4.50 Epsom – Betfred ‘Follow Us On X’ Handicap (Class 5, 7f 3y, 3yo+)

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Pace Angles: Even pace expected, with several habitual pressers but no confirmed front-runner.
Draw Angles: Low to middle draws generally preferred over 7f at Epsom in fields of this size. Stalls 1–4 hold an edge unless the pace collapses.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

RevolutioniseProven
Veteran with a strong back catalogue and competitive current form. Just behind Crimson Spirit in two recent turf efforts, showing consistency at this track and trip. Still 7 lb better on the AW but handles this course and gets a race setup he can sit off. Backed up recent RPRs of 81 and 80 with solid sectionals. Drawn 6, ideal for a stalk-and-pounce ride. Rossa Ryan booked – a plus.

Marlay ParkProven
Multiple C&D winner, rejuvenated last time at Brighton (hooded first time). Loves Epsom, record here: 4 wins, 6 places. Big positive profile return in notebook comment: “spot on for next month for a couple of handicaps he’s won previously.” Drawn 2, perfect spot tactically. Does carry the risk of being a 13-time loser recently, but return to prime conditions significant.

Silver TrumpetPromising
On a winnable mark. Consistent enough profile, but some below-par turf efforts of late. Strong second to Stratocracy at Newbury in June and ran well at Southwell latest under pressure from wide draw. Epsom debut, but shaping as though this setup could suit. One to watch for bounce-back with conditions suiting.

The Bitter MooseInteresting Outsider
Eye-catching run style – comes home well, 0-17 on turf but several near-misses. Often compromised by slow starts but has hinted a win is close. Trainer not firing (0-10 last 14 days), but David Probert a good booking. Return to 7f ideal. Drawn 3 – close to pace sweet spot.

Savvy ExchangeFlat profile
Now 1/12, often compromises his effort late. Doesn’t quite quicken at 7f unless the race collapses. Best runs have come on synthetic surfaces. Likely held-up – draw 7 a small concern with potential traffic issues. Could hit the frame but limited upside.


Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

  • Revolutionise: 8/10 – Very well suited to trip, track, surface. Solid recent form. Trainer in form.
  • Marlay Park: 8/10 – C&D specialist, bounce-back run latest. Draw and pace ideal.
  • Silver Trumpet: 7/10 – Well handicapped, needs to settle and find rhythm here.
  • The Bitter Moose: 6.5/10 – Strong recent form, but always a hostage to slow starts.
  • Savvy Exchange: 6/10 – Lacks tactical pace and finishing kick; others stronger.
  • The Organiser: 5.5/10 – One good win this year but form tailed off badly since.
  • Danger Alert: 5/10 – Dropping weights but no spark in last few; risky proposition.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.


Each-Way Angles

With 8 runners declared, each-way value exists.

  • The Bitter Moose makes each-way appeal based on consistent late runs and return to 7f.
  • Silver Trumpet also a viable place play at the prices, if settled early.

Private Tissue Estimate

  • Revolutionise – 4/1
  • Marlay Park – 9/2
  • Silver Trumpet – 6/1
  • The Bitter Moose – 7/1
  • Savvy Exchange – 8/1
  • The Organiser – 12/1
  • Danger Alert – 14/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Professional Punter View

This is a lowly Class 5 handicap but features several course specialists and well-handicapped types. The likely even pace and dry ground swing the advantage to proven course horses with a turn of foot. The race will be tactically shaped by positioning from the gate – lower draws could dominate.


Smart Play

Win Selection: Marlay Park – C&D specialist who looks primed for a peak effort after a positive prep run.
Each-Way Saver: The Bitter Moose – Strong recent profile and finishes well; value if breaking on terms.

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