Pace Angles + Draw Angles:
Strong pace likely. Moe’s Legacy, Safari Dream, Em Four, and Connie’s Rose have all led or pressed from the front, suggesting this will be a genuinely run sprint. Bath is a speed-favouring track, especially on firm ground, but too strong a gallop could open this up to closers.

There’s no significant draw bias over this extended 5f trip on firm going at Bath – pace and track position matter more than stall.

---

Strongest Contenders:

Moe’s Legacy – Progressive and Proven (8.5/10)
Thriving in recent weeks, with three wins and a strong third under a penalty at Newbury (RPR 78). That form reads well in this grade and confirms she’s holding condition. Versatile in tactics, drawn ideally in stall 4, and travels strongly into races. She’s now rated 71 but her recent form justifies it.

Safari Dream – Class-Edge Contender (8/10)
Ran well in a Class 4 last time and had previously landed a hat-trick (including one here over C&D). Effective on quick ground, drawn well in stall 1, and likely to race prominently. Slight stamina edge at this extended 5f trip could be crucial if others burn each other out early.

Em Four – Unexposed 3yo (7.5/10)
Lightly raced and likely still improving. Excellent second behind Papabella at Chepstow two back (RPR 77), then raised 8lb and ran flat at Salisbury. That effort can be forgiven; he’s already shown turf ability and is tactically sharp. Firm ground is untested but breeding doesn’t rule it out.

---

Main Dangers:

Connie’s Rose – In-Form but Exposed (7/10)
Consistent at Chepstow and proven over C&D. She rarely runs a bad race and seems to be holding form well. The issue is a relatively exposed profile and a poor strike rate in this class (0-12). She’ll likely hit the frame again but may need others to underperform.

Sundiata Keita – Improving 3yo (6.5/10)
Eye-catching run at Bath two starts ago (RPR 79) and again shaped well when third at Ffos Las last time. He’s tactically flexible and likely to get a nice sit just behind the pace. First run on firm but turf action has shown promise. Can’t be ruled out on upward profile.

---

Interesting Outsiders:

None in this field can be fully ruled out, but those with significantly lower recent figures like Blackcurrent and Little Helen (not profiled above) look to be up against it on form and conditions.

---

Runner Scores and Suitability:

• Moe’s Legacy: 8.5/10 – Well suited to trip, ground, and track; thriving.
• Safari Dream: 8/10 – Class dropper, good C&D profile, firm suits.
• Em Four: 7.5/10 – Unexposed 3yo, possible bounce-back angle.
• Connie’s Rose: 7/10 – Consistent but limited upside at this level.
• Sundiata Keita: 6.5/10 – Improving type, could feature with luck.
• Others: 5 or below – exposed, inconsistent, or unsuited by setup.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for 3yos like Em Four and Sundiata Keita.
Watch out for sprinters returning quickly while in form – Moe’s Legacy fits that profile.

---

Each-Way Angles (8 runners):

• Sundiata Keita – lightly raced 3yo, form being franked, finishing strongly, could benefit from a collapse in pace.

---

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Moe’s Legacy – 3/1
• Safari Dream – 7/2
• Em Four – 4/1
• Connie’s Rose – 6/1
• Sundiata Keita – 8/1
• Others – 14/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start or showing quick reappearances.

---

Summary + Smart Play:

This looks like a speed-dominated contest on firm ground, with a strong pace expected. Moe’s Legacy remains well-treated off 71 and is thriving, while Safari Dream drops in class and is better than most here on recent figures. Em Four is a danger if bouncing back, and Sundiata Keita could pick up the pieces if they go too fast.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Moe’s Legacy – in form, well drawn, thriving.
• Each-Way Saver: Sundiata Keita – progressive 3yo, big effort likely if pace collapses.