6.45 Tramore – Assembly Tech Mares Handicap Hurdle (€11,500), 2m 80y, Good ground

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Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

This race is likely to unfold at an even to steady pace, with no obvious confirmed front-runners. Several in the field (Tingarran Express, Eve’s Hope, Ballycashin) prefer racing handily or pressing leaders but none are aggressive trailblazers. This opens the door for well-positioned stalkers or those with a tactical turn of foot. No draw bias at Tramore over hurdles, but track position turning in is vital due to the sharp nature of the circuit.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

1. Paul’s DreamProgressive

  • Trainer A. Mullins has two in here, and this mare has shown clear upward form since entering handicaps.
  • Strong finishing second two runs back at Wexford (RPR 117) and backed that up with a solid fourth last time.
  • Handles quick ground well and likely has more to give off 92. Good profile.

2. OnebrightblueroseProven

  • Has been holding her form all summer; dual C&D winner with strong recent efforts (RPR 114).
  • Versatile, reliable and consistent in this grade, albeit possibly near her ceiling.
  • The blinkers seem to have sharpened her. Respected from the foot of the weights.

3. A Snow White ParkPromising

  • Lightly raced 4yo from Margaret Mullins. Created a good impression on debut at Ballinrobe and is bred to stay well.
  • Excuses at Galway in a stronger race, but her RPR of 120 on debut is top-end here.
  • Dangerous improver now into handicaps; unexposed profile.

Main Dangers:

4. BallycashinProven

  • High-marked (OR 110) and respectable RPRs in 3 of last 5 runs, though remains vulnerable to improvers.
  • Ground and trip both fine. May have been flattered by sectional shape of run two back.
  • Topweight and 8 years old, but consistent.

5. Tingarran ExpressExposed but capable

  • Often placed, and her best efforts (RPRs 113–115) can mix it at this level.
  • Finishing effort a concern — has regularly faded late on despite travelling well.
  • Frame contender again, but hard to see her winning without pace collapse.

6. Stumblin InCapable but unreliable

  • Patchy form but showed she can win off similar marks when conditions are right.
  • Has struggled at longer trips recently; drop back to two miles is positive.
  • Needs to bounce back from recent flop.

Interesting Outsiders:

Miss MaxfortPromising

  • Yet to fully deliver in handicaps but shaped well on maiden win and pedigree suggests improvement to come.
  • Could be underestimated after midpack finishes in deeper races.

Polly PoppinsPromising

  • Stayed on late last time; eye-catching effort and this stiffer finish could suit.
  • RPRs of 116 and 117 stand out for one rated just 89. Market move would be significant.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

  • Paul’s Dream: 8/10 – Well suited by ground, distance, and track; looks to be peaking.
  • Onebrightbluerose: 8/10 – Course form and recent efforts stack up; well in at weights.
  • A Snow White Park: 7.5/10 – Unexposed improver; this could be a “go day”.
  • Ballycashin: 7/10 – Solid but exposed; topweight against progressive types.
  • Tingarran Express: 6.5/10 – Likely to run her race but hard to see her finding more.
  • Miss Maxfort: 6.5/10 – Unexposed; not one to give up on.
  • Stumblin In: 6/10 – Capable on a going day but unreliable.
  • Eve’s Hope: 6/10 – Effective when conditions suit; signs of regression.
  • Sea Of Doubt: 5/10 – Patchy and recent efforts uninspiring.
  • Polly Poppins: 6/10 – Has a race in her; interesting if stepped up in trip soon.
  • Tasmanian Girl: 5/10 – Very hit and miss; not solid enough at present.

Note: Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days. Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.


Each-Way Angles:

With 12 declared runners, each-way betting is viable.

  • Polly Poppins (EW) – Down the weights and ran on nicely last time. This sharper finish may help if she gets a pace to run at.
  • Miss Maxfort (EW) – Lightly raced and shaped better than bare result two back. Back on a sound surface.

Private Tissue Estimate:

Based on Timeform data, form trends, race dynamics, and potential upside:

  • Paul’s Dream – 3/1
  • Onebrightbluerose – 4/1
  • A Snow White Park – 11/2
  • Ballycashin – 13/2
  • Miss Maxfort – 10/1
  • Polly Poppins – 10/1
  • Tingarran Express – 12/1
  • Stumblin In – 14/1
  • Eve’s Hope – 16/1
  • Sea Of Doubt – 20/1
  • Tasmanian Girl – 25/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This is a wide-open mares’ handicap with a mix of exposed types and several unexposed improvers. Course form is a notable plus here, but sharp-track pace dynamics and tactical awareness will be key.

Smart Play:

  • Win Selection: Paul’s Dream – Coming to the boil, progressive, and well suited to the conditions.
  • Each-Way Saver: Polly Poppins – Threatening to run a big one; RPRs suggest she’s better than her mark.

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