is tactically best positioned here. He is the tactically best placed, proven at the trip, and in peak form.
    • SPIORADALTA: Considered Proven. He returns to Ripon where he won in May, and his recent placed efforts at Ayr and Beverley have been respectable, albeit with freshness issues (pulled hard). The trip is ideal, but his hold-up style is a slight tactical negative here. He is a C&D scorer in form and will go close if the pace collapses.
    • POET’S DAWN: Considered a Main Danger. Proven. A C&D specialist, his most recent run was a dead heat where he was well positioned. He faces better rivals today and will need pace help, but he is in-form and ultra-consistent at this level. He may be outpaced mid-race in a tactical heat. He traded at least twice his starting Betfair SP when successful last time.
    • MUDAMER (IRE): Considered Proven. Another Ripon regular with a good base level of form. He is still above his last winning mark but has run consistently and can sit close enough to take advantage if things fall right. He is solid but not leniently treated, needing others to underperform.
    • THATS MY BOY LUKE: Considered an Interesting Outsider. Promising. Still lightly raced for this yard, he comes out well at the weights on form two starts back. He ran poorly at Newmarket, but the ground/track didn’t suit. Expect better here from a prominent spot. He has upside if bouncing back and will be well placed tactically.
    • PEBBLE ISLAND: Considered Promising but Unexposed. There isn’t much depth to his current form, and it’s a stiff ask off 74 in open-age company after a poor showing on handicap debut. He needs to prove he stays and settles. He is still raw and could run into one or two better-handicapped sorts.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • DAWN OF LIBERATION – 11/4
    • SPIORADALTA – 3/1
    • POET’S DAWN – 4/1
    • MUDAMER – 11/2
    • THAT’S MY BOY LUKE – 13/2
    • PEBBLE ISLAND – 12/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win Selection: DAWN OF LIBERATION (IRE) – tactically best placed, proven at trip, peak form.
    • Each-Way Saver: SPIORADALTA – C&D scorer in form, will go close if pace collapses.

16:23 Lingfield – DOWNLOAD THE RACECOURSE APP RACEDAY READY HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 6, 6f Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of £3,454, run on Turf with Good (Good to Soft in places) going. There are 12 runners.
  • Pace Angles: This contest should be run at a strong pace, with multiple pace pressers (notably Fai Fai, Dark Sorceress, Big Bard, and Mollymook). This should set the race up for a finisher. Hold-up types usually need plenty going for them at this trip here.
  • Draw Bias: Historically, Lingfield’s 6f on turf shows a bias towards higher draws in strongly-run races, with inside drawn hold-up types often finding trouble in running.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • ROMAN SPRING: Considered a Strongest Contender. He was narrowly denied by Mary of Modena over C&D last time but is 3lb better off and now drawn 8 (versus 11 last time). He has shown consistent form in 2025 and is proven on this course and surface. Positional advantage combined with the strong pace forecast bodes well for his style.
    • BRUNEL CHARM: Considered a Main Danger. A two-time AW winner earlier in the year, he ran a strong race to be third here last time. His draw (10) is a positive, and his prominent style should see him track the leaders ideally before striking late. He is proven and well-handicapped, and shaped like the run would bring him on last time.
    • HINT OF HUMOUR: Considered a Hold-up Risk. Potentially still ahead of her mark, but draw 12 and a tendency to race prominently could see her caught in a wide trip. She is still lightly raced and unexposed at 6f, making her risky but not dismissed. She was turned over last time after trading at less than 50% of her Betfair SP.
    • BIG BARD: He has solid form, but a low draw limits confidence.
    • MARY OF MODENA: She is in form, but now worse off at the weights, making her vulnerable to pace closers.
    • RUSHEEN BOY: He is on a downturn after his win and needs softer early sectionals.
    • RUMBA BAY: A battler, she has won three times in 2025 but is possibly regressing.
    • STALINGRAD: Hard to catch right, and drawn low, he will need a pace collapse.
    • DARK SORCERESS: She has lost her form, and her headgear has been removed.
    • MOLLYMOOK: Still learning, others are more convincing.
    • FAI FAI: She struggles to finish her races off and is exposed.
    • ARLECCHINO’S GIFT: Hard to fancy on recent form.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • ROMAN SPRING – 3/1
    • BRUNEL CHARM – 5/1
    • BIG BARD – 6/1
    • MARY OF MODENA – 6/1
    • HINT OF HUMOUR – 10/1
    • RUSHEEN BOY – 12/1
    • RUMBA BAY – 14/1
    • Others – 16/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: ROMAN SPRING.
    • Each-Way Saver: BRUNEL CHARM (only if 4 places or more offered).

16:30 Cork – KANTURK HANDICAP HURDLE

  • Race Details: This is a 2m 2f 100y Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of €6,900, run on Turf with Good going. There are 13 runners.
  • Pace Angles: An even pace is forecast. Sharetheknowledge (EPF 1.0) is best suited to dictate or race prominently. The evenly run race is less suitable for deeper closers like Smiling Bess (EPF 5.0). Sharetheknowledge (IRE) has a good chance of trading much shorter than his Betfair SP.
  • Draw Bias: This is not applicable for hurdles races.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. A front-runner with a strong tactical edge and improved figures this season. Just touched off at Clonmel (118+) and ran with credit again at Limerick. He is well-treated off 100 and races prominently. Drawn to dictate and backed to go shorter than BSP, making this an ideal setup.
    • WARM IN GOREY (IRE): Considered Proven on form; however, there is a slight tactical compromise if he is dropped in.
    • YOUNG LUCY (IRE): The ground suits her, but her fitness and hold-up style are a minor concern. She would be a threat if she lines up for this engagement.
    • SMACKWATER JACK (IRE): He returns quickly and is a genuine sort, better at slightly longer trips. He is in-form and a value proposition with ideal conditions.
    • SEEITOLDYA: Considered an Interesting Outsider. Promising. A handicap debutant, he is bred to improve now upped in trip. He has been shaping like a stayer, and any market support would be significant as this is his first time in a truly winnable race. He is unexposed with stamina pedigree and a strong candidate to improve.
    • SMILING BESS (IRE): Considered Proven. Her form from last summer is strong, but a long layoff is a red flag. Her style is not suited by the even pace, and her tendency to idle late is a worry. She lacks a recent run.
    • ASK THE BOOKIE (IRE): His profile is uninspiring, and he has been held by several recent rivals.
    • DUKE OTTO (IRE): A fair handicap hurdler, he ran up to his best when finishing third at Clonmel in May.
    • RUT DANIELS (IRE): A useful handicapper, he won a handicap hurdle at Limerick in November.
    • CATHRYNS RUBY (IRE): She is a fair maiden hurdler.
    • ANSWERING (IRE): She is a fair maiden hurdler.
    • SEA ROAD FILL (IRE): A maiden hurdler, she was well held in her last handicap outing.
    • RHYTHMIC TUNE (IRE): A fair handicapper, he finished second at Kilbeggan in July.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE – 4/1
    • WARM IN GOREY – 5/1
    • YOUNG LUCY – 6/1
    • SMACKWATER JACK – 7/1
    • SEEITOLDYA – 15/2
    • SMILING BESS – 10/1
    • Others – 14/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE.
    • Each-Way Saver: SEEITOLDYA (especially if 4 places offered).

16:40 Ripon – BOWEL CANCER SCREENING SAVES LIVES HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 6, 1m Handicap for 3yo horses, with a prize of £3,664, rated 0–65. There are 8 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A very weak pace is forecast, suiting those with tactical speed or who can control matters up front. Weegeebear and Groundhog are best positioned to capitalise from prominent racing. Shielas Well and Precious Spartan, drawn inside, may be shuffled back or lack tactical edge.
  • Draw Bias: There is no notable draw bias over 1m at Ripon in small-field 3yo races, but high-drawn hold-up horses can struggle in slowly-run races.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • GROUNDHOG: Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. He has shown improved form this season with two runner-up finishes, including over course and distance, and looks capable of breaking his maiden. While there’s a slight worry about the very weak pace, he has shown he can race handily when needed. He was unlucky last time and is clearly on a winning mark. He is proven at the trip and track, with reliable form, and will need the pace to lift slightly but can go close.
    • PERFIDIA (IRE): Considered a Main Danger. Proven. She shows strong consistency with a win and a pair of seconds since June. She is suited by a return to 1m and should sit midfield with a chance to pounce. Her trainer is in hot form, and her best figures match closely with Groundhog. She has solid form at this trip, but there’s a slight traffic concern if held up.
    • SHIELAS WELL (IRE): Considered an Other Danger. Proven. A reliable filly who has placed three starts running and won here in June. Her best effort came when dictating, so the lack of pace here could hurt unless she’s ridden forward. She is consistent but could underperform if not prominent early, and she usually leads nowadays.
    • ROSEMARY’S ROSE (IRE): Considered an Interesting Outsider. Promising. She is unexposed and made a decent move recently at Nottingham. Her trainer excels with 3yo fillies in low-grade races after light starts, suggesting she could improve for a strongly run 8f. She is lightly raced, looks to be progressing, and might sneak into the frame if she settles better.
    • PRECIOUS SPARTAN (IRE): A dual course and distance winner, he is back at a more suitable grade. He is slightly regressive, up in grade, and missed the break last time.
    • WEEGEEBEAR (IRE): He is well positioned for the pace but has a suspect form ceiling. He ought to be better placed than Precious Spartan.
    • ROSE OF NEW JERSEY: Her win felt opportunistic, and she has been regressive since. She hit an in-running low of under half her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time.
    • AMIDST THE CHAOS (IRE): Still learning, the pace is against him, and he needs more experience.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • GROUNDHOG – 7/2
    • PERFIDIA – 9/2
    • SHIELAS WELL – 5/1
    • PRECIOUS SPARTAN – 11/2
    • WEEGEEBEAR – 7/1
    • ROSEMARY’S ROSE – 8/1
    • AMIDST THE CHAOS – 14/1
    • ROSE OF NEW JERSEY – 16/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: GROUNDHOG.
    • Each-Way Saver: ROSEMARY’S ROSE (8/1+ advised).

16:53 Lingfield – TIPS FOR EVERY RACE AT raceday-ready.com APPRENTICE HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 5, 7f Apprentice Handicap for 4yo+ horses, with a prize of £4,187, run on Turf with Good (Good to Soft in places) going. There are 11 runners.
  • Pace Angles: The forecast pace is weak, favouring those with tactical speed or front-runners. King Cabo and Daisy Roots are best placed to dominate from forward slots. Hilltop, often held up, is at risk of being outpaced if the gallop is as slow as projected. The expected steady pace should benefit King Cabo (USA) at the expense of Hilltop.
  • Draw Bias: The course currently favours high draws on this straight 7f turf configuration, which plays into the hands of King Cabo (10) and Beau Jardine (11). Inside-stalled closers may find themselves boxed in or short of room.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • HILLTOP: Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. She returned from a long layoff with a cracking effort at Chelmsford (neck second), showing she’s retained all ability. She is likely fitter now, though her hold-up style is a risk with a slow pace and low draw. She was beaten only by a rival that got first run last time and can go one place better.
    • BLUE COLLAR LAD: Considered a Main Danger. Proven. A course winner in June, he handles turf well, and his best run since came over C&D when chasing home Touchwood. He is racing consistently and benefits from being drawn middle-to-high.
    • DAISY ROOTS: She is a good front-runner and C&D scorer who may get her own way. She is tactically favoured and may represent a strong each-way option.
    • DARK SUN: He holds fair form but performs better on AW; he has a middle draw.
    • BEAU JARDINE (IRE): He likes this track, and his latest run was encouraging; his draw is a bonus. He could hit the frame if reproducing his recent Salisbury effort, helped by stall 11. He is a fair handicapper with a creditable fourth at Salisbury.
    • KING CABO (USA): He won this race in 2024, but is hard to trust on current evidence. He has been beaten before after trading much lower than his Betfair SP, and he usually races prominently.
    • SERENITY DREAM (IRE): She is a minor place contender, but stall 1 is a concern. She completes the shortlist in the Analyst’s Verdict.
    • FUTURE CUTLET (IRE): He shows no recent positives and is somewhat exposed.
    • CLASSY CLARETS (IRE): Another horse in decline, her draw may help her. She is a fair handicapper who won at Wolverhampton in May.
    • JACKSON STREET (IRE): He has an unconvincing profile and no draw help.
    • EXTRICATION: He has no form this year and is tough to fancy.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • HILLTOP – 3/1
    • BLUE COLLAR LAD – 4/1
    • DAISY ROOTS – 13/2
    • BEAU JARDINE – 7/1
    • DARK SUN – 8/1
    • KING CABO – 12/1
    • SERENITY DREAM – 14/1
    • FUTURE CUTLET / CLASSY CLARETS / JACKSON STREET / EXTRICATION – 20/1+
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: HILLTOP.
    • Each-Way Saver: DAISY ROOTS (at 6/1+).

17:10 Windsor – VEGAS RACENIGHT COMING TO WINDSOR HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a Class 5, 1m 2f Handicap for 3yo only horses, with a prize of £4,397, run on Turf with Good (Good to Firm in places) going. There are 5 runners.
  • Pace Angles: The predicted weak pace at Windsor over this 10f trip strongly favours horses who race prominently or can dictate. Life Is Rosie and Calibos benefit most. Sir William, a noted hold-up type, is tactically disadvantaged despite being the best horse at the weights.
  • Draw Bias: There is no significant draw bias on Windsor’s round course over 10f with just five runners, though racing handy remains critical when the pace is weak.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • SIR WILLIAM (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. He is clearly the best horse on Timeform ratings and has run consistently well in better races. However, he needs a strong gallop to be seen to best effect and will likely be held up. This setup (slow pace, only five runners) could dull his turn of foot. He was not seen to ideal effect last time. Jockey Tom Marquand has a 36% strike rate on favourites.
    • CALIBOS: Considered a Main Danger. Progressive. A C&D winner just seven days ago in first-time blinkers, that performance was visually taking and backed up by good figures. He goes forward and can control this race from the front. A repeat or slight improvement could see him follow up. He is expected to control the race and is improving.
    • LIFE IS ROSIE: A fair performer, she won a minor event at Windsor last time, having had the run of the race.
    • PINKARIZON (IRE): She lacks tactical pace and is vulnerable to those better suited to the conditions.
    • DANCING TIGER (IRE): He is exposed and likely to be outclassed; there’s also a fitness query off 38 days.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • CALIBOS – 2/1
    • SIR WILLIAM – 9/4
    • LIFE IS ROSIE – 7/2
    • PINKARIZON – 10/1
    • DANCING TIGER – 16/1
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: CALIBOS – will control the race and is improving.
    • Each-Way Saver: No each-way saver (due to the small field size of 5 runners, standard terms do not apply).

17:16 Naas – NAAS RACECOURSE HANDICAP

  • Race Details: This is a 1m2½f (2284 yards) Handicap for 3yo+ horses, with a prize of €7,800, run on Turf with Good-good to yielding in places going. There are 19 runners.
  • Pace Angles: A Very Strong pace is forecast, with Marzanda, Doctor Grace, Zipster, and Letiza all likely to be in the firing line early. This sets up strongly for late closers like Molto Amichi and Purple Sky, who thrive when a race collapses late. The very strong pace will probably benefit Molto Amichi (IRE) rather than Keilah (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: The draw bias favours low numbers, enhancing the chances of Purple Sky (1), Medieval Night (2), and Tiscommonknowledge (3). High draws like Keilah (18) are at a tactical disadvantage unless dropped in and ridden for luck.
  • Runners with Pertinent Information:
    • MOLTO AMICHI (IRE): Considered a Strongest Contender. Proven. Consistently knocking on the door, with strong late sectionals despite racing off slow paces. He is on an upward curve, and this race is set up perfectly for his closing style, making him ideally suited by the setup and distance, with a low draw and peaking form. He is a strong closer in a very pace-favourable setup.
    • LETIZA (IRE): Considered a Main Danger. Proven. A stylish winner at Down Royal with excellent energy use and a tactically versatile profile. While the pace may be stronger today, she is well drawn and thriving off fresh marks. She has pace and form but could be caught if over-racing. She touched an in-running high at least twice her starting Betfair SP when scoring last time.
    • ZIPSTER (IRE): Considered Progressive. He responded well to a stronger pace when winning at Killarney. Stepping back up in trip should suit, and a capable 7lb claimer offsets his 9-12 burden. He handles pace collapse well, but now carries weight.
    • DOCTOR GRACE (IRE): Considered Proven. Resurgent for McGuinness with a smart win at Down Royal. She can race handy and looks in peak form. She holds form well and is suited by any tempo. She has strong form, is stable, and is drawn to sit close, making her likely to be in the frame again.
    • PURPLE SKY (IRE): Considered an Interesting Outsider. Promising. Back to form on her last run and drawn to strike from stall 1. She shows early promise, a good Timefigure (98.3), and Bolger’s record with these types is notable. Her upside is evident, and she is drawn to control, making her tactically pivotal.
    • AUTOCRAT (IRE): Considered Promising. Off since May, but he ran second at Roscommon with a very strong figure. He is still unexposed at this trip.
    • OB LA DI (IRE): She is well handicapped but lacks finishing power at this trip.
    • VOICE OF REASON (IRE): She has an inconsistent profile, so it’s uncertain what to expect.
    • TISCOMMONKNOWLEDGE (IRE): She is well treated but had a poor run last time.
    • GREEN ICON (FR): He needs to show more; he is drawn wide or his form is regressive.
    • LOUGH LEANE (IRE): He needs to show more; he is drawn wide or his form is regressive.
    • KEILAH (IRE): She needs to show more; she is drawn wide or her form is regressive.
    • JR MAHON (IRE): He needs to show more; he is drawn wide or his form is regressive.
    • MEDIEVAL NIGHT (IRE): He is a modest maiden.
    • MARZANDA (IRE): She is a modest maiden.
    • PICPOUL (IRE): She is a modest handicapper on turf, fair on all-weather. She took a step back in the right direction last time.
  • Estimated Tissue Odds:
    • MOLTO AMICHI – 9/2
    • LETIZA – 11/2
    • DOCTOR GRACE – 13/2
    • ZIPSTER – 7/1
    • PURPLE SKY – 8/1
    • OB LA DI – 10/1
    • AUTOCRAT – 12/1
    • Others – 16/1 bar
  • ChatGPT Smart Plays:
    • Win: MOLTO AMICHI – strong closer in a very pace-favourable setup.
    • Each-Way Saver: DOCTOR GRACE – in-form and likely to be in the frame again.

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