Pace Angles:
Small field and maiden/novice fillies contest, so early pace may not be strong. Likely even gallop. Patricia R and Elizabeth Bay have experience and can be expected to race prominently. No out-and-out front-runner is evident.

Draw Angles:
With only six runners and a turning track, low-to-mid draws (stalls 1-3) are usually a small advantage. Crystal Dagger and Magic Music benefit on this basis.

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Strongest Contenders:

PATRICIA R – Unbeaten but for a narrow defeat under penalty at Doncaster. Bred to stay further but has speed and a tenacious attitude. Trainer-jockey combo is in solid form and she sets the standard. Rating: Proven.

CRYSTAL DAGGER – Strong late work on debut behind a good type in Circios. Dam’s pedigree suggests she’s bred to stay this trip well. She can improve plenty from her debut and comes from a good source of fillies. Rating: Promising.

ELIZABETH BAY – Most experienced filly in the field. Stays the trip, solid AW efforts, and sets the level via consistent RPRs in the low-mid 80s. May lack the upside of the others but is a benchmark. Rating: Exposed but reliable.

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Main Dangers:

MAGIC MUSIC – Ran green and was outpaced on debut but has a fair pedigree and the yard is quietly effective. Should improve but may need more time. Rating: Watch-and-learn type.

BEAUTY BLOSSOM – Well beaten on debut but from a capable yard. Bred to be better over further. Rating: Needs marked improvement.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Patricia R: 8/10 – Sets the standard; tactically versatile.
• Crystal Dagger: 7/10 – Likely improver, nice profile.
• Elizabeth Bay: 7/10 – Reliable yardstick; may get outpaced late.
• Magic Music: 5/10 – Lacked speed on debut; soft ground may suit.
• Beauty Blossom: 4/10 – More stamina than speed; may struggle with track/test.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts, especially with lightly raced fillies or those returning within a month.

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Each-Way Angles:
Not applicable due to fewer than 8 runners.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Patricia R – 6/4
• Crystal Dagger – 3/1
• Elizabeth Bay – 9/2
• Magic Music – 8/1
• Beauty Blossom – 14/1

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):
A small but competitive novice where Patricia R holds clear form credentials. Crystal Dagger looks the main threat on potential improvement.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Patricia R – Sets the standard with solid Doncaster effort and clear progression.
• Forecast Play: Patricia R / Crystal Dagger – Strongest blend of form and promise.