Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:
4.45 York, 20 August 2025 – IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Fillies’ Handicap (Heritage Handicap), Class 2, £100,000, 5f, 3yo+ fillies & mares rated 0-105 (with eligibility for 106/107 rated). Likely pace: strong. Multiple front-runners including Ruby’s Profit, Star Of Mehmas, Eclairage, and Forager should ensure a testing gallop. High draws (18-21) typically underperform on the straight track unless pace collapses.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

• Ruby’s Profit (Proven/Progressive): Rock-solid 5f filly, proven on fast ground and stiff tracks. Last time out placed in a strong Goodwood handicap under a big weight. Tactical pace, drawn high (15) could be a slight concern, but her attitude and class keep her on the shortlist.
• Star Of Mehmas (Proven): Narrowly beaten in better company at York and Sandown, she’s very fast and has performed well in Listed company. Drop back to a fast-run 5f is ideal. Moore booked. Drawn 14 means she could avoid mid-race scrimmaging, and any pace burnout will play to her strengths.
• Saratoga Special (Promising): Cheekpieces worked wonders at Ayr when taking a Listed event at 50/1. Sectionals support that as a legitimate new level. May still have upside now focused on handicaps.
• Fluorescence (Progressive): Lively outside chance, now 2-3 over 5f. Steady improvement profile and latest win at Redcar was stronger than it looked. She needs to improve again, but course and ground look ideal.
• Over The Blues (Interesting Outsider): High-variance profile but boasts Listed and Group 3 form from Ireland. Could be underestimated on UK turf if track position suits.
• Galaxy Zoo (Progressive): Back-to-back wins in lesser grade but hit the line strongly last time. Drawn middle (13), good tactical speed, and race shape suits.
• Luna A Inbhir Nis (Promising): Rapid improver who has reeled off five wins in six starts. Dominated off a strong gallop at York in July and might not be done yet. Drawn 6 is a positive.
• Hold-up Risks: Queen’s Guard, Eternal Sunshine, Jumbeau, Nad Alshiba Green all rely on collapses and need luck.
• Trainers to Note: Richard Hughes (Star Of Mehmas), Rod Millman (Woolhampton) and Jim Goldie (Eternal Sunshine, Woohoo) all have solid sprint records.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Ruby’s Profit: 9/10 – Track, trip, ground all suit. May be peaking now.
• Star Of Mehmas: 9/10 – Course-proven and has Listed form. Primed.
• Luna A Inbhir Nis: 8/10 – Still improving, soft draw helps.
• Galaxy Zoo: 8/10 – Up in class but improving. Dangerous.
• Saratoga Special: 7/10 – New angles tried. Cheekpieces key.
• Fluorescence: 7/10 – Solid profile. Still upside.
• Nad Alshiba Green: 6/10 – Strong RPRs but drawn wide.
• Over The Blues: 6/10 – Needs best effort but trainer firing.
• Woolhampton: 5/10 – Regressive but fair York record.
• Queen’s Guard: 5/10 – Patchy but honest. Hold-up style a risk.
• Jumbeau: 5/10 – Ground/trip okay but lacks class.
• Sarahmae: 4/10 – May want softer ground.
• Eclairage: 4/10 – Turf record uninspiring vs AW.
• Lady Roxby: 4/10 – Admirable but vulnerable up in grade.
• Fantasy Obsessor: 3/10 – Still learning, lacks experience.
• Novamay: 3/10 – Massive class leap.
• Woohoo: 2/10 – Outclassed.
• Mademoiselle: 2/10 – Handicapper in control now.
• Tiva: 2/10 – Needs a collapse.
• Eternal Sunshine: 1/10 – Well out of depth.
• Forager: 1/10 – No angles from the draw.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days. Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-Way Angles (8+ Runners):
Fluorescence and Galaxy Zoo are each-way value plays based on tactical versatility and progressive profiles.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Star Of Mehmas 4/1
• Ruby’s Profit 5/1
• Luna A Inbhir Nis 7/1
• Galaxy Zoo 10/1
• Saratoga Special 12/1
• Fluorescence 14/1
• Over The Blues 16/1
• Nad Alshiba Green 18/1
• Woolhampton 20/1 bar
  Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):
A strong sprint handicap likely to be run at an end-to-end gallop. Proven fillies with solid Listed/handicap form are likely to dominate.

Smart Play:

• Win: Star Of Mehmas – Listed form, course-proven, tactically suited.
• Each-way saver: Galaxy Zoo – Improving profile, fits pace setup, handles quick ground.
  Justified by strength of recent sectionals and adaptability.