TimeWise Chronicles

7:49 Comeragh Veterinary Kilmacthomas Handicap Hurdle at Tramore

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Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles

7:49 Tramore – Comeragh Veterinary Kilmacthomas Handicap Hurdle
Class: 80-102 Handicap Hurdle | Value: €11,500 | Distance: 2m5f | Going: Good

Pace Scenario: An even pace is most likely. No habitual front-runners are confirmed, though Rose Boum, Mephisto, and Bossing It have shown tactical versatility and could adopt prominent positions. No strong pace angle.

Draw Angles: Not applicable over hurdles at Tramore.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments

Strongest Contender

Mephisto – Proven (Rating: 8/10)
Has suddenly found form over hurdles, rattling off back-to-back wins at Wexford and Ballinrobe just days apart. Now seeking the hat-trick under a 7lb penalty (offset by rider familiarity). Timefigures not dazzling but has clocked strong late splits on both wins, especially off even gallops. Seems to enjoy the longer trip and surface, and is thriving in a visor. The progressive profile suggests he may have more to offer even with a career-high mark.

Main Dangers

Rose Boum – Progressive (Rating: 7/10)
Very game winner at Punchestown in June and followed that up with solid runs, albeit weakening late when asked to press from further out than ideal. Responded well to blinkers and appears to stay this trip well. RPR of 108 indicates she remains fairly handicapped. Handles Tramore-style track shapes and rider retains.

Spellacy’s Cross – Interesting Outsider (Rating: 7/10)
Deserves a win having finished second in three consecutive outings over staying trips. Solid efforts against similar calibre horses, and his form ties in with the reliable Small Town Hero and Evans Secret. Trainer strike rate is modest but horse is holding form well. One of the few unexposed stayers in the field with real upward momentum.

Interesting Outsiders

Mrs Biddle – Proven (Rating: 6/10)
Generally runs her race at this level, particularly on tight tracks like Tramore. Recent form includes two placed efforts at similar trips. Could sneak a place again under a handy weight.

Tyson – Promising (Rating: 6/10)
Back from a break and shaped well to grab fourth at Downpatrick upped in trip and fitted with cheekpieces. That effort hinted at more to come. The extra yardage here looks a plus, and he’s lightly raced enough to improve again.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

  • Mephisto: 8/10 – Very well-suited; in form; trip and going ideal; repeat effort puts him close.
  • Rose Boum: 7/10 – Proven stamina; blinkers helping; remains competitively handicapped.
  • Spellacy’s Cross: 7/10 – Continues to knock on the door; solid stamina; good handicap mark.
  • Bossing It: 6/10 – Lively ground suits; maiden win showed ability; not yet proven under handicap conditions.
  • Tyson: 6/10 – Upwardly mobile; step up in trip suits; fitter now.
  • Clonbury Bridge: 5/10 – Fair chaser; not convinced he’s as good back hurdling; stamina okay.
  • Mrs Biddle: 6/10 – Course form; usually runs well here; place chance.
  • Seeitoldya: 5/10 – Unexposed; possibly better with more time and experience; stamina not proven.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-Way Angles (8+ runners)

With a full field, Spellacy’s Cross stands out as the most interesting each-way proposition, given his consistent frame hitting and solid staying form.

Private Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds)

HorseOdds
Mephisto3/1
Rose Boum6/1
Spellacy’s Cross13/2
Bossing It10/1
Tyson10/1
Mrs Biddle12/1
Clonbury Bridge14/1
Seeitoldya14/1
Others20/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This 2m5f Tramore handicap lacks early pace and could be shaped by tactical rides. Mephisto arrives in top form and is clearly thriving for a visor and trip. His sectionals suggest he’s finding more late, and he’s well capable of defying another rise. Rose Boum remains a danger if ridden more patiently, while Spellacy’s Cross brings a consistent, staying profile into play.

Smart Play

Win Selection: Mephisto – thriving hurdler, handles the conditions, and still looks fairly treated.
Each-Way Saver: Spellacy’s Cross – ultra-consistent and due a breakthrough; shaping like a winner-in-waiting.

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