Ffos Las Race Insight: Who Stands Out in the 4.15 Handicap?

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Ffos Las Race Insight: Who Stands Out the stats?

Today, we’re diving deep into the 4.15 Ffos Las DragonBet Proud Sponsors Of Ffos Las Racecourse Handicap, a Class 5 race offering a prize of £7870 to the winner. With seven runners competing over 1 mile (1760 yards) on a Good going, and restricted to 3-year-olds, it promises to be an intriguing contest. We’re using the “Horse RaceBase RapidView Analysis” to uncover the key contenders and their strengths.

The RapidView system provides an insightful look into performance metrics across trainers, jockeys, horses, and breeding, highlighting standout performers in various categories. Each data point, from a trainer’s win percentage in the last 7 days to a stallion’s performance over a specific going, contributes to a comprehensive picture.

Overall Standouts: The Big Picture

Looking at the initial “RapidView Top Performers”, several names immediately catch the eye:

  • Nakaaha is a truly exceptional standout among the horses, appearing as a top performer in eight different categories, including performance in the Last 3 races (33% Win%), Last 90 Days (33% Win%), over this specific Distance (33% Win%), in this Race Type (33% Win%), and in this Class (20% Win%).
  • Bear Island also shows strong recent form, highlighted as a top performer in the Last 3 races (33% Win%), over this Distance (33% Win%), and in this Race Type (33% Win%).
  • Neardown is another horse to watch, appearing as a top performer for Career (25% Win%), Last 5 races (25% Win%), Last 10 races (25% Win%), and notably, in partnership with its Jockey (33% Win%).

In terms of breeding, several sires and dams show promising statistics, like New Bay for Stallion performance (e.g., 16% Win% for 5-Year-olds, 15% in this Class).

Deep Dive: Who Really Shines?

To get a more granular view of who truly stands out, we turn to the “RapidView Statistical Overview”. This section provides specific Win% values for each horse’s associated Trainer, Jockey, Stallion, Dam, and Dam Sire across various relevant metrics (e.g., performance in last 7 days, at this track, over this distance, in this class). These percentages are also colour-coded in the original source, indicating performance brackets from Dire to Elite.

Here’s a breakdown of the top performers based on these detailed statistics:

Nakaaha (Miss G Harris / David Egan)

  • Horse Performance: As noted, Nakaaha is a dominant figure among the horses themselves, with exceptionally high Win% in numerous categories such as Last 3 (33%), 90 Days (33%), Distance (33%), Class in Last 3 (33%), and Race Type (33%).
  • Trainer Performance (Miss G Harris): Nakaaha’s trainer shows impressive consistency. Miss G Harris boasts a 33% Win% in the Last 30 days (Trn/30d), 33% over this Distance (Trn/Dst), 33% at Track/Distance (Trn/TD), and 33% in this Class (Trn/Cls) for races like this. This indicates a trainer who excels under these specific conditions.
  • Jockey Performance (David Egan): David Egan demonstrates strong recent form, with a 15% Win% in the Last 7 days (Jck/7d) and 14% in the Last 30 days (Jck/30d) for this horse’s profile. He also has a notable 17% Win% in this Distance and Class combination (Jck/DC).
  • Breeding: The stallion Bated Breath shows a 24% Win% at this Track (S/Trk) and 24% in this Race Type at this Track (S/TRT). The dam sire Shamardal also has strong figures, including 19% over this Distance (DS/Dst) and 19% in this Race Type at this Track (DS/TRT).

Bear Island (David Menuisier / S D Bowen)

  • Horse Performance: Bear Island stands out with a 33% Win% in the Last 3 races (Last3), 33% over this Distance (Dst), and 33% in this Race Type (RType).
  • Trainer Performance (David Menuisier): David Menuisier has an impressive 40% Win% at this Track (Trn/Trk) and a 14% Win% over this Distance (Trn/Dst) and in this Race Type (Trn/RT).
  • Jockey Performance (S D Bowen): Jockey S D Bowen shows excellent recent form with a 33% Win% in the Last 30 days (Jck/30d) and a 20% Win% in the Last 7 days (Jck/7d).

Neardown (J A Osborne / Saffie Osborne)

  • Horse Performance: Neardown boasts a 25% Win% across its Career, Last 5, and Last 10 races. Crucially, it has a 33% Win% when paired with its Jockey (Jockey).
  • Jockey Performance (Saffie Osborne): Saffie Osborne shows consistent strong form, especially with a 20% Win% at this Track/Distance (Jck/TD), 19% in the Last 7 days (Jck/7d), 18% in this Distance and Class (Jck/DC), and 17% in this Class (Jck/Cls). She also performs well over this Distance (14% Jck/Dst) and in this Race Type (14% Jck/RT).
  • Breeding: The stallion New Bay is noteworthy with a 17% Win% on this Going (S/Gng), and a 16% Win% for 5-Year-olds (S/5Yr) and in this Race Type (S/RT). The dam sire Dabirsim also shows a strong 19% Win% over this Distance (DS/Dst).

Condotti (Hugo Palmer / Hollie Doyle)

  • Trainer Performance (Hugo Palmer): Hugo Palmer has strong recent figures, including a 20% Win% in the Last 7 days (Trn/7d) and 21% in the Last 30 days (Trn/30d). His performance at this Track is also solid at 25% (Trn/Trk).
  • Jockey Performance (Hollie Doyle): Hollie Doyle shows impressive statistics at this Track with a 29% Win% (Jck/Trk) and a 20% Win% at Track/Distance (Jck/TD).

Art Patron (A M Balding / Rob Hornby)

  • Trainer Performance (A M Balding): A M Balding demonstrates consistent performance, with a 19% Win% in this Class (Trn/Cls) and 18% in this Distance and Class (Trn/DC). He also has a respectable 20% Win% in the Last 90 days (Trn/90d).
  • Jockey Performance (Rob Hornby): Rob Hornby has a strong 23% Win% at this Track (Jck/Trk), though this is based on overall stats, while his specific Win% for this horse is 4% at track. For the specific horse, his highest Win% is 12% in the Last 30 days (Jck/30d).
  • Breeding: The dam Ardent shows a 14% Win% in this Race Type (D/RT), and the dam sire Pivotal has a 17% Win% at this Track (DS/Trk).

Other Notables:

  • Flightofthephoenix (Charles Hills / Trevor Whelan): Trainer Charles Hills has a 20% Win% at this Track (Trn/Trk). The stallion Phoenix Of Spain shows a 20% Win% on this Going (S/Gng), and dam sire Tiz Wonderful has a 14% Win% in this Race Type (DS/RT).
  • Oceans Charm (Ed De Giles / C Horgan): While not highlighted as much, its stallion Blue Point has an 18% Win% over this Distance (S/Dst), and dam sire Dubawi shows a 13% Win% for 5-Year-olds (DS/5Yr).

The Verdict

While all seven runners bring something to the table, Nakaaha truly stands out with exceptional performance metrics across horse, trainer, jockey, and breeding categories. Bear Island and Neardown also present very strong cases, each with unique strengths. The analysis shows that understanding the detailed performance percentages for each combination of trainer, jockey, and breeding can provide valuable insights beyond general statistics.

Remember, racing is unpredictable, and there are no guarantees of winning. Always bet responsibly, take your time, and stay in control.

Good luck with your picks!


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