Pace Angles: This looks like an evenly run race. No habitual trailblazers, but a few can press the pace (e.g., Out On Friday, Kool One, Celtic Druid), suggesting a fair tempo. That should give all running styles a chance.

Draw Angles: Over this 12.5f trip at Roscommon, low-to-mid draws are slightly favoured due to the short run to the first turn. Horses drawn high (e.g., Ms Messi, Si Senior, Pillar Of Hope) may need early positioning luck.

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Strongest Contenders, Main Dangers & Interesting Outsiders

Pillar Of Hope – Proven (8/10):
Racing off a mark of 72, he’s the class angle. Strong finishing effort in a big-field Galway handicap last time, previously won convincingly over 12f at the Curragh. Well-treated, and the 7lb claimer is value. Has the stamina and handles the ground. Draw (10) isn’t ideal, but he’s a proven stayer with an improving profile at this trip.

Beauty Generation – Interesting Outsider (7/10):
One poor turf run too many to ignore, but all-weather wins show ability. Now back to a more realistic mark and wasn’t knocked about last time. Yard is red hot (2-7 last 14 days). Proven at trip on AW; not yet shown same turf form, but wouldn’t rule him out at a price.

Ms Messi – Progressive (7/10):
Big step forward winning over this trip at Tipperary. Off a career-low mark there and now up 6lb, but she stayed on well and the style of the win suggests more to come. Draw 13 is a negative, but she’s unexposed at the trip and worth respecting.

Breathe Again – Progressive (7/10):
Stuck in steadily-run contests but ran well latest at Ffos Las. Could be sharper for that British raid and remains on a mark she can be competitive from. Trainer rarely travels horses without a reason.

Out On Friday – Proven but Regressive (6/10):
Hard to trust now, but he’s dropped to a winning mark and is a past course winner. Bit of a “last chance saloon” type but no surprise if he makes the frame with a clean run.

Celtic Druid – Promising Handicap Type (6/10):
Bolted up at Bellewstown and still lightly raced for a handicapper. Hit hard by the handicapper (+12lb) and didn’t back it up next time, but this surface/trip suits.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• Pillar Of Hope: 8/10 – Trip/ground/course fine; thriving at this distance.
• Ms Messi: 7/10 – Unexposed at trip; concern over wide draw.
• Beauty Generation: 7/10 – Capable but inconsistent on turf.
• Breathe Again: 7/10 – Could improve back in Irish conditions.
• Out On Friday: 6/10 – Suited by trip/course; regressive form.
• Celtic Druid: 6/10 – Unexposed handicapper; now needs more off higher mark.
• Kool One: 5/10 – Fair Flat/hurdles form; no clear upside from current mark.
• Gotta Catch’em All: 5/10 – Consistent, lacks finishing kick.
• Si Senior: 4/10 – Better in defeat than her mark implies; draw concern.
• Mayo For Sam: 3/10 – Lacks the raw pace/form to land a blow.
• Milverton: 3/10 – Minimal turf form, few positives lately.
• Tomahawk King: 2/10 – Fading form, wide draw, unreliable.
• Numidia: 4/10 – Turf returner, needs strong pace to be involved.
• Art Of Silence: 3/10 – Limited Flat form; mainly hurdler.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (13 runners)

• Beauty Generation – Might sneak into the frame if handling the turf; current mark gives him a squeak.
• Breathe Again – Potential improver; the quicker ground could unlock more.

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Private Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds)

• Pillar Of Hope – 7/2
• Ms Messi – 11/2
• Beauty Generation – 8/1
• Breathe Again – 9/1
• Celtic Druid – 10/1
• Out On Friday – 12/1
• Kool One – 14/1
• Gotta Catch’em All – 14/1
• Si Senior – 16/1
• Numidia – 20/1
• Milverton – 25/1
• Tomahawk King – 33/1
• Art Of Silence – 33/1
• Mayo For Sam – 33/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Smart Play

This is a competitive staying handicap with multiple exposed types but also a few progressive profiles. The pace should be fair and not compromise hold-up runners too much, but wide draws could have an impact.

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Smart Play

• Win Selection: Pillar Of Hope – a solid, improving stayer with a strong win at the trip; leading form horse.
• Each-Way Saver: Beauty Generation – low turf rating but capable if recapturing AW form; fair mark and stable in form.