Pace Angles & Draw Bias
This looks to be run at a strong gallop. Likely pace comes from Match Play, Smooth Silesie, Infinity Blue, and Gypsy Nation. That sets things up well for strong travellers or late closers with a turn of foot.
Draw: No major bias at Yarmouth over 5f, though low draws (1–3) are marginally favoured in big fields with early speed. Here, stalls 1–3 (Angle Land, Gypsy Nation, Smooth Silesie) could be best placed.
Contenders, Dangers & Outsiders
Strongest Contenders:
- Smooth Silesie (Proven, In-Form)
Has been thriving with blinkers applied and returned to form in summer, producing three solid efforts on turf. Latest 2nd at Lingfield was a genuine effort under penalty. Drawn well, has tactical speed, and Pat Cosgrave a notable booking. Handles quick ground and this track. - Match Play (Progressive)
Solid figures since fitted with blinkers, won well at Pontefract and wasn’t disgraced under a penalty next time. Strong traveller and adaptable tactically. Trainer and jockey combo in form. Respected despite a slightly higher mark now. - Infinity Blue (Proven, Danger)
Appears to have benefitted from wind surgery and now races off a workable mark. Narrowly denied last time (better run than Hamilton), and still well handicapped on best AW form. Visor retained. Slight concern that he can be vulnerable late, but this is winnable.
Main Dangers:
- Angle Land (Proven, Temperamental)
Back on a winning mark and goes well here (C&D winner). Yet her finishing effort remains questionable under pressure, often not finding much late. SDS is an upgrade and draw is positive, but she’s not straightforward. - Coolagh Magic (Proven, Exposed)
Nine-time winner who handles turf and AW, though best form has come indoors. Back to last winning mark and has shaped with some late headway recently. Track and trip okay but more place than win credentials.
Interesting Outsiders:
- Gypsy Nation (Promising?)
Lightly raced on turf and shaped like a winner-in-waiting when scoring at Nottingham two back, before a solid 3rd under a penalty. Still low mileage for a 5yo and lightly raced on turf. Drawn well, and has a good turn of foot off strong pace. - Latin Five (Exposed but Competitive)
Hard to win with but running well this year. Will need luck from wide draw but enters calculations off this mark. Clear hold-up risk if pace collapses.
Runner Scores & Suitability
- Smooth Silesie: 8/10 – Well suited to trip and ground, in strong form.
- Match Play: 8/10 – Likely to go close again. Yard in form, thrives off strong pace.
- Infinity Blue: 7/10 – Better than bare form. Visor has helped. Late fade possible.
- Angle Land: 6.5/10 – Strong course profile, but flattered by front-running tactics. May fold.
- Coolagh Magic: 6/10 – Track okay. Form has dipped; hard to catch right.
- Gypsy Nation: 7.5/10 – Improving. Lightly raced on turf. Draw and pace angle suit.
- Latin Five: 6/10 – Multiple excuses recently. Could grab a place with luck.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (8 runners)
- Gypsy Nation – profile suggests upside remains, low draw and pace setup ideal.
- Smooth Silesie – solid consistency and peaking now. Very likely to be in the mix.
Private Tissue Estimate
- Smooth Silesie – 3/1
- Match Play – 7/2
- Infinity Blue – 9/2
- Gypsy Nation – 6/1
- Angle Land – 7/1
- Latin Five – 12/1
- Coolagh Magic – 14/1
- Others – 16/1+
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Professional Punter View (“Smart Play”)
This 5f sprint features a mix of exposed older handicappers and a few in-form, tactically versatile types. With a likely strong pace and no clear draw disadvantage, this should favour closers with a turn of foot.
Smart Play:
- Win Selection: Smooth Silesie – hitting form at the right time, well drawn, tactically flexible.
- Each-Way Saver: Gypsy Nation – potential improver on turf, nicely drawn, pace should suit.
This is a race for stamina-speed blend at 5f with some late energy efficiency potentially decisive.
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