1. Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles

5.05 Perth – Guy Stirling Is 50! Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)

• 2m4f35y | Good ground | 0–120 Handicap | 4yo+
• Field size: 13
• Surface: Turf | Configuration: Right-handed, flat galloping
• No draw bias relevant (jumps)

Likely Pace: Even pace with a slight lean towards being strongly run.

• Malangen and possibly Broughshane or Summergrounds could force the pace.
• Spit Spot, Tamar Bridge, and Power Of Words are likely hold-up types — hold-up risk applies especially if the leaders steal a march.

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2. Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders

Power Of Words – Proven

• Lightly raced, upwardly mobile 4yo from Gordon Elliott.
• Strong sectionals in latest Roscommon win and has hit 122 RPR twice recently.
• First handicap, and gets weight-for-age—likely still ahead of the assessor.
• Running style: Late closer – hold-up risk applies but effectiveness over this trip is well established.
• Going: Proven on good and yielding.

Broughshane – Progressive

• Blinkers and a yard switch worked wonders latest; career-best RPR of 121.
• Can race prominently and dig in when challenged; will be thereabouts if repeating that.
• Trainer bullish about future chasing career, but this may be another stepping stone.

Tamar Bridge – Regressive, but Classy

• Down in grade, back in form with a narrow win in March after a 3-month absence.
• Has past form off much higher marks (last win off 128).
• Stays this trip well, but hasn’t raced much in recent seasons. Might be a bounce risk second run back.

Main Dangers

Invictus World – Promising

• Low-mileage hurdler, second win last time off a break.
• Could still be ahead of mark and is relatively unexposed.
• Course form a bonus. Claims if building on that run, but consistency has been patchy.

Harper Valley – Proven

• Last win came at Musselburgh off 115; now 2lb higher.
• Often runs well without winning. Late headway style leaves him needing a strong pace.
• Hold-up risk.

Summergrounds – Proven & Reliable

• Loves good ground at Perth; solid win and two places here this year.
• Nicky Richards excels with older horses in this grade.
• Peak rating of 122 suggests competitiveness off 105.

Interesting Outsiders

Spit Spot – Unexposed Mare

• Highly consistent in summer novice hurdles, running to the same 117–119 level multiple times.
• First go beyond 2m in handicaps; bred to stay. May improve for it.
• Gets in off 101 and Patrick Wadge claims 3lb.

Malangen – Veteran Front-Runner

• Won this race off 102 in 2023; now back down to 94.
• May try to make all again; tactics key. Can go close if left alone.

Moonbow – Promising

• Point and bumper winner, caught the eye early in novice hurdles.
• Showed a bit more last time in cheekpieces. Handicap debut off 110.

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3. Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• Power Of Words: 9/10 – Well-suited, lightly raced improver, strong trainer/jockey combo.
• Broughshane: 8/10 – Ground suits, tactical profile fits, but jumping a question mark.
• Tamar Bridge: 7/10 – Form chance on past runs, but freshness edge gone.
• Invictus World: 7/10 – Improving, but only one convincing effort in last five.
• Harper Valley: 6.5/10 – Often runs well; doesn’t win many. Needs things to fall right.
• Summergrounds: 7/10 – Track and ground ideal, proven consistency.
• Spit Spot: 7/10 – Dangerously weighted; still unexposed. Track form solid.
• Malangen: 6.5/10 – Tactics vital. Will give a bold sight if left alone.
• Moonbow: 6/10 – Opening mark could be lenient; early days.
• Fostered Phil: 5/10 – Exposed, inconsistent, but placed last time.
• Cuban Cigar: 4.5/10 – Needs rain; ground against.
• Invictus World: 6.5/10 – Repeats RPR 118 wins this. Just needs to back it up.
• Cuban Cigar & Malangen: 5.5/10 each – Ground unsuited, but both former course winners.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form hurdlers returning quickly; they can be hot.

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4. Each-Way Angles (13 runners)

• Spit Spot (Each-way angle): Lightly raced mare who could improve up in trip; well-treated off 101.
• Summergrounds: Consistent and effective on this track/ground; good place claims.

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5. Private Tissue Estimate

Horse	Estimated Odds
Power Of Words	7/2
Broughshane	9/2
Tamar Bridge	11/2
Spit Spot	8/1
Summergrounds	8/1
Invictus World	9/1
Harper Valley	10/1
Malangen	12/1
Moonbow	14/1
Fostered Phil	20/1
Cuban Cigar	25/1
Others	33/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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6. Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This is a wide-open, competitive 0–120 summer handicap. There’s depth in the field, but a few runners are on potentially lenient marks with upside.

Smart Play

• Win Selection: Power Of Words
  • Brings in consistent Irish maiden form, well-handicapped, and with Gordon Elliott’s yard in form.
• Each-Way Saver: Spit Spot
  • Lightly raced mare who has run to a mark in the high teens and now gets a proper test of stamina. Looks well-in.