Beverley 3.47 – Racing TV Club Day Handicap (Class 5, 5f, 4yo+) A statiscal look using horseracebase RapidView.

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Going: Good to Firm | Runners: 10 | Prize: £8,508 | Avg OR: 65.8

The 3.47 at Beverley looks like a tight, competitive Class 5 sprint – but the stats paint a picture of a race where a couple of names leap off the page. Based on RapidView data, Without Flaw and Jojo Rabbit head the shortlist, with market outsiders like One More Dream offering each-way intrigue.


📊 Key Statistical Standouts

🏇 Without Flaw (8.50)Miss T Jackson / Warren Fentiman

  • Recent Form: Last 3 runs 67% win/place, Last 90 days 40% win rate.
  • Track Record: 67% strike at Beverley, strong over 5f (29% win rate).
  • Breeding: By Too Darn Hot out of Anahita (notable Beverley/5f stats), dam-sire Turtle Bowl adds further sprint suitability.
  • Verdict: Clear statistical leader; recent form, track/distance suitability, and breeding all point the same way.

🏇 Jojo Rabbit (5.00)Mrs R A Carr / Daniel Tudhope

  • Track/Class Fit: 33% Trk/Cls, 25% on going, 25% at this distance/class mix.
  • Recent Form: 40% Last 5 runs.
  • Jockey Factor: Tudhope is 30% in the last 7 days and 26% over 30 days.
  • Verdict: Strong profile for today’s conditions; Tudhope’s current form only boosts confidence.

💡 Dark Horse – One More Dream (15.00)J J Quinn / Sam Feilden

  • Fav Stat: 44% win rate when sent off favourite.
  • Trainer Form: Quinn is 50% in the last week.
  • Verdict: Needs things to fall right, but with this trainer’s current form, could outrun odds.

👩‍🏫 Trainer & Jockey Angles

  • Miss T Jackson: Consistently high win % over 30 days (22%), 90 days (29%), 1 year (20%), plus 36% at this distance.
  • Daniel Tudhope: Elite across all timeframes; a major asset to any mount.
  • Jason Hart / P T Midgley: Solid 20% strike as a pairing – watch if the market speaks.

🔍 Tactical View

  • Beverley’s 5f straight is often about early pace and holding a rail. Without Flaw and Jojo Rabbit both have strong track records, which is a positive given Beverley’s quirks.
  • The draw could play a part late in the day if the ground rides faster on one side, but on Good to Firm, pace positioning is usually the bigger factor.

📈 Chatgpt Smart Plays

  • Main Win Bet: Without Flaw – profile, stats, and breeding all align; price still offers value above 6.5.
  • Cover Bet: Jojo Rabbit – ticks every box for track/class/going; Tudhope factor is key.
  • Each-Way Value: One More Dream – trainer in hot form, better than the bare numbers suggest.

💭 Closing Word

This is a competitive sprint with a statistical lean toward Without Flaw, who shapes like the right favourite on paper even if the market hasn’t fully latched on yet. Jojo Rabbit is the danger with Tudhope up, while One More Dream is the wild card if the money comes. As ever – play the percentages, watch the market, and manage the risk.

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