Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

5.15 Kempton – Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap (Class 6, 7f, AW, 2yo, 0-60 Rated, £6,000 total)
A Class 6 nursery over 7f on the standard-to-slow polytrack at Kempton. No prior winners at the course. A full field of 8 ensures each-way terms.

Likely Pace Scenario: Even to fair gallop. Project Incheon and Houdini Miss have shown enough early pace to press or lead. No confirmed front-runner suggests this won’t be a burn-up.

Draw Angles: Historically, Kempton over 7f can favour low to middle draws. Houdini Miss (4), Mohaab (2), and Maynora (3) are well positioned. Wide draws can be compromised if not ridden prominently, a concern for Fanjove (7).

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

Strongest Contenders:

• Houdini Miss – Progressive. Strong case based on nursery debut when just touched off at Southwell. Raced prominently, rallied late, and ran to a clear new peak RPR 62. Returns to 7f with cheekpieces retained. Should be well suited to Kempton’s flat AW surface.
• Project Incheon – Promising. Still learning but improved to 64 RPR last time and shaped as though 7f is ideal. Zoustar progeny often improve with racing. Drawn 6, should be able to adopt a handy position. Nursery debut after three maidens fits the typical pattern for this yard.

Main Dangers:

• Miss Ayala – Unexposed. She shaped better than the result last time at Chepstow when missed the break but ran on into third. Her prior runs included some fair efforts in maiden company and she’s bred to stay 7f+. Drawn 1 is ideal if she jumps on terms. Still lightly raced and may improve again.
• Mohaab – Moderate but workable mark. Not seen to best effect in three maidens but stayed on late on debut and was outpaced in stronger contests since. Pedigree suggests 7f will help. From a yard in solid recent form (75% RTF). Drawn well in stall 2.

Interesting Outsiders:

• Maynora – Regressive. Tried a nursery last time but folded quickly over 7.8f. Dropping to 7f could help, but he’s yet to show he truly stays. Not an obvious stayer on pedigree either. That said, connections in decent form.
• Malinga The Slinga – Limited. Blinkers helped two starts back, but didn’t back that up at Kempton latest. Awkward profile; a longshot unless blinkers spark more than a minor revival.
• Fanjove – Regressive profile. Eyecatching pedigree and big sales price but form is in rapid decline and draw 7 with hold-up tactics could be troublesome. Needs dramatic improvement.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Houdini Miss: 8/10 – Well suited to surface and trip; looks progressive in nurseries; strong case on latest evidence.
• Project Incheon: 7/10 – Improver; profile fits for a nursery; trip/track suitable; stamina from damline, sire’s progeny improve.
• Miss Ayala: 6.5/10 – Well drawn, ran on well last time; could be suited to 7f; a potential improver.
• Mohaab: 6/10 – Handicap mark is fair; trainer/jockey in form; possibly more to come.
• Maynora: 5.5/10 – Yard in form but profile suggests regression; stamina doubts linger.
• Malinga The Slinga: 4.5/10 – Blinkers helped but regressive otherwise; risky.
• Fanjove: 4/10 – Nice breeding but little shown on track; draw and style not helpful.
• Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
• Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles:

With 8 runners, each-way value exists.
Miss Ayala offers EW interest from stall 1, especially if breaking better than last time. Houdini Miss, if priced 4/1 or bigger, makes EW appeal too.

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Private Tissue Estimate (Horserace Analysis Main Odds):

• Houdini Miss – 5/2
• Project Incheon – 3/1
• Miss Ayala – 11/2
• Mohaab – 13/2
• Maynora – 10/1
• Malinga The Slinga – 14/1
• Fanjove – 16/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

A modest nursery with several lightly raced types still shaping their profile. The standout on nursery evidence is Houdini Miss, who went very close last time and now benefits from a favourable setup again. Project Incheon looks the obvious improver, with pedigree and yard suggesting more to come on handicap debut. Miss Ayala appeals as the likely each-way value if sharper early.

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Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Houdini Miss – looks well-placed to go one better
• Each-Way Saver: Miss Ayala – scopey and staying-on profile, drawn ideally