Pace Angles: Likely even-to-strong pace. Several forward-goers present, notably Mix Of Clover and Prospect House, who both like to press or force the lead.
Draw/Track Angles: Market Rasen’s tight right-handed layout favours nimble, handy types who can sit prominently. The ground is good, which should suit fluent jumpers and horses with flat-track form.
Strongest Contenders
Dream Jet – Proven & Competitive (8/10)
A dual C&D winner who is well suited to Market Rasen and this trip. Produced a career-best RPR of 114 in May, and while below that level in a stronger Perth race last time, he’s very consistent and races prominently. Up just 3lb for his recent win. Solid claims.
Captain Ivan – Rejuvenated & Competitive (7/10)
An 11-year-old enjoying a mini-resurgence since cheekpieces were reapplied. Solid form in Class 4 company and strong efforts on flatter tracks like this. Has run to 115 RPR twice this spring, but carries top weight and may be vulnerable to younger legs late on.
Harel Du Marais – Reliable & Respected (7/10)
Strong form figures and remains fairly treated off 107. Consistent since winning back-to-back lower-grade races, and placed on last three starts in similar company. Lacks gear change but keeps on well. Well drawn and acts on good ground.
Main Dangers
Clean Getaway – Inconsistent but Capable (6/10)
Rated 117 at his best and holds strong figures at this venue. Pulled up last time but is unexposed this season. A return to form could see him feature, though he’s unreliable and 7lb above his last winning mark.
Mix Of Clover – Veteran but Competitive (6/10)
Ran well last time and won at Worcester in July. Can race freely and makes the running, so draw and track suit. Has bounced back from two PUs earlier in summer, but may now be vulnerable to younger improvers.
Interesting Outsiders
Prospect House – Promising Profile at Track (6/10)
4 Market Rasen wins including a novice chase. Slightly caught last time but loves the track and has scope off current mark. Mistake at the last cost him latest run. One of the few truly unexposed types.
Belle Montrose – Handicap Debutant Over Fences (4/10)
Lightly raced mare making chase debut. Previous hurdle form suggests further may suit better, and she’s rated 85. Can improve, but this looks a tough starting point.
Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:
- Dream Jet: 8/10 – Well-suited to C&D, progressive in 2024, holds form.
- Captain Ivan: 7/10 – Suited by trip/track, bit of a bounce risk at 11.
- Harel Du Marais: 7/10 – Reliable type, likely to run his race.
- Clean Getaway: 6/10 – Trip/trainer/track ideal but needs to bounce back.
- Mix Of Clover: 6/10 – Veteran but in decent form, ground/trip suitable.
- Prospect House: 6/10 – Loves the track, progressive, minor jumping errors to iron out.
- Belle Montrose: 4/10 – Unexposed, but stamina test likely needed; watch for future.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (8 runners)
- Prospect House could represent some value each-way, especially if supported. Loves the track, shaped well last time.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Dream Jet – 3/1
- Captain Ivan – 4/1
- Harel Du Marais – 9/2
- Clean Getaway – 6/1
- Prospect House – 7/1
- Mix Of Clover – 8/1
- Belle Montrose – 20/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Smart Play:
A well-contested C4 handicap with a mix of exposed, in-form types and one or two unexposed contenders. The likely pace is even to strong, which should set things up for prominent racers with stamina and finishing power.
Smart Play:
- Win: Dream Jet – reliable, proven at the track, and still has upside in context.
- Each-way Saver: Prospect House – Market Rasen specialist who might have more to give if jumping holds up.
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