Pace Angles:
This has the makings of an even to strong gallop. Likely pace-setters include Dickieburd, South Parade, and possibly Ingleby Archie, who all favour being ridden prominently or from the front. If contested early, it could set up nicely for a stalker drawn midfield or with cover.

Draw Angles:
Historically, low to middle draws have been favoured over 5f at Thirsk on quick ground when the field splits. With a field of this size and pace likely on both flanks, a neutral to slight low-draw edge is expected.

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Contenders, Dangers, and Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

• Ingleby Archie – Proven (8/10)
  Reliable 5f specialist with solid York form. Profile fits: loves sharp tracks, handles fast ground, and boasts 90 RPRs at this level. Reverts to 5f after decent 6f runs; early pace to lead from draw 1. Just 1lb above last winning mark. Has the ideal tactical setup.
• South Parade – Progressive (7/10)
  Solid runs in deeper fields; most recent Thirsk third behind Equity Law was a career-best on adjusted figures. Potentially well-handicapped. First go back at Thirsk in a while, but draw 4 suits. Oisin Orr back on board is a plus.
• Stash The Cash – Promising (7/10)
  Ground a concern (better on softer), but has run to 100 RPR at this trip. Could be a late threat if there’s a pace collapse. Wide variance in form depending on ground/track configuration. David Allan retains faith.

Main Dangers:

• Hover On The Wind – Proven (6/10)
  One-paced late on last two starts but prior Thirsk form and Beverley win point to a resurgence. Draw 6 OK; Midgley’s sprinters can bounce back quickly.
• Sevensees – Regressive (5/10)
  On a declining curve but ran better than it looked LTO at Thirsk. Might be coming back to form off falling mark. More of a place angle than win.

Interesting Outsider:

• Dickieburd – Regressive but interesting if breaking cleanly (5/10)
  Blinkers on again, and stall 5 is fine for his running style. Often prominent, and his best RPRs would be competitive if he finds them. Wouldn’t be a shock for place money if left alone early.

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Runner Scores and Suitability

• Ingleby Archie: 8/10 – Well-suited; track, ground, distance all ideal. Prominent run style a big plus here.
• South Parade: 7/10 – Ticking upwards again. Draw and jockey both positives.
• Stash The Cash: 7/10 – Best form with ease but figures stack up. May outstay others if collapse.
• Hover On The Wind: 6/10 – Needs a strong pace; likely place player if back to form.
• Sevensees: 5/10 – Yard in form, but recent efforts patchy. Could surprise.
• Dickieburd: 5/10 – Not the force of old but capable if things fall right.
• Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
• Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (8 runners)

• South Parade – Better than result at Chester; ground/trip/track all suit. A fair each-way price could make appeal.
• Stash The Cash – If the pace burns out the leaders, could be best of closers.

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Private Tissue Estimate (fair odds):

• Ingleby Archie – 3/1
• South Parade – 11/2
• Stash The Cash – 6/1
• Hover On The Wind – 7/1
• Sevensees – 10/1
• Dickieburd – 12/1
• Others – 16/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary & Smart Play

A competitive sprint with several old hands returning to ideal conditions. Pace should be honest, possibly strong, which benefits those sitting just off it or drawn with cover.

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Smart Play

• Win Selection: Ingleby Archie – best form, ideal conditions, tactically suited. Will be hard to peg back if away smartly.
• Each-Way Saver: South Parade – consistent at this level, progressive this year, and well positioned.