Pace Angles:
Likely even to honest gallop. Cancan In The Rain (EPF 1) and Pink Lily (EPF 2) can race prominently, with Just Typical and Artificer also typically pressing leaders. Renesmee and Dream Pirate are usually held up and face some tactical risk if pace underwhelms.
Draw Angles:
Drawn middle to low seems advantageous at 1m on the July Course with a slight bias against wide runners. Stalls 1–4 have historically fared well when the ground is fast and pace is even.
Contenders and Profiles
Strongest Contenders
- Renesmee (Proven) – 9/10
Outstanding current form (form figures 2331421 since May). Narrow win latest, stays 1m well, acts on fast ground, drawn low (1), and now partnered with Jim Crowley. She’s thriving in 2025 and appears to hold a tactical edge. - Cancan In The Rain (Proven) – 8.5/10
Recent Southwell win was solid; hung slightly but saw it out. Has 87 RPRs in similar races, adaptable on trip and going. Prominent style is a positive from stall 3. Remains on a fair mark with further upside. - Bella Bisbee (Progressive) – 8/10
Eyecatching second two starts back, upgraded for racing against pace bias. Ground and trip no concern. Yet to win on turf but improving, and drawn to stalk pace in stall 4.
Main Dangers
- Dream Pirate (Proven) – 7.5/10
Consistent, all wins over this trip, but clear preference for soft ground. On solid terms but may find ground too quick. Handles pace setups well. - Onemorenomore (Track-dependent) – 7/10
All wins at Doncaster, but recent RPRs are solid. May run well again, but not as effective away from his favourite track.
Interesting Outsiders
- Just Typical (Promising) – 7/10
Four-time winner this year, albeit all at Class 6. Now faces stronger rivals and fast ground, but profile is upward. Not without hope if pace collapses. - Artificer (Progressive) – 6.5/10
Still unexposed; looked genuine in small-field turf/AW contests. Faces better opposition but is running consistently and improving. - Pink Lily (Proven but placed ceiling) – 6/10
Dual winner but carries highest career mark now. Often stays on without threatening. Ground suits; likely place shout more than win.
Runner Scores & Suitability Analysis
- Renesmee: 9/10 – Suited by track, distance, and going. Strong form.
- Cancan In The Rain: 8.5/10 – Proven at this level, drawn well, solid.
- Bella Bisbee: 8/10 – In-form filly with more to come.
- Dream Pirate: 7.5/10 – Ground a concern; effective otherwise.
- Onemorenomore: 7/10 – Track a question mark; recent RPRs fair.
- Just Typical: 7/10 – Upward profile; ground/trip no issue.
- Artificer: 6.5/10 – Lightly raced, scope for further.
- Pink Lily: 6/10 – Stronger fields may catch her out late.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (8 runners)
- Bella Bisbee looks a viable each-way play given her solid turf run last time and profile of running into places.
Private Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds)
- Renesmee – 3/1
- Cancan In The Rain – 4/1
- Bella Bisbee – 6/1
- Dream Pirate – 8/1
- Onemorenomore – 9/1
- Just Typical – 10/1
- Artificer – 14/1
- Pink Lily – 16/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Smart Play
This looks a competitive Class 5 with Renesmee setting a strong standard on recent evidence and profiling as a “go day” horse – tactically well-drawn and with a top jockey booked. Cancan In The Rain is respected from the front, while Bella Bisbee remains of interest at the prices after two encouraging efforts.
Smart Play:
- Win: Renesmee
- Each-Way Saver: Bella Bisbee
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