Class: 70-50 Handicap | Trip: 6f | Surface: Turf (Good) | Age: 3yo+ | Purse: €18,000

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Pace Angles & Draw Bias

Likely pace: Even-to-solid tempo. Several prominent racers: Jered Maddox, Carrigans Grove, and American In Paris tend to race near the pace. Hero Of The Hour may also push forward.

Draw implications: Historically, Curragh sprints over 6f on the straight course do not exhibit strong draw bias, but slight pace clusters low to middle suggest low/mid draws (stalls 2–7) might be marginally preferred.

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Strongest Contenders, Main Dangers, Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders

• Carrigans Grove – Proven (Score: 8/10)
  Holds a cracking record in recent 6f handicaps, consistently placed and just denied in a big-field Naas event last time. Suits the trip, acts on good ground, and has a strong finishing kick. Gary Carroll back on board is a plus.
• Annie Lavinia – Promising (7/10)
  Lightly raced 3yo who won last time out in good style and previously chased home American In Paris. Still learning but going the right way with upside. Wide draw (4) may offer clean running.
• Jered Maddox – Proven (7/10)
  Veteran with strong AW form earlier in the year. Turf form less reliable, but returns to 6f, where he’s better suited. Now 3lb below last winning turf mark. Drawn 8; should get cover.

Main Dangers

• Irish Rumour – Progressive (6.5/10)
  Holding her form well in big fields, consistently running on. Does her best work late and lacks tactical speed, but pace angle here helps. Slight hold-up risk, but drawn to track through.
• Send Harry – Promising (6.5/10)
  Improving 3yo. Placed in all recent turf starts. His Naas third showed he can see out a strong 6f despite a slow start. Potential BTL improver.
• American In Paris – Proven (6/10)
  Back to form with a win two starts ago. Tends to be inconsistent but now back in winning range. Has the pace to make his own luck. Claimer offsets low mark.

Interesting Outsiders

• Devil’s Angel – Exposed but handicapped to win (5.5/10)
  Hard to catch right but has run decent RPRs in better races and remains capable. Claimer offsets age-related regress.
• Von Krolock – Regressive but rebounded last time (5/10)
  Recovered form last time with a strong late effort. Still well-treated on old AW form. Questionable consistency, but well drawn in stall 5.

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Runner Scores & Suitability Summary

• Carrigans Grove – 8/10: Track/trip/ground all ideal. Drawn well.
• Annie Lavinia – 7/10: Scopey 3yo. Improving. Likes the Curragh.
• Jered Maddox – 7/10: AW veteran. Tolerates turf on good ground.
• Irish Rumour – 6.5/10: Handles track. Effective closer, reliant on pace.
• Send Harry – 6.5/10: Learning his trade. Suits race setup.
• American In Paris – 6/10: Hit or miss. Needs pace collapse.
• Nezeeh – 5.5/10: Two solid efforts in blinkers. Draw ok.
• Devil’s Angel – 5.5/10: Veteran. Trip ideal but form patchy.
• Von Krolock – 5/10: Hard to trust, but last run good.
• Bluebelardo – 4.5/10: Lacks strength at the finish. Still raw.
• Nammos – 4/10: Best on AW. Turf an issue.
• Hero Of The Hour – 4/10: One good recent win, others poor.
• Hell Left Loose – 3.5/10: Often regressive. Unreliable.
• Cu Chulainn – 3.5/10: Low grade turf performer. Trip sharp.

Advice:

• Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
• Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles

(16 runners – 4 places likely with standard books)

• Carrigans Grove (8/1+) – Reliable, consistent placer with finishing kick.
• Send Harry (10/1+) – Upside in form. May break better second time.
• Von Krolock (20/1+) – Value if backing bounce off last.

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Private Tissue Estimate (Odds Line)

Horse	Odds
Carrigans Grove	5/1
Annie Lavinia	6/1
Jered Maddox	13/2
Send Harry	7/1
Irish Rumour	8/1
American In Paris	10/1
Nezeeh	12/1
Devil’s Angel	16/1
Von Krolock	16/1
Others	20/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Smart Play

Race complexion: Open sprint handicap with several exposed types, but a few solid contenders arriving in form. Likely even-to-strong pace offers opportunity for closers, but Curragh’s long straight gives all running styles a chance.

Smart Play

• Win bet: Carrigans Grove – Proven, in top form, stays 6f well, and nicely drawn.
• Each-way saver: Send Harry – Progressive 3yo who looks ready to strike.