TimeWise Chronicles

2.25 York – Harry’s Half Million By Goffs (Class 2)

·

Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

Race: 2.25 York – Harry’s Half Million By Goffs (Class 2)
Conditions: 2yo | 6f | Good to Firm | Only Goffs UK Premier Yearling Sale graduates eligible | £345,215 to winner
Weight: Colts & geldings 9st 2lb | Fillies 8st 11lb | Penalties: 3lb (C3 win), 5lb (C2/List), 7lb (Pattern)

Pace Outlook: Likely strong pace. Several habitual front-runners and prominent racers declared: Anthelia, Tadej, Italica, Front Line Fury, Kamakameleon, and Raakeb all go forward. The race could favour strong travellers or closers drawn for cover.

Draw Angles: Large field (22 runners) on the straight 6f at York – high draws typically preferred in big-field sprints when the ground is fast. Middle to high seems favourable.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

Strongest Contenders:

Tadej (Drawn 1) – Proven

  • Top-class juvenile sprinter form (RPR 107), placed in G2 & G3 company.
  • Proven over C&D, tough and consistent, and Hollie Doyle retains the ride.
  • Wide draw not ideal, but he’s adaptable and should be in the firing line late.
  • Described by connections as a Group horse in waiting – physically imposing colt.

Anthelia (6) – Proven & Progressive

  • Listed winner and nailed the Windsor Castle winner last time.
  • She has tactical speed, a tenacious attitude, and pedigree depth.
  • Arguably the most likeable profile: upward curve, versatile ground-wise, and street-tough.
  • Rod Millman targeting this – has always had this race on radar.

Raakeb (3) – Progressive

  • Coventry Stakes seventh and ran well again behind Anthelia in the Super Sprint.
  • Looks a 7f horse in time, but should be involved in a strongly run 6f contest.
  • Low draw might be challenging if the field splits far side.

Main Dangers:

Front Line Fury (17) – Progressive

  • Smart nurseries form including an Ascot second off 88; acts on fast ground.
  • Multiple wins already and handles competition well.
  • Strong traveller with a great draw to stalk pace.

Italica (16) – Proven

  • Tough and consistent. Just behind Time To Turn in a strong Listed race.
  • Two solid wins over this trip – competitive at this level.
  • Big field tempo should suit; professional type who holds form.

Ardisia (19) – Promising

  • Gelded before a big handicap win at Glorious Goodwood, shaping strongly up to 6f.
  • Beaten by Anthelia before that but excuses in Super Sprint.
  • Unexposed at 6f and well drawn to strike.

Interesting Outsiders:

Kamakameleon (21) – Promising

  • Strong Windsor Castle fifth and not beaten far by Anthelia at Newbury.
  • Blinkers have helped him focus. Ideally drawn and arrives fresh.
  • Could surprise some of the more exposed types.

Saffron Dandy (9) – Unexposed

  • Bath winner who ran green in G3 company. Has ability and should improve.

Golden Brown (8) – Improving

  • Caught the eye in a messy Glorious Goodwood race; could be sharper now.
  • Ed Walker has kept faith with this route – big price option.

Song Of The Clyde (10) – Interesting Profile

  • Tough effort behind Egoli who’s boosted form. Might need a bit more speed but not ruled out.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Tadej: 9/10 – Strong Group form, adaptable, just needs luck from a poor draw.
  • Anthelia: 9/10 – Tough, upwardly mobile, brilliant attitude, and tactically versatile.
  • Raakeb: 8.5/10 – Solid G2 performances, strong-finisher type. Slight draw worry.
  • Front Line Fury: 8/10 – Reliable yardstick, good draw, improving.
  • Italica: 8/10 – All heart, fits the profile of Dascombe’s previous winners.
  • Ardisia: 7.5/10 – Effective when right, but has underperformed on occasion.
  • Kamakameleon: 7.5/10 – Blinkers key; could bounce back with draw advantage.
  • Song Of The Clyde: 6.5/10 – Honest sort, but lacks standout form.
  • Cotai Belle: 6.5/10 – Improving filly, stiff task but will be trying.
  • Game Striker: 6/10 – Lacks gear change at this level.
  • Golden Brown: 6/10 – Glimpses of ability but might need a perfect run.
  • Rest: 5 or below – Need significant improvement or circumstances to feature.

Keep an eye on market support for lightly raced types like Deluded, Kamakameleon, and Saffron Dandy.

Each-Way Angles:

Valid (22 runners)

  • Front Line Fury – strong nursery form and drawn to attack late.
  • Kamakameleon – strong finishes in hot races, very live draw, each-way value.
  • Golden Brown – outsider with form tied to main players; could nick a place.

Private Tissue Estimate (Odds):

HorseEstimated Odds
Anthelia4/1
Tadej9/2
Raakeb6/1
Front Line Fury13/2
Italica8/1
Ardisia9/1
Kamakameleon10/1
Song Of The Clyde16/1
Golden Brown20/1
Others25/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start and those improving from blinkers/cheekpieces.

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

A high-class renewal of this sales race. Anthelia brings top form and a relentless attitude, and her last win confirms she’s up to taking a pot like this. Tadej may have Group form, but he’s potentially marooned in stall 1, which could be his undoing. Front Line Fury and Raakeb are solid against the rails but will need to travel sweetly and avoid trouble.

Smart Play:

Win Selection: Anthelia – A filly on the up with a proven Listed win, top yard form, and the mental toughness required.
Each-Way Saver: Front Line Fury – Smart nursery performer with a strong finish and ideal draw.
Value Outsider: Kamakameleon – Eye-catching Windsor Castle run and drawn to track the pace.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe