Pace & Draw Angles:
This 14-runner 7f+ contest should be run at an even to strong pace. Engines On (drawn 1), Spent All Me Money (12), and Glyndwr (7) all have early pace tendencies, suggesting a fair gallop. The draw may marginally favour those low to middle, especially if forced wide into the turn.
Strongest Contenders:
Four Blondes (10-0, Draw 11)
Status: Proven |
Only 1 win from 16, but her consistent recent form stands up well. Peak RPR of 91 this season (twice) on soft ground, including an unlucky second at Gowran when trapped. Likes some ease, but handles good. The hood has improved focus and her best efforts have come off higher marks. Wide draw not ideal, and she’s a possible “hold-up risk” if pace collapses late.
Engines On (9-12, Draw 1)
Status: Progressive |
Has turned a corner since late 2024 and now bids for a hat-trick. Displayed a strong attitude at Naas to win narrowly and holds Four Blondes on that form. Back up 7lb but shaping like a proper improver. Drawn well to attack again from stall 1 and will likely attempt to dominate. Still on the up.
Anvika (9-12, Draw 6)
Status: Regressive profile but capable |
Often misses the break, but posted a career-best RPR of 86 at Limerick in June. Well handicapped if getting a strong pace and clean trip, but tactics leave her vulnerable. Often finishes well without landing a blow. Temperamental.
Main Dangers:
Bundle Of Interest (9-5, Draw 3)
Status: Promising |
Only six starts into her career and made striking headway to win going away at Navan on second handicap try. Poorly drawn and outpaced last time, but that 6f run can be overlooked. Return to 7f+ ideal, well drawn, and looks like a filly with upside.
William F Browne (8-13, Draw 13)
Status: Unproven at this trip |
Career-best RPR of 87 two runs back; rallied well at Galway latest. Has strong form in 7-8f maidens/claimers, though shaped like 1m+ would be more suitable. Drawn wide but comes here in form. Headgear could be key again.
Free Solo (9-4, Draw 5)
Status: Proven but exposed |
Old stager in great heart; placed in three of last four starts. RPRs suggest he’s running to form and will appreciate another true pace to sit off. Strong closer.
Interesting Outsiders:
Ransom (9-5, Draw 2)
Status: Capable at this level |
Winner of a strong 20-runner Curragh handicap earlier this year, now back to same mark. Often finds trouble in running or lacks a gear late, but has a touch of class.
Run Forrest Run (8-10, Draw 10)
Status: Exposed but viable |
Hasn’t won for a while but has shaped well on multiple occasions this year. Often finishes strongly, and if the pace collapses, he’s the kind to pick up late scraps.
Runner Scores & Suitability:
- Four Blondes: 8/10 – Ground and trip fine, slight concern with wide draw and hold-up style.
- Engines On: 9/10 – Tactically suited, progressive, ideal trip and draw.
- Anvika: 7/10 – Quirky, capable, but hard to rely on from a win perspective.
- Bundle Of Interest: 8/10 – Improving filly, ideal trip and draw; scopey.
- William F Browne: 7/10 – In-form, but trip might be short, wide draw.
- Free Solo: 7/10 – Reliable, needs a collapse late, better with strong pace.
- Ransom: 6/10 – Weighted to strike, but often finds trouble.
- Run Forrest Run: 6/10 – Strong finisher but lacks tactical speed.
- Ramiro: 5/10 – Gone quiet, inconsistent lately.
- Glyndwr: 5/10 – One-paced, wants further, not obviously well-treated.
- Lady Arwen: 4/10 – Seems regressive; only moderate late progress this year.
- Spent All Me Money: 6/10 – New trainer got a bounce, up in grade; drawn wide.
- Smaoineamh Sile: 3/10 – Best efforts at lower level.
- Bundle Of Interest: 8/10 – Unexposed with form upside.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (14 runners):
- Bundle Of Interest – Lightly raced, well treated; could offer each-way value from a good draw.
- Free Solo – Consistent, often thereabouts, ideal pace setup.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Engines On – 7/2
- Four Blondes – 9/2
- Bundle Of Interest – 11/2
- Free Solo – 7/1
- Anvika – 8/1
- William F Browne – 10/1
- Ransom – 14/1
- Run Forrest Run – 16/1
- Spent All Me Money – 16/1
- Ramiro – 20/1
- Lady Arwen – 25/1
- Glyndwr – 25/1
- Smaoineamh Sile – 33/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Smart Play
A competitive 0-80 with a fair spread of form and types. The pace should be honest, with Engines On and Spent All Me Money likely to lead. That suits hold-up and midfield closers like Free Solo and Bundle Of Interest, provided they get luck in running. Four Blondes remains well-treated on her Gowran effort but needs to overcome the wide draw and hope the race collapses late.
Smart Play:
- Win Selection: Engines On – Improving rapidly, well drawn, and tactically advantaged.
- Each-Way Saver: Bundle Of Interest – Lightly raced, returns to optimum trip, strong finisher.
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