Race Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles

A Class 6 handicap over Chepstow’s straight 6f, open to horses rated 46–65. On good to firm ground, pace positioning is often crucial – front-runners and those with tactical speed can be hard to peg back if the race develops steadily.

Here, Vape and Outer Edge have both made the running before, while Saffredi and Wallop are usually kept handy. That suggests a solid, even gallop, not an all-out burn-up.

Low-to-middle draws (stalls 1–4) often hold an advantage on fast ground here, meaning You Are Everything (1), Outer Edge (2), and Ten Club (3) are well positioned if they break sharply.

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Strongest Contenders

You Are Everything (Tony Carroll) – Progressive
Has found real consistency since May, winning twice at 6f (Chepstow and Leicester, both under this jockey’s claim). Typically slow from the gates but finishes strongly, and stall 1 should allow her to track the rail. She escapes a penalty for her Leicester success and looks very well in. Clearly thriving and the one to beat.

Ten Club (Adrian Wintle) – Solid and Reliable
Another who has been holding form well, including a Chepstow win in May and a close fifth here last week when giving weight away. Suited by this track and trip, and connections’ local record is strong. Honest, competitive type who will be thereabouts again.

Saffredi (Grace Harris) – Consistent, Dual AW Winner
Placed in three turf handicaps since June, including a strong third here over 6f. Handles the track and has Tom Marquand booked. Still searching for a turf win but running to marks that entitle him to be in the mix. Reliable place chance.

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Main Dangers & Interesting Outsiders

Vape (John & Rhys Flint) – Capable Veteran
Eight wins, all over 6f, and shaped well when runner-up at Salisbury last week. Has the speed to sit handy and goes well at Chepstow. Well treated on old form (rated 63 last summer, now 55). Big chance if building on latest.

Outer Edge (Christopher Mason) – Track Specialist
Won over C&D last summer and took another Wolverhampton handicap in April. Can be hit or miss but effective at Chepstow and well drawn in stall 2. If breaking on terms, could easily outrun odds.

Wallop (Jack Morland) – Class Dropper
Formerly campaigned in Class 4/5 handicaps, even contested a £50k sprint at Newmarket last year. Has dropped 21lb since April and now tries Class 6 for the first time. Stamina is questionable over 6f, and temperament is a doubt, but if the visor sparks life, he’s dangerously well handicapped.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• You Are Everything: 9/10 – Thriving, well drawn, finishes strongly, major claims.
• Ten Club: 8/10 – Reliable, consistent, proven at track.
• Saffredi: 7/10 – Honest, dual AW winner, should run his race.
• Vape: 7/10 – Back to form, multiple 6f wins, well treated.
• Outer Edge: 6/10 – Course form, handy draw, place squeak.
• Wallop: 6/10 – Class edge if bouncing back, risky profile.
• Haworth Star: 5/10 – Inconsistent, has ability, but hard to trust.

Keep an eye on the market for Wallop, who is well handicapped, and Outer Edge, who often goes off quietly supported when expected to run well.

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Each-Way Angles

7 declared runners → no standard each-way value (2 places only). Win/place focus preferable.

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Private Tissue Estimate

• You Are Everything – 5/2
• Ten Club – 3/1
• Vape – 9/2
• Saffredi – 9/2
• Wallop – 7/1
• Outer Edge – 8/1
• Haworth Star – 12/1

Market watch advised – particularly on Wallop (first run at this level) and Outer Edge (stable in form).

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

A competitive low-grade sprint, but You Are Everything has been thriving and escapes a penalty for her latest win. She looks very solid under her 5lb claimer. Ten Club is tough and reliable, and should again be in the frame. Vape is a danger if he backs up his Salisbury second, while Wallop is a wild card off a plummeting mark.

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Smart Play:

• Win Bet: You Are Everything – thriving, well in, and ideally drawn.
• Cover Option: Vape – veteran sprinter back to form, strong chance if repeating last week’s effort.