Race Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles

Race Title: 2.45 Catterick – Like Racing TV On Facebook Nursery Handicap
Class/Trip/Surface: Class 6 | 5f212y | Turf (Good to Firm)
Pace Scenario: Solid early pace likely, with Mossvale Diva, Haberdash, and Willowinghurn all showing prominent tendencies. Early speed may be contested.
Draw Bias: Low-to-middle draws often preferred at Catterick over this trip; stalls 1-5 have historically had an edge when the pace is strong and the ground quick.

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

• Willowinghurn – Progressive (8/10)
  Improving filly from a red-hot yard (62% rtf). Stuck on late when fourth at Nottingham; lightly raced, shaped as though a sharper track might suit. Only win came on quick ground, and cheekpieces now applied. She brings the most robust ratings.
• Demetrius – Promising (7/10)
  Displayed improvement in nurseries; second last time out behind a sharp winner, shaping like further may suit. Prescott-trained 2yos often take time and improve with racing. The form is reliable, and more to come looks likely.
• Mossvale Diva – Promising (7/10)
  Two-time runner-up in fair Beverley maidens. Held on gamely and pulled clear of third last time out. Likely well treated off 64 on nursery debut. Strong early pace suggests she’ll be handy.

Main Dangers:

• Haberdash – Unproven (6/10)
  Market leader last time but eased off quickly. Suspect temperament noted. Prior Musselburgh second was fair, but he remains quirky and unproven under pressure.
• White Ladder – Promising (6/10)
  Gelded and showed improvement in first-time headgear last start. Well-bred, and stable tends to unlock improvement in nurseries. Extra yardage should suit.

Interesting Outsiders:

• Moghitha – Unexposed (6/10)
  Shows signs of promise; two solid third-place finishes in maidens and pedigree suggests further improvement to come. Drawn well and could surprise if sharper now.
• Invincible Annie – Limited (4/10)
  48-rated, but showed mild promise on nursery debut over 5f. Will appreciate the extra yardage, but form lacks depth and may need easing in grade.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• Willowinghurn: 8/10 – Suited by surface and track, good tactical speed, progressing steadily.
• Demetrius: 7/10 – Improving with racing, shapes like 6f ideal; trainer excels with similar types.
• Mossvale Diva: 7/10 – Two solid placed efforts, improving and should be suited by track.
• Haberdash: 6/10 – Talented but quirky; risky if challenged.
• White Ladder: 6/10 – Trainer/jockey combo can surprise in this grade; extra distance a plus.
• Moghitha: 6/10 – Pedigree suggests further to come; well drawn and not out of it.
• Invincible Annie: 4/10 – May be suited by step up in trip but still looks limited.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (8+ Runners)

With 8 declared runners, Moghitha stands out as a viable each-way angle at likely double-figure odds based on her pedigree and quiet progression.

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Private Tissue Estimate

Horse	Odds
Willowinghurn	5/2
Demetrius	7/2
Mossvale Diva	9/2
Haberdash	6/1
White Ladder	8/1
Moghitha	10/1
Invincible Annie	16/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This nursery is competitive despite the low ratings. Willowinghurn is a standout on profile, trainer form, and tactical setup. She’s improving with racing and returns to conditions that should play to her strengths. Demetrius represents the classic Prescott type – improving slowly and should be peaking now. Mossvale Diva is the likely pacesetter and won’t be easy to pass if she gets loose on the front.

Smart Play

• Win: Willowinghurn – Unexposed and improving filly in excellent hands. Ideal setup.
• Each-Way Saver: Moghitha – Quietly progressive and nicely drawn; worth a small play.