Pace Angles: Moderate gallop expected. Fighting Queen and Francisco are most likely to press or lead, but both can fluff the start. A tactical contest could unfold.
Draw Angles: Bath’s 1m on firm ground is fair, though mid-to-high draws are slightly favoured when pace is absent. No obvious bias today.
Strongest Contenders:
MY AMBITION (Proven) – 8/10
Three-time C&D winner who returned to winning form here in July. His best has consistently come at Bath and he’s well handicapped on recent efforts. Can forgive latest Chepstow run where he didn’t settle. Drawn ideally, with track, trip, and ground all optimal.
OASIS SUNRISE (Progressive) – 7/10
Scored over this C&D in July when things finally clicked. Outpaced next time but that was a stronger field. Back to her ideal setup here and drawn to get cover. Likely to be delivered late and has upside in this company.
Main Dangers:
STAR OF ATLANTIS (Promising) – 7/10
Outperformed her odds when runner-up to Oasis Sunrise here and should be suited by this track. Still lightly raced for the grade and any repeat of that run makes her a strong contender. One of the few still heading in the right direction.
FIGHTING QUEEN (Proven) – 6/10
Strong win here in May but her recent form has dipped and there’s a suspicion she’s regressing. Can hang and find little under pressure, but will be on the premises if the race sets up favourably for prominent racers.
TIMELESS SPIRIT (Unexposed) – 6/10
Stepped forward on her latest start with a solid second at Southwell. Doesn’t look thrown in but she’s got less to prove than many and will enjoy a well-run mile if it materialises.
Interesting Outsiders:
JUDGE FRANK (Inconsistent) – 5/10
Back to near his winning mark and has bits of form at this trip. Latest runs have been poor, however, and he’ll need pace to collapse to land a blow from behind. Hold-up risk.
FRANCISCO (Unreliable) – 5/10
Won earlier this year but let down repeatedly by his starts. Often finishes with running left but racing style demands everything falls perfectly. Each-way claims only if breaking on terms.
SANT ALESSIO (Exposed) – 4/10
Too one-paced and has yet to win in 11 attempts. Races lazily and lacks finishing kick. Drawn low, likely to be buried.
Runner Scores and Suitability:
- My Ambition: 8/10 – C&D specialist with proven class edge at this level.
- Oasis Sunrise: 7/10 – Unexposed at the trip, improving; best on quick ground.
- Star Of Atlantis: 7/10 – Running into form, tactically versatile.
- Fighting Queen: 6/10 – C&D form but patchy; prominent tactics a plus.
- Timeless Spirit: 6/10 – Still learning, open to improvement.
- Judge Frank: 5/10 – Capable but regressive; needs perfect setup.
- Francisco: 5/10 – Slow starter with a late rattle; unreliable.
- Sant Alessio: 4/10 – Limited finishing power; hard to support.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (9 runners):
With 8+ runners, each-way betting applies.
Star of Atlantis remains a viable each-way selection with consistent recent form and a solid track run behind Oasis Sunrise.
Revised Private Tissue Estimate (Princess Mia scratched):
- My Ambition – 5/2
- Oasis Sunrise – 4/1
- Star Of Atlantis – 9/2
- Fighting Queen – 6/1
- Timeless Spirit – 7/1
- Judge Frank – 10/1
- Francisco – 12/1
- Sant Alessio – 16/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):
A race lacking a standout improver now that Princess Mia is out. My Ambition holds strong credentials as a C&D regular who often saves his best for this track. Oasis Sunrise and Star Of Atlantis appeal as improving types capable of taking a step forward at this level.
Smart Play:
- Win Selection: My Ambition – Reliable Bath specialist who is handicapped to go very close.
- Each-Way Saver: Star of Atlantis – Back to form and looks well treated in this small field with a good draw.
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