Class 4 | 6f | Good to Firm | 2-y-o | 0–85 | £12,000
Likely even pace: Dark Alley (L), Sunny Smile (L), and potentially Penhallam (P) expected to be prominent, ensuring a fair tempo.
Draw Analysis: No clear bias on fast summer ground at Newbury over 6f, though middle stalls often ideal. No significant negative draws, though low draws may need early pace to avoid getting crowded.

---

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

🥇 Strongest Contenders:

Sunny Smile – Proven (Score: 8/10)
Off the mark at Hamilton in tidy style (RPR 84), showing improved efficiency and physical scope since being gelded. The win was backed by decent sectionals, and there’s substance to that form. Supremacy’s progeny are just beginning to hit their stride. Should be suited by 6f on fast turf, and Murphy is a notable booking. Well positioned from stall 5 with tactical speed.

Penhallam – Proven (Score: 8/10)
Gutsy winner over C&D in a strong Class 2; that race has depth and form was partially franked. Showed tactical speed and tenacity, and drop back to Class 4 is significant. Only concern is he looked a little quirky when hitting the front. Well treated off OR 77.

Dark Alley – Promising (Score: 7/10)
Progressive profile. Brought his Windsor improvement forward to win well at Bath. Pedigree suggests 6f is optimal. Sectionals confirm strong finish at Bath; still a bit green but improving fast. Drawn low, but has early speed to offset.

⚠️ Main Dangers:

Ahead Of Fashion – Exposed (Score: 6/10)
Holding his form but not progressing. Had chances in better nurseries, but usually one-paced late. On balance, this is slightly easier, but he’s likely reliant on the front end collapsing.

Indy B – Promising (Score: 7/10)
Held up on debut, improved to win narrowly at Salisbury in a steadily-run race. Likely to be suited by stronger tempo and extra experience. But stall 8 and hold-up style a risk tactically if pace collapses in mid-stages.

This Guy – Progressive? (Score: 6/10)
Underwhelming nursery debut, but previous efforts hinted at some ability. Bred to improve with time. 170k yearling, clear upside if he’s forgiven last effort. Tactically versatile but unclear if trip/track ideal yet.

🎯 Interesting Outsiders:

French Affair – Promising (Score: 6/10)
Not fully exposed, with signs of ability despite no win. Big RPR (87) on debut needs context — that was a slow-run race with moderate sectionals. Drawn well and might take a step forward in this lower grade.

Dark Mandate – Unproven (Score: 5/10)
Nursery debut. Pedigree is sharp and well-related, but nothing in prior runs suggests he’s thrown in off OR 66. Needs to find improvement on the switch to handicaps, but has the right profile to surprise.

---

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Sunny Smile – 8/10 – Acts on quick ground, strong recent win, trip ideal, stall fine.
• Penhallam – 8/10 – C&D winner, top effort in deeper race, stall acceptable.
• Dark Alley – 7/10 – Improving fast, bred for this trip, tactical speed helps from stall 2.
• Indy B – 7/10 – Progressing, but hold-up type with wide draw = tactical concern.
• Ahead Of Fashion – 6/10 – Consistent but exposed; needs race to collapse late.
• This Guy – 6/10 – Lightly raced, excuses last time, not yet proven in nurseries.
• French Affair – 6/10 – Some promise, pedigree strong, best figure may flatter.
• Dark Mandate – 5/10 – Needs to improve, but pedigree suggests potential.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

---

Each-Way Angles:

(9 runners – each-way terms apply)

Dark Alley (7/1+ likely) – Improving profile, effective over the trip, good run style for draw. Has some upside left.

---

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Sunny Smile – 3/1
• Penhallam – 4/1
• Dark Alley – 6/1
• Indy B – 7/1
• Ahead Of Fashion – 9/1
• French Affair – 10/1
• This Guy – 12/1
• Dark Mandate – 14/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

---

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This nursery should be run at an even pace, with a well-balanced field containing improvers and a few exposed types. Sunny Smile looks progressive since gelding and boasts the strongest last-time-out figure. Penhallam drops in class and brings resilient form from deeper waters. Dark Alley remains unexposed and is likely still improving.

---

Smart Play:

Win Selection: Sunny Smile – progressive since gelding, tactically versatile, strong rider booking.
Each-Way Saver: Dark Alley – improving type with good sectionals last time, draw fine.