Here is a preview of all the races, ordered by race time.
15:40 Brighton – Star Property Group Brighton Challenge Cup Handicap
Race Details: Class 4, 1m 3f 198y, Turf, Good (Good to Firm in places), 7 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0–80.
Pace Forecast: Weak.
Tactical Setup: The expected leisurely pace at this trip generally doesn’t favour prominent racers at Brighton, but for this race, it is anticipated to assist VOIX DE BOCELLI while potentially disadvantaging SUGARLOAF LENNY (IRE). Hold-up profiles with a turn of foot are expected to be advantaged.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- LEXINGTON KNIGHT (IRE): Score 8/10. He has recorded back-to-back wins at Brighton and Salisbury. This gelding stays the trip well and acts on firm ground. His most recent victory came off a strong pace, which might not be as suitable for today’s expected slow gallop. He is described as lazy but tough, and is unexposed at this course with a form of 1-6 here. An individual price hint notes he traded at least twice his starting Betfair SP when winning last time out.
- MANARA: Score 7/10. She is a three-time All-Weather winner who showed progression before her last run, where she performed poorly. There are doubts about her suitability for Brighton’s track and whether she will thrive in a tactical race, which might test her temperament.
- SUGARLOAF LENNY (IRE): Score 6/10. All three of his 2024 wins occurred in sharper-run handicaps. His on-pace running style could be a disadvantage in today’s race due to the anticipated lack of pace. He is considered exposed, with the race shape working against him.
- SANITISER: Score 4/10. He has shown poor and inconsistent form in his two recent Flat starts this year. With low figures and being out of form, he has little appeal in this race.
- ANNEXATION (FR): Score 7/10. This 9-year-old gelding is in good form, having achieved close second-place finishes at Doncaster and Epsom recently. Although beaten by Lexington Knight in a course and distance race in May, he has since shown improvement. He is considered proven and consistent, though also exposed.
- VOIX DE BOCELLI: Score 8/10. A two-time Brighton winner, he handles the course’s undulations well. His latest neck-second finish (rated 85+) places him strongly in contention for this race. He is expected to be delivered late, which perfectly suits the anticipated race setup. Jockey Jason Watson, with a 24% strike rate at Brighton, is a positive factor.
- NEOMA: Score 6/10. She performed poorly at Yarmouth six days after two strong previous runs. She is generally more effective when fresh, and her suitability for this stiff trip is not entirely convincing. Her tendency to over-race could be a concern in a slowly-run race.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Voix de Bocelli – 3/1
- Lexington Knight – 4/1
- Annexation – 9/2
- Manara – 5/1
- Neoma – 13/2
- Sugarloaf Lenny – 10/1
- Sanitiser – 25/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Voix de Bocelli – a well-handicapped course specialist with an ideal setup for this race.
- Each-Way Saver: Annexation – a very solid performer currently in career-best form.
16:00 Chelmsford – bet365 Chelmsford City Cup (Handicap)
Race Details: Class 2, 1m 2f, Artificial Surface, Standard to Slow, 10 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-105.
Pace Forecast: Even.
Tactical Setup: Hold-up horses are typically at a disadvantage over this trip at Chelmsford. Prominent racers, particularly those drawn in mid-to-low stalls such as LIBERTY COACH and MAGNUM OPUS, are in the best tactical position.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- FLIGHT LEADER: Score 5/10. He is considered a “wild card” entry. He performed adequately in a Royal Ascot handicap despite racing wide. A dual winner in France over 9-10f, his market performance will likely indicate his chances.
- SOLDIER’S EMPIRE (IRE): Score 7/10. He is considered a “main danger”. He won well in Bahrain earlier this year, and his run at York was not entirely without merit. While tactically neutral, he possesses a strong engine, and his Timeform rating of 113 suggests he should not be overlooked, especially on this surface.
- MAGNUM OPUS (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He travelled strongly like a potential winner in competitive turf handicaps earlier this year, including a fourth-place finish in the Lincoln. His return to the All-Weather, where he has a proven record, is a positive factor, and his trainer is in good form. His Timeform adjusted rating is 114.
- SOVEREIGN SEA (IRE): Score 8/10. He is identified as a “strongest contender”. After finishing runner-up four times, his poor run at York, where he raced freely and hung left, can be forgiven. Returning to polytrack and dropping in grade, he is tactically well-placed with a notable Timeform adjusted figure of 116+. He handles the surface and has a suitable running style. Roger Varian, his trainer, has a 25% strike rate at Chelmsford City and 21% with horses running over 10f+.
- STORM CATCHER (IRE): Score 5/10. His recent form is regressive, though he has a past course and distance win. Simon Pearce, his trainer, has a £45.00 profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting.
- LIBERTY COACH: Score 8/10. He is listed as a “strongest contender”. A front-runner, he is ideally suited by today’s tactical scenario. He won at Redcar three starts ago and was not pushed hard at Chester in his last outing. He is well drawn and is expected to either control the pace or sit just behind it. His Timeform adjusted rating is 115, and a bounce-back performance is anticipated. The individual price hint suggests he is likely to race prominently and has a good chance of trading significantly shorter than his Betfair SP.
- SILENT FILM: Score 5/10. Despite possessing past class, he is currently inconsistent.
- BOX TO BOX (IRE): Score 4/10. He needs to show more to be competitive at this level.
- WADACRE GOMEZ: Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider” and a three-time Chelmsford winner. Although his recent efforts have been slightly below his best, he was not disgraced and is expected to perform better returning to this track.
- THUNDER WONDER (IRE): Score 6/10. An “interesting outsider,” he is a lightly-raced 3-year-old from a yard that performs well on All-Weather surfaces. His last run can be upgraded, and he appears to be suited by the 10f trip, indicating there is more to come from him.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- SOVEREIGN SEA – 4/1
- LIBERTY COACH – 9/2
- MAGNUM OPUS – 5/1
- SOLDIER’S EMPIRE – 7/1
- THUNDER WONDER – 8/1
- WADACRE GOMEZ – 10/1
- Others – 12/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: SOVEREIGN SEA – He is a class act on his day, and the drop in grade and surface change favour him significantly.
- Each-Way Saver: MAGNUM OPUS – His return to the All-Weather is important, and he possesses strong underlying ratings.
17:30 Chepstow – Racing League 15 Handicap
Race Details: Class 3, 6f 16y, Turf, Good ground, 14 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-90.
Pace Forecast: Strong.
Draw Bias: Against High draws.
Tactical Setup: The anticipated strong gallop should benefit hold-up or stalker types, especially those drawn low to middle. Prominent racers from wide draws may struggle to find position, and front-runners are likely to be exhausted. The specific pace hint indicates that while prominent racers are usually favoured at this course and trip, a strong pace might not hinder ROBERTO CARO (IRE) and should assist JUAN LES PINS.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- PROFIT REFUSED (IRE): Score 8/10. She is a “main danger”. This progressive 4-year-old has two wins and a neck-second in four starts since changing yards. She is capable of sitting handy or pressing the pace, but would ideally prefer a slightly more even gallop. Her wide draw in stall 9 could make early positioning challenging.
- DIAMONDONTHEHILL: Score 5/10. He has a patchy profile and is best left alone despite having decent figures.
- THUNDER BLUE: Score 5/10. Consistency is an issue for him. While he may travel well, other runners are considered stronger contenders.
- BOB MALI (IRE): Score 5/10. His early-season form was fair, but he has tailed off since.
- KING OF LIGHT: Score 5/10. Now with a new yard, stepping back up in trip should help him, but he still has something to prove.
- ADDISON GREY: Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider”. Unexposed, he won his last race by 17 lengths, although it was a weak contest. This race represents a significant step up in class. While visually impressive last time, he needs to prove himself in a better race.
- ROBERTO CARO (IRE): Score 7/10. He is an “interesting outsider” and a rebounding performer. He has shaped well in recent large fields, and Timeform notes that a stiffer test would suit him. Drawn ideally in stall 5, he is expected to finish strongly. He is also considered an “under-the-radar place angle”.
- NORTHCLIFF (IRE): Score 4/10. He had a good spell early in the season, but his current high mark appears to be hindering his performance.
- JUAN LES PINS: Score 9/10. He is the “strongest contender”. A proven handicapper, he has been running in tougher races. He has been unlucky on several occasions this year, notably being denied clear runs at York. The race conditions, with a strong pace and low draw (stall 1), are ideal for him. He is a well-handicapped closer with an optimal setup. He also possesses solid place credentials in this ideal tactical setup.
- NORTHERN SPIRIT: Score 6/10. He is a “main danger”. While consistent, he often trades at short odds in-running and doesn’t always finish his races strongly. The track shape suits him, but he is still considered opposable for a win. He might be a “possible frame player”.
- TIGER TULIP: Score 7/10. She is a “main danger”. This filly is improving rapidly and delivered a career-best performance at Yarmouth in her last outing. Although she carries a 6 lb penalty and is drawn wide in stall 10, her tactical pace can help to offset the positional risk.
- COUNT D’ORSAY (IRE): Score 3/10. Formerly smart, he is clearly on the downgrade.
- TREACHEROUS: Score 3/10. He is a veteran and a Chepstow winner, but his best days are behind him. The individual price hint notes he ought to be held up off the lead, and despite the anticipated favourable pace forecast, he has a modest record when trading short in-running.
- MONTEZUMA: Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. This promising and lightly raced gelding would have finished closer last time if not for interference. Drawn wide in stall 11, he will require a patient ride and some luck. He is noted as “one for the notebook, if not today”.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- JUAN LES PINS – 9/2
- PROFIT REFUSED – 6/1
- TIGER TULIP – 13/2
- MONTEZUMA – 15/2
- ROBERTO CARO – 8/1
- ADDISON GREY – 9/1
- NORTHERN SPIRIT – 10/1
- KING OF LIGHT – 14/1
- Others – 20/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: JUAN LES PINS – He possesses the form, draw, and pace shape to win off his current mark.
- Each-Way Saver: ROBERTO CARO – He is trending upwards, has a solid draw, and is shaping like a winner in waiting.
18:00 Chepstow – Racing League 16 Handicap
Race Details: Class 4, 1m 14y, Turf, Good ground, 13 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-85.
Pace Forecast: Even.
Tactical Setup: The pace is expected to be even, typically favouring horses who race prominently. Prominent runners are likely to benefit, while hold-up types are less favoured unless the fractions collapse. BOUBYAN (IRE) and WATCH AND SHOOT (IRE) are specifically mentioned as likely to track the pace firmly.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- SWORD: Score 8/10. He is identified as a “top pick”. He has shown significant progress since joining David O’Meara, including a solid placed effort in the highly competitive International Handicap at Ascot over 7f. He is effective when dropping back to around 1 mile, and the use of a hood is now habitual for him. He goes well fresh.
- SHAMROCK BAY: Score 7/10. He is considered a “solid act”. He has been consistent over mid-distances, finishing as runner-up in a Racing League event at Wolverhampton seven days prior. He should remain competitive off similar marks. He is lightly exposed.
- BARLEY (IRE): Score 6/10. He was below form in his last race, but had finished second at York in June.
- YOKKELL (IRE): Score 4/10. She has performed poorly in her last two starts.
- GAIETY MUSICAL (IRE): Score 5/10. She was out of her depth in a listed race in her most recent outing.
- LYNDON B (IRE): Score 6/10. He returned to winning ways at Windsor last month after a 52-day break. However, at 9 years old, he is a veteran and may find it tougher competing against improving rivals. He is wedged into deeper competition.
- GOAL EXCEEDED: Score 5/10. He has been below form since winning at the Curragh in May. He “could bounce back” if dropping slightly in class, as he had previously won in good form earlier in the season.
- GREAT BLASKET (IRE): Score 9/10. He is a “top pick”. He won a course and distance handicap last month at Sandown and comfortably scored again nine days ago. He escapes a penalty because his last win was an apprentice race. He is clearly in peak form and is well-suited to the race shape. Callum Shepherd, his jockey, has a 35% strike rate on favourites.
- YERMANTHERE (IRE): Score 5/10. He was below form at Hamilton in his last race.
- WATCH AND SHOOT (IRE): Score 7/10. He is an “emerging danger”. This lightly raced 3-year-old returns to 1 mile with blinkers added. He was involved in trouble over 7f at Leicester last time and remains unexposed at this trip. He is upwardly mobile and unexposed.
- LIR SPECIALE (IRE): Score 6/10. He delivered one of his better efforts when finishing neck-second at Yarmouth in his last outing. Despite going off at higher odds in-running, he remains competitively weighted and could outperform expectations from off the pace.
- JARHAM: Score 7/10. He is an “emerging danger”. After a breathing operation and a break, he returned with a good second-place finish at Ffos Las. His trainer appears to have him primed, and the addition of cheekpieces is a notable gear change. The individual price hint indicates he was beaten last time out when going under 50% of his starting Betfair SP. He is an improving 3yo, and a gear switch may spark progress.
- BOUBYAN (IRE): Score 7/10. He is considered a “solid act”. He won on his first start for this yard at Newbury, leading throughout. He presents a definite pace angle and fits the prominent-style profile. He is fit for this tempo.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Great Blasket – ~5/1
- Sword – ~7/2
- Watch And Shoot / Jarham – ~7/1
- Boubyan – ~8/1
- Shamrock Bay – ~8/1
- Other each‑way players – ~10/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Great Blasket – He is proven over the course and distance and is in peak form.
- Each‑Way Backup: Watch And Shoot – He is an improving 3-year-old with upside, suitably drawn for a prominent racing style. Alternatively, Boubyan can serve as a pace angle.
18:23 Leopardstown – Bahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)
Race Details: Group 3, 1m, Turf, Good-good to firm in places, 7 runners, 3yo+.
Pace Forecast: Very Weak.
Draw Bias: Not applicable (for a 7-runner field on a wide, turning mile).
Tactical Setup: The predicted slow gallop puts a premium on good positioning and acceleration. MUTASARREF and JOHAN are expected to benefit most, as both can race handily or take control. JANCIS, DANCE NIGHT ANDDAY, and LORD MASSUSUS are likely to be held up, risking being caught flat-footed.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- CHICAGO CRITIC: Score 8/10. He is a “main danger”. He is a proven performer, particularly effective at Leopardstown where he won the Amethyst Stakes in May. He needed his comeback run in the Minstrel Stakes but shaped well enough to suggest he is now fit. He is well-balanced for this course and returns to his optimal 1m trip.
- JOHAN: Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He is proven at 1m and showed decent French Group 3 form when last seen. He is expected to go forward, giving him a tactical edge. However, he is an 8-year-old returning from 284 days off, and this race appears to be a preparation for autumn handicaps. His trainer, Jack Channon, has a £37.28 profit when having one runner at a flat meeting and a £31.53 profit with horses running after a break.
- LORD MASSUSUS (IRE): Score 6/10. He is capable but his form fluctuates and he doesn’t always back it up. Joseph G. Murphy, his trainer, has a £43.33 profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting.
- MUTASARREF: Score 9/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He is a proven course specialist, with four wins at Leopardstown, including this race in 2024. His recent third in the Group 2 Minstrel Stakes marked a clear return to form, as he ran on well despite encountering trouble. He is well-suited to this tactical mile scenario and performs particularly well on sound surfaces. The individual price hint suggests he can be expected to race prominently but will likely trade much shorter than his Betfair SP.
- DANCE NIGHT ANDDAY (IRE): Score 6/10. She is an “interesting outsider”. This progressive mare has solid Group 3 form in recent starts, including a good effort when second in the Brownstown Stakes. However, the tactical setup of this race appears to be against her. She is considered a hold-up risk, relying on a late burst.
- JANCIS (IRE): Score 5/10. She is vulnerable at this level in a tactical setup. She is consistently ridden off the pace and is likely to face a positional disadvantage in a steadily-run race, making her a “hold-up risk”.
- ALAKAZI (FR): Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He is a promising, lightly raced 3-year-old from a top training team. He finished second in a listed race recently and has the potential to improve further. However, as a deep closer from stall 1, he risks being compromised by the tempo and positioning against more experienced, tactical rivals.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- MUTASARREF – 5/2
- CHICAGO CRITIC – 3/1
- ALAKAZI – 4/1
- JOHAN – 6/1
- DANCE NIGHT ANDDAY – 9/1
- LORD MASSUSUS – 10/1
- JANCIS – 14/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: MUTASARREF – He is a course-for-course specialist, has an ideal pace shape, and arrives fit and strong.
- Forecast Alternative: CHICAGO CRITIC – He should improve from his Minstrel Stakes run and is returning to his best trip.
18:30 Chepstow – Racing League 17 Handicap
Race Details: Class 2, 7f 16y, Turf, Good ground, 9 runners, 3yo+.
Pace Forecast: Even.
Draw Bias: Favours Low draws.
Tactical Setup: Horses racing close to the pace are typically favoured over this course and trip. The pace is not expected to be strong, which should give a tactical advantage to front-runners and close-up pressers like MUSICAL TOUCH and SONDAD. Deep closers might struggle due to the even but not overly strong gallop.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- SONDAD: Score 9/10. He is a “strongest contender”. This progressive 4-year-old gelding has shown a strong sequence of three runs and is well-suited by today’s race shape and his draw in stall 1. He usually races close to the pace, which is ideal. However, he has a history of trading at much lower odds than his Betfair SP in-running and then getting beaten, indicating some vulnerability.
- KING’S LYNN: Score 6/10. He is listed as an “interesting outsider”. This 8-year-old is exposed, but a strong speed figure at Haydock demonstrates his retained ability. His recent form has been a bit below par, making him hard to fully trust in this competitive race.
- VAFORTINO (IRE): Score 5/10. He is categorised as a “hold-up risk”. While a proven performer at this level, he is not ideally suited to today’s likely race shape. He is expected to be held up and will require opportune gaps at the right time.
- MUSICAL TOUCH (IRE): Score 8/10. She is a “main danger”. This promising, lightly-raced 4-year-old has consistently performed at a very solid level in competitive 6f/7f handicaps. She is well-suited by the likely race shape, is a consistent performer, and is well drawn in stall 4. She carries upside from a relatively unexposed mark. Timeform’s Analyst’s Verdict suggests she “gets the nod to notch career victory number 3”.
- STREETS OF GOLD (IRE): This horse is a non-runner (NR).
- EL BODON (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. This smallish, sturdy gelding has been progressive this summer and is in good form. He finished second to Mister Bluebird in his latest outing, conceding weight. He is well-drawn and typically races close to the pace. While he holds his form well, he doesn’t win often.
- BRIAN (IRE): Score 5/10. He is described as classy at his best, but has lost form, and the trip might be too far for him.
- TARKHAN (GER): Score 4/10. He has shown sharp regression since changing yards, and his recent efforts are unconvincing.
- MISTER BLUEBIRD: Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider”. He is a proven front-runner, but faces pace competition here, and stall 9 is a tough draw. He won well at Yarmouth, but will need to dominate the race. He is vulnerable in the late stages if pressured early. Grace McEntee, his jockey, has a 35% strike rate on favourites.
- GREAT ACCLAIM: Score 10/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He is proven at the trip and is in thriving form. He produced a career-best performance in first-time blinkers when winning a competitive 20-runner handicap at Glorious Goodwood. Although drawn wide in stall 10, which is a negative, he is tactically versatile and arrives in peak form.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- GREAT ACCLAIM – 4/1
- SONDAD – 9/2
- MUSICAL TOUCH – 11/2
- EL BODON – 13/2
- MISTER BLUEBIRD – 8/1
- KING’S LYNN – 10/1
- VAFORTINO – 16/1
- BRIAN – 20/1
- TARKHAN – 40/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: GREAT ACCLAIM – He is peaking at the right time and looks well-handicapped despite carrying a penalty.
- Each-Way Saver: MUSICAL TOUCH – She is drawn for a good trip, is still improving, and fits the race profile well.
18:53 Leopardstown – Tote Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3)
Race Details: Group 3, 1m 4f, Turf, Good-good to firm in places, 6 runners, 3yo+.
Pace Forecast: Very Weak.
Draw Bias: Not significant (due to small field and large galloping track).
Tactical Setup: The likely lack of early pace suggests this race could become a tactical affair, favouring horses that race close to the speed. SONS AND LOVERS and CRYSTAL BLACK are both projected to track the pace and benefit most. LAYFAYETTE and SIEGE OF TROY, who tend to be held up, may be at a disadvantage.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- CRYSTAL BLACK (IRE): Score 9/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He is a proven Group 3 winner, having won this very race last year in dominant fashion by 5 lengths. He returned this season with a solid 4th in the Alleged Stakes (G3) over 10f, likely needing the run. He stays 1½m strongly and should be fitter for this outing. He is well-positioned for a tactical race. Timeform’s Analyst’s Verdict notes he continued his rise last year and, with his reappearance behind him, can get back on track.
- LAYFAYETTE (IRE): Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider” and a “hold-up risk”. He is exposed but has class on his day, regularly participating in Group 3 races without being disgraced in stronger company. However, he is consistently ridden from the rear, and a slow gallop is a major negative for him here, as he has needed a strong pace to perform well in the past.
- SONS AND LOVERS: Score 9/10. He is a “strongest contender”. This progressive colt has held his own in tough Group and Listed company this season. He finished a close-up 5th in the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot and has performed at a high level in multiple Group 2 races. Stepping up to 12f now seems a logical progression, and he could either control or stalk what is expected to be a steady gallop. Joseph Patrick O’Brien, his trainer, has two winners in the past 10 runnings of this race.
- THIS SONGISFORYOU (USA): Score 5/10. He possesses some ability but has shown poor recent form and tends to find little under pressure.
- SEA THE BOSS: Score 4/10. She is considered “on the downgrade” and looks outclassed in this field. She is also a “hold-up risk” as she is consistently ridden off the pace, likely facing a positional disadvantage in a steadily-run race.
- SIEGE OF TROY: Score 7/10. She is a “main danger”. This progressive handicapper has untapped upside at 1½m. She is not fully exposed and shaped well when finishing 4th in the Duke of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot. However, she is tactically at risk in this small, slow-run field.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- CRYSTAL BLACK – 13/8
- SONS AND LOVERS – 2/1
- SIEGE OF TROY – 6/1
- LAYFAYETTE – 15/2
- THIS SONGISFORYOU – 14/1
- SEA THE BOSS – 25/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: CRYSTAL BLACK – He is a Group 3 winner, has an ideal setup, and is fitter now.
- Alternative/Forecast: SONS AND LOVERS – He is upwardly mobile and strong at the trip.
19:00 Chepstow – Racing League 18 Handicap
Race Details: Class 4, 7f 16y, Turf, Good ground, 14 runners, 3yo+, Ratings 0–80.
Pace Forecast: Strong – an early speed battle is expected to stretch the field.
Tactical Setup: This race is well-suited to front-runners and prominently-ridden horses. BELIEVE YOU ME (IRE) should be favoured over RIOT (IRE) if the pace unfolds as expected. The sheer speed will penalise deep closers unless leaders burn out.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- INTERVENTION: Score 8/10. He is a “main danger”. This veteran recently won over 6f at Wolverhampton. He typically races prominently and may benefit if the pace collapses. He is fresh and an All-Weather winner.
- ULTRAMARINE (IRE): Score 5/10. A fairly useful handicapper, he won at Chepstow in May and June, but finished a respectable 6th of 13 in his last outing.
- WOBWOBWOB (IRE): Score 7/10. He is an “other worthy runner” and an “each-way & place contender”. He is back in sprint company after poor All-Weather runs. If allowed to race freely up front, he could run a big race. He is low mileage and effective on this ground, and would benefit if the pace falters at the front. He is tactically strong and could outpace expectations if the pace blows apart.
- ARCTIC DAWN: Score 6/10. He is fit and consistent, but needs the pace to collapse for his best chance.
- APACHE OUTLAW (IRE): Score 7/10. He is an “other worthy runner”. He has shown handy recent form and is likely to be prominent. He is consistent across undulating tracks, and his latest effort at Galway highlighted his staying-on ability. He is an honest and consistent performer.
- FEEL THE NEED: Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He has consistent form and is well-handicapped. He could be suited by a pace burnout to mount a late challenge. He is a front-runner who stays strongly. His strong finishing ability means a pace collapse should help him.
- ESTRELLA DIVINA (IRE): Score 7/10. This filly is making her handicap debut. She won a minor event last time and is expected to improve. Jack Channon, her trainer, has a 17% strike rate with handicap debutants.
- FLAG OF ST GEORGE (IRE): Score 6/10. He is an “other worthy runner” and an “each-way & place contender”. He is a solid performer who won at Ascot last month. He might hold place claims from a low draw. He is lightweight and has strong pace influence. He is well weighted and could reach peak form if ridden close to the speed.
- BE FRANK: Score 6/10. He is considered unreliable but has claims if in form.
- RIOT (IRE): Score 5/10. He looked unlucky in his last race at York, but is less favoured by the expected strong pace scenario.
- BELIEVE YOU ME (IRE): Score 9/10. She is the “top prospect”. She thrives on undulating tracks and arrives after winning at Epsom last month. She is forecast as the likely winner due to her preference for Chepstow’s terrain. Timeform’s Analyst’s Verdict notes she saves her best for these undulating tracks and can secure a fourth Chepstow success. The individual price hint notes she touched an in-running high at least twice her starting Betfair SP when winning her latest outing. She leads or sits close, and is proven in her current form.
- GOLDEN STRIKE (IRE): Score 4/10. He was not seen to best effect in his last outing and might benefit from cheekpieces.
- JERSEY MAVERICK (IRE): Score 5/10. He showed much improvement when winning last time. He can sometimes be slowly away.
- DAPPER GEE GEE (IRE): Score 5/10. He finished a good second at Sandown last time and is a course winner.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Believe You Me – ~5/1
- Intervention – ~12/1, ~11/1
- Feel The Need – ~12/1
- Wobwobwob – ~12/1, ~12/1
- Apache Outlaw – ~11/1, ~13/2–7/1
- Flag Of St George – ~8/1
- Others – ~14/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Believe You Me (IRE) – She is best suited to this track and is clearly at her peak.
- Each-Way Snaps: Wobwobwob (IRE) – He is tactically strong and could outperform expectations if the pace blows apart. Flag Of St George (IRE) – His light weight and course form suggest each-way potential in a high-speed contest.
19:30 Chepstow – Racing League 19 Handicap
Race Details: Class 4, 5f 16y, Turf, Good ground, 14 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-85.
Pace Forecast: Extreme – a fast race is expected from the outset, suiting pace-ridden types.
Draw Bias: None declared; Chepstow’s 5f shows minimal historic bias, but a fast rail may suit pace horses.
Tactical Setup: The extreme early speed will penalise deep closers. Prominent racers like ROACH POWER, ALL WAYS GLAMOROUS, and BILLIE BE QUICK hold the best chances. Conversely, hold-up styles such as JACQUELINA are tactically compromised.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- BLIND BEGGAR (IRE): Score 6/10. He is an “each-way & place contender”. He is currently low in the weights and ran well from off the pace in his last outing. He may secure valuable minor placings. He is weighted to perform well in this grade and holds solid Timeform figures.
- EXISTENT: Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He can show bursts of form, including placed efforts in stronger races. While he has shown a slight regression, he remains dangerous when sharp early. His stable performs well in Racing League events. The individual price hint notes he went under 50% of his starting Betfair SP when turned over last time out.
- ALL WAYS GLAMOROUS: Score 8/10. He is a “top rated shape” and “strongest contender”. He arrives in peak form with two recent wins and races prominently throughout. He is a course and distance winner in form, and his tactical speed is a strong asset. He is well-drawn and very effective at Chepstow, showing a resilient attitude.
- KING OF BEARS (IRE): Score 5/10. He has a wide draw and is inconsistent.
- OUR PLANET (IRE): Score 4/10. He faces a sharp test, with only a maiden win to his name.
- BILLIE BE QUICK (IRE): Score 8/10. She is a “main threat” and “strongest contender”. This young filly is improving and is likely to thrive in a speed-driven race. She is strongly supported by leading analyst Jamie Lynch. She is a front-end runner who excels in speed tests. She will need to stay close to the early pace to avoid being outsprinted late.
- JACQUELINA (IRE): Score 5/10. Her course record is good, but the pace shape of this race is against her. She is a hold-up style, which is tactically compromised in an extreme pace race.
- ANCIENT TIMES: Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider”. He has hit form this season and is now dropping in class. Removing blinkers may help sharpen him up, and his tactical early speed is a positive.
- EMPEROR’S SON (IRE): Score 5/10. He has a fair mark but lacks a strong finish.
- ASINARA: Score 6/10. She is an “interesting outsider”. She comes off a win at Bath and is improving, but faces stronger opposition and lacks a tactical edge in this deep pace race. She could be outclassed.
- SO SMART (IRE): Score 5/10. His performance is hit-or-miss, and he would prefer an easier test.
- VINCE L’AMOUR (IRE): Score 4/10. He has shown poor recent form and has had bleeding issues. Tim Easterby, his trainer, has had two winners in the past two runnings of this race.
- WOOHOO (IRE): Score 7/10. She is an “each-way & place contender”. This progressive mare, trained by Jim Goldie, has strong recent form at Ayr. Her light weight and the presence of premier rider Amie Waugh are advantages. She has four wins in five starts this season and stays 6f, suggesting she could benefit from a collapsing pace. She is built for late surges in fast-run sprints.
- ROACH POWER (IRE): Score 9/10. He is a “top rated shape” and “strongest contender”. He is in top form, having achieved back-to-back wins, including one over this course and distance. He is suited by the ultra-fast pace and is tactically ridden upfront. Timeform considers him their top pick. He is a prolific front-runner with an imminent hat-trick chance. He is a proven course and distance winner in flying form, draws well, and should lead or stalk the speed.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Roach Power – 4/1, 9/2
- All Ways Glamorous – 6/1
- Billie Be Quick – 7/1, 13/2
- Existent – 8/1, 7/1
- Woohoo – 9/1, 8/1
- Blind Beggar – 12/1+, 10/1
- Others – 12/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Roach Power – He is a strong front-runner in peak form and looks the most solid contender.
- Each-Way Side: Woohoo – She is progressing, well-handicapped, and built for late surges in fast-run sprints.
19:35 Sligo – Lighthouse at Clifford Electrical Handicap Hurdle
Race Details: Class 4 Irish handicap hurdle, 2m4f168y, Good ground, 8 runners, 4yo+.
Pace Forecast: Weak – lacking natural pace-setters, a tactical race is likely.
Course Bias: Prominent racers are historically favoured at Sligo.
Tactical Hint: Timeform suggests a steadily run race would enhance the chances of GREAT OCEAN (FR), while it may blunt the late kick of OLLIE LA BA BA (IRE). Notably, BOSTON RAJJ (IRE) is often overbet in-running and vulnerable late.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- GRANGE WALK (IRE): Score 6/10. He is a dual-purpose horse with a sketchy jumping record and poor recent chase form. Although he is back to hurdles, his overall profile is less convincing, and he would need other runners to underperform. John Patrick Ryan, his trainer, has had 2 winners in the past 10 runnings of this race.
- BOSTON RAJJ (IRE): Score 9/10. He is a “strongest candidate”. He holds the top Timeform rating (134) in the field, is a course winner from June, and finished a strong third in his last race at Killarney (TFR 130). He handles good ground and typically races prominently. He represents the strong Gordon Elliott/J. W. Kennedy combination (who have a 46% strike rate on hurdle favourites). His form is solid and improving, making him well-suited by the race profile. The individual price hint suggests he tends to trade much lower than his Betfair SP but can be turned over.
- GREAT OCEAN (FR): Score 8/10. He is a “strongest candidate”. He reverts to hurdles after a disappointing return over fences. He is best judged on his 2024 win at Sligo (TFR 135+). His prominent running style and the forecast pace significantly improve his chances, making him a “bounce-back type”. He has upside on this switch to hurdles.
- FORTUNATE LIGHTING (IRE): Score 5/10. She has shown weak form, with defeats by over 30 lengths, and consistently finishes in midfield. She has poor Timeform figures and is on a downgrade, appearing exposed and not well-suited to the race.
- OLLIE LA BA BA (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “danger”. While his recent form has been poor, his handicap mark continues to fall. His novice win last season was highly rated (TFR 137). He should improve for the run, but his hold-up tactics may not suit this tactical affair. He is considered regressive but capable at his best.
- EMILY IN PARIS (IRE): Score 7/10. She is a “danger”. This solid mare has put in two strong efforts in July (a 2nd and a 5th). She previously won this race in 2023. However, there is a slight concern that she might be better suited to longer trips now. She is proven, but her suitability for this specific trip is slightly stretched.
- BRAVE SOLDIER (IRE): Score 6/10. He is a modest type, considered exposed, and typically struggles to finish strongly. He is deemed “up against it” in this field.
- CORNMARKET (IRE): Score 8/10. He is a “strongest candidate”. He arrives in peak form, having won both his recent Sligo starts under today’s jockey (A. M. King). He is well drawn in this small field and is clearly thriving. He remains unexposed after a quiet earlier career, and his hat-trick bid is considered live.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Boston Rajj – 3/1
- Cornmarket – 7/2
- Great Ocean – 6/1
- Emily In Paris – 13/2
- Ollie La Ba Ba – 7/1
- Grange Walk – 10/1
- Brave Soldier – 12/1
- Fortunate Lighting – 25/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Boston Rajj – He is peaking at the right time, the race shape suits him, and conditions are ideal.
- Each-Way Saver (if playing multiple): Great Ocean – He offers upside with his return to hurdles and has the best tactical setup for this race.
19:45 Sandown – Ultimate Summer Handicap
Race Details: Class 4, 7f, Turf, Good (Good to Firm in places), 7 runners, 3yo+ 0–85.
Pace Forecast: Weak.
Draw Bias: No clear pattern for 7f at Sandown in this field size.
Tactical Setup: With no confirmed front-runner, a steadily run race is expected. This setup favours runners with a turn of foot or those positioned well early. Energy efficiency and positioning will be crucial. Timeform’s Pace Map suggests PADUA, HAPPY BANNER, and DILIGENT RESDEV profile best for this type of setup.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- TENNESSEE GOLD (FR): Score 5/10. He is categorised as “others”. While he won this race last year, his form has looked regressive in 2025. His last effort at Newmarket wasn’t terrible, but he was poorly placed and failed to quicken. He needs everything to go right to bounce back, but he is exposed.
- WARM SPELL (IRE): Score 5/10. He is also categorised as “others”. He had a significant run after a break at Doncaster but has flopped since. He often starts slowly, which is a major negative in a tactical race, and he is inconsistent.
- DILIGENT RESDEV: Score 8/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He is a solid performer at this level. He finished a close-up third at York in his latest run, demonstrating good final sectional performance and closing speed. His best form is on good to firm ground, and he reliably performs well. He is considered reliable and has strong figures.
- LUNARIO (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He had a favourable trip at Chester when securing his latest win. He remains on a winnable mark, and Timeform notes that he is better suited by slow races. The 7f distance is a slight concern, as his ideal range is typically 7.5–8f. He is best when the pace is steady.
- PADUA (IRE): Score 8/10. He is a “strongest contender”. He is lightly raced and showing improvement. He gained an impressive win at Haydock last time, dominating from the front in a good time (TFR 90). He is still open to further progress and possesses early pace, which is advantageous in a weakly-run race. He is unexposed and tactically primed.
- HAPPY BANNER (IRE): Score 6/10. He is a “danger”. He is well-bred and improving, but might prefer a stronger gallop to run at. His final sectional performance profile is less convincing for a steadily-run 7f.
- THE HARE RAIL (IRE): Score 6/10. He is a “danger”. He finished runner-up at Sandown in his last outing in slightly lesser company. He is somewhat quirky and doesn’t always break well, but his figures suggest he is close to his ceiling. He is exposed but consistent.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Padua – 3/1
- Diligent Resdev – 7/2
- Lunario – 9/2
- The Hare Rail – 6/1
- Happy Banner – 7/1
- Tennessee Gold – 10/1
- Warm Spell – 14/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Padua – He is unexposed and tactically primed for this race.
- Each-Way Saver: Diligent Resdev – He has a reliable profile, handles the ground well, and his figures stack up.
20:00 Chepstow – Racing League 20 Handicap
Race Details: Class 3, 1m 4f, Turf, Good ground, 12 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-90.
Pace Forecast: Strong – multiple pace-forcers are likely to ensure a genuine tempo.
Draw Bias: Not significant (for a 12-runner field).
Tactical Setup: With an anticipated strong pace, BEYLERBEYI, LIEBER POWER, and potentially WINSTON JUNIOR are likely to benefit most. The strong pace could favour those with stamina reserves or those capable of sitting just off the leaders. Prominent runners from mid-to-low draws are best suited. BURREN SONG may struggle to stay in contention if going too hard early, and SOMETHING, a deep closer, is likely to find this race too tough.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- LA PULGA (IRE): Score 5/10. He is categorised as a “front runner, vulnerable late”. He may become a pace casualty if forced to press early. Although he was clear of the rest in a good Wolverhampton race, he has stamina concerns when asked to sustain high fractions. His style and stamina are negatives.
- LIEBER POWER: Score 8/10. He is a “main favourite” and “strong challenger”. He is a course specialist and the winner of this race last year. He hasn’t had an ideal setup recently but ran better than his result in the Bet365 Trophy. He travels well and races handy, which is ideal for today’s likely race shape. Although drawn a little wide in stall 11, his rider is excellent tactically. He is proven at Chepstow and drawn to be prominent.
- BEYLERBEYI: Score 9/10. He is a “main favourite” and “strongest contender”. He is in peak form, having secured two wins within a week, including a dominant 4¼-length success at Newmarket. The strong pace is expected to suit his strong-travelling style. Although often slowly away, he is learning to race more efficiently. A 5 lb penalty still leaves him “well-in” on Timeform ratings (Adj 103+), and his energy profile is notably efficient. He has a big chance of completing a hat-trick. The individual price hint notes he hit an in-running low of 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten on his latest outing. He is a class act, in form, and tactically well-positioned.
- BESET: Score 7/10. She is a “strong challenger”. She is a fairly lightly raced filly who has shaped as though more is to come. She ran well in a Curragh handicap, finishing third despite encountering trouble. She handles good ground and is likely to sit midfield. Her Timeform Adjusted rating (99+) suggests further upside. She is unexposed and unlucky last time, and could improve again.
- PER CONTRA (IRE): Score 5/10. He often flatters, and while he has a decent turf mark, a place is his best chance.
- MISS DOLLY ROCKER: Score 4/10. She was beaten by more than 9 lengths in her latest outing and appears held at this level.
- SOMETHING: Score 3/10. He is “likely unsuitable”. His running style doesn’t suit strong fractions, and as a deep closer with little shown over longer trips, he is uncompetitive.
- HAPTICS (FR): Score 6/10. He is an “interesting longshot”. His first start for his new yard (James Owen) suggests there is more to come. He ran to decent figures earlier this summer at Hamilton and Ripon and can be competitive if his new yard finds improvement. His EPF figures suggest he can race prominently, which is ideal for this tempo. He offers an improved chance now.
- BURREN SONG (IRE): Score 5/10. He is “likely unsuitable”. While a useful performer, he may find the strong pace too taxing and could fade under strong early fractions. Ciaran Murphy, his trainer, has a £50.00 profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting.
- RAINTOWN (IRE): Score 6/10. He has an “in-and-out profile”. He bounced back to form with a win last time at Newbury, but his overall profile is patchy. He is likely to be ridden patiently and would need a pace collapse to factor in the finish.
- WINSTON JUNIOR (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “strong challenger”. This Irish raider disappointed last time, but traded at very short odds in-running, suggesting his underlying form was present and he could bounce back strongly. He has been strong late in maidens and now tries handicaps off a fair mark (OR 86). He represents a shrewd Irish yard with a good record in UK raids. The individual price hint notes he hit an in-running low of 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten on his latest outing. He has an eye-catching in-running profile from his last race. He is a maiden on the up, and market support would be notable.
- BULLDOG SPIRIT (IRE): Score 4/10. He is on a sliding scale, and his recent figures do not inspire confidence.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- BEYLERBEYI – 7/2, 3/1
- LIEBER POWER – 6/1, 5/1
- BESET – 7/1, 13/2
- WINSTON JUNIOR – 7/1, 13/2
- HAPTICS – 9/1, 10/1
- LA PULGA – 12/1
- BURREN SONG – 14/1
- RAINTOWN – 12/1
- Others – 16/1+, 14/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: BEYLERBEYI – He is the most potent combination of form, weight, and race shape. He is tactically and form-wise the strongest option.
- Each-Way Covers:
- LIEBER POWER – He is a solid place contender.
- BESET and HAPTICS – They offer splitting long prices.
- WINSTON JUNIOR – He is an unexposed Irish runner with potential to peak.
20:25 Leopardstown – Tote Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap
Race Details: 1m 7f, Turf, Good-good to firm in places, 11 runners, 4yo+.
Overview: This is an international amateur jockey event, which is a longer stamina test compared to standard city handicaps.
Pace Forecast: Weak – allowing stamina runners to dominate late.
Draw Bias: No obvious bias; drawn position is less critical.
Tactical Hint: A steady early tempo is expected to favour frontrunner GRAPPA NONINO (IRE) slightly more than LADY KAI (IRE).
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- CURIOUS BRIDE (IRE): Score 8/10. She is a “key horse”. She is a recent course and distance winner (by 2¾ lengths) with proven good ground experience. She should remain competitive despite a 6lb rise in weight. She is a C&D specialist, capable of a strong performance off her current mark.
- FRIARY ROAD (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “key horse”. He is a dual bumper winner who performed well on his Flat debut and has placed in two maidens. He posted a fair third on his handicap debut over 1m5f. He retains untapped handicapping potential. He is improving and progressive, offering each-way appeal on his handicap debut.
- GRAPPA NONINO (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “key horse”. He led mid-race in his previous outing but faded late over 1m6f. He should tolerate a steady gallop better in this race, and his value might be under pressure. He is likely to be a front-runner, better suited to a slow pace.
- RICH BELIEF: Score 5/10. He has been out of sorts since the summer of 2024.
- LOUIESCALL (IRE): Score 6/10. He returned to form when finishing second in his last race. The individual price hint notes he traded at a quarter or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
- WALKING ON GLASS (IRE): Score 6/10. He is fit from hurdling and was well-backed in his last race.
- THE TRUANT (IRE): Score 6/10. He was back on track when finishing third last month but possibly found his last race coming too soon. Mr Finian Maguire, his jockey, has a 26% strike rate when riding one runner at a Flat meeting.
- LADY KAI (IRE): Score 8/10. She is a “key horse”. She is a promising stayers’ filly, and her recent third at Down Royal, off a strong pace, suggests she stays well and could finish powerfully. Timeform identifies her as their preferred choice. She goes well staying on and is proven on this ground.
- TAKARENGO (IRE): Score 5/10. He is fit from jumping but was well held in his last outing.
- SUPREME LAW (IRE): Score 4/10. He is a modest maiden who was well held in his last race.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- The source does not provide estimated tissue odds in the same format as other races, only the general betting forecast.
- Betting Forecast: 11/4 Curious Bride, 11/2 Louiescall, 6/1 Lady Kai, 15/2 Friary Road, 11/1 Party Dress, 12/1 Grappa Nonino, 14/1 Walking On Glass, 20/1 Takarengo, 22/1 The Truant, 33/1 Rich Belief, 125/1 Supreme Law.
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Lady Kai (IRE) – She is a staying filly with a potent finish, ideal for a slowly-run contest.
- Each‑Way Covers: Curious Bride (IRE) – She is a course and distance specialist, capable of a strong performance off her current mark. Friary Road (IRE) – He is improving and progressive, offering each-way appeal on his handicap debut.
20:30 Chepstow – Racing League 21 Handicap
Race Details: Class 3, 1m 2f, Turf, Good ground, 12 runners, 3yo+, Rated 0-90.
Pace Forecast: Weak – steady fractions anticipated.
Draw Bias: No material draw bias over this trip at Chepstow; tactical positioning matters more than stall allocation.
Tactical Setup: Prominent racers are usually favoured. The specific pace hint indicates that a steadily run race will serve HORNSEA BAY much better than SALAMANCA CITY (IRE). Handily‑ridden types like Hornsea Bay who can hug the pace should benefit, while deep closers are unlikely to be suited. HORNSEA BAY, ROGUE IMPACT, and FANTASY BELIEVER are expected to race handily.
Runners with Pertinent Info:
- CITY OF DELIGHT (USA): Score 4/10. He flopped in his latest outing and has a suspect profile.
- FANTASY BELIEVER (IRE): Score 7/10. He is a “main danger”. He won this race last year. He returned to form in his last outing, finishing third at Newcastle despite a troubled passage and finishing lame. He is well-handicapped if he can reproduce that effort. He can sit close to the pace, which enhances his profile. He is a course winner with proven class, dangerous if within range off the bend.
- AUSTRIAN THEORY (IRE): Score 5/10. He appears to be on a plateau, and the anticipated pace may not suit him.
- QITAAL: Score 6/10. He is a “notable other”. He bounced back to form with a close second at Yarmouth. He might be better with more cover, but has the form to hit the frame if the race unfolds more evenly than expected. He is suited by good to firm going.
- ROGUE IMPACT: Score 9/10. He is a “top contender”. He made a significant leap forward when finishing second on his handicap debut at Thirsk behind a progressive sort. He travels strongly, possesses gears, and should settle closer to the pace today. He is an unexposed colt with plenty of upside. This race appears to be a “planned go day” for him. He is light-profiled, upwardly mobile, and well-matched tactically. He is a fast-improving 3-year-old who should be ideally placed in a steadily-run affair.
- CAPLA LAZARUS (IRE): Score 5/10. He is a “notable other”. While effective and on the upgrade with a recent Ayr win, he tends to carry his head high and is considered a questionable battler in a finish. He will need a clear run to perform at his best. He is also freshened up and returning in a first-time hood.
- HORNSEA BAY: Score 8/10. He is a “top contender”. He returned to form when finishing second at Ayr in a steadily-run race. He is tactically well-suited to this contest and remains on a winnable mark (OR 86). He is not yet fully exposed and is racing with confidence. The individual price hint notes he is likely to be prominent early but has disappointed before after trading much lower than Betfair SP. He is a front-runner thriving in steady pace races. He is consistent and tactically well-drawn.
- SALAMANCA CITY (IRE): Score 6/10. She is a “main danger”. She delivered a career-best performance when finishing third at Doncaster in her last outing, despite being denied a clear run. While suited by slightly stronger gallops (making her potentially pace-compromised), she remains a filly on the upgrade. She is pace-adapted but lacks consistency. She is improving but tactically vulnerable.
- WHATHAPPENSINVEGAS (IRE): Score 5/10. He appears to have limited room for further progress.
- CROWD QUAKE: Score 6/10. He is an “interesting outsider”. He has risen sharply through the ranks with multiple wins and was not disgraced in his last outing at York. He should stay the trip, and his tactical speed makes him interesting if he continues to improve. He continues to climb the ladder.
- MANILA THRILLER: Score 4/10. Her hold-up style is not ideal for this race.
- FREDDY ROBINSON: Score 3/10. He is outclassed and it is difficult to make a case for him.
Estimated Tissue Odds:
- Hornsea Bay – 3/1, 5/1
- Rogue Impact – 4/1
- Salamanca City – 9/1, 8/1
- Fantasy Believer – 10/1, 7/1
- Qitaal – 9/1, 10/1
- Crowd Quake – 12/1, 10/1
- Others – rated around 10/1–14/1, 12/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: Rogue Impact – He has a light profile, is upwardly mobile, and is well-matched tactically. He is a fast-improving 3-year-old who should be ideally placed in a steadily-run affair.
- Place Bet: Hornsea Bay – He is likely to race prominently and seems well-handicapped off an OR of 86.
- Each-Way Saver: Fantasy Believer – He is a course winner with proven class, dangerous if within range off the bend.
- Supplementary Cover: Salamanca City – An each-way bet if a clean pace split and front-runners getting caught on their own is expected.
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