Race Title and Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

Class 6 3yo Handicap, 5f 6y on the All-Weather (Standard). Restricted to horses rated 46–55, this is a typical low-grade sprint where tactical speed and positional advantage are crucial.

Likely Pace: Strong early pressure is likely. Flicka’s Girl, Sarabi, Love Rock, and Apple’s Angel all show natural speed or habitually race handy, suggesting a contested lead.

Draw Bias: Neutral to slightly low draw favoured. Stall 1–4 typically best at this trip on Lingfield AW when pace is contested, with leaders able to rail round the bend.

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Strongest Contenders:

• Flicka’s Girl (Michael Attwater, Draw 5) – Proven and thriving. 2-2 over C&D and scored decisively at Wolverhampton latest (RPR 60), controlling the race from a handy position. Has form on both surfaces, now carries 6lb penalty but clearly in excellent heart. The speed figure from last win was strong in context and she’s likely to get a similar tactical set-up. Progressive in context of grade.
• Ancient State (Martin Dunne, Draw 4) – Capable and unexposed on AW. Won at Wolverhampton earlier in year, shaping better than bare result since, especially at Lingfield over 6f when caught wide but still travelling well. Drop back to 5f may suit on this sharper track. Capable of bouncing back with cover.
• Sarabi (Michael Keady, Draw 1) – In-form and improving. Made all in blinkers to win classified event at Lingfield (RPR 62), showed early speed and saw it out well. Stall 1 here, back on AW, and down to 5f all play to her strengths. Just needs to reproduce that now in handicap company.
• Apple’s Angel (Simon Dow, Draw 2) – Proven speed, effective over 5f-6f. Did best of those on the pace at Epsom in a stronger field, then shaped well over this C&D. Can bounce back from latest defeat over an inadequate 7f. Speed figure from previous AW win (RPR 66) is very competitive.

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Main Dangers / Interesting Outsiders:

• Love Rock (Ismail Mohammed, Draw 7) – One-paced type but honest. Best effort came here over C&D (RPR 64). Was hampered last time and didn’t fire, but if back to her Chelmsford form she’s competitive.
• Sugar Kane (Daniel & Claire Kubler, Draw 3) – Handicapping steadily. Ran career-best RPR (63) two starts ago at Brighton, hinted at more to come. SDS an interesting booking and draw 3 gives options to tuck in behind early pace.
• Off The Bench (J S Moore, Draw 6) – Wildcard. Flashes decent figures in defeat, including a solid RPR 73 at Chelmsford. Often held up too far back or runs into traffic. With a clear run, capable of placing at a big price.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Flicka’s Girl: 8.5/10 – Well-suited C&D, strong form, positive tactical profile, 6lb penalty but progressive.
• Ancient State: 7.5/10 – Forgive last turf run, AW return positive, inside draw ideal.
• Sarabi: 7.5/10 – Won last start with authority, stall 1 a big help, slightly more exposed.
• Apple’s Angel: 7.5/10 – Best form on AW, well drawn, suited by strong pace, not dismissed.
• Sugar Kane: 6.5/10 – Still learning, SDS up, place claims.
• Love Rock: 6.5/10 – Inconsistent but back on favoured surface.
• Off The Bench: 6/10 – Some big RPRs in defeat, needs pace meltdown and luck.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.

Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (8 runners):

• Apple’s Angel – Back to ideal trip, best drawn of pace pressers, tactical options.
• Sarabi – Stall 1 + blinkers = danger. Repeat of last run puts her right in it.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Flicka’s Girl – 9/4
• Ancient State – 4/1
• Sarabi – 5/1
• Apple’s Angel – 6/1
• Love Rock – 8/1
• Sugar Kane – 9/1
• Off The Bench – 14/1
• Others – 20/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

A competitive Class 6 sprint with multiple pace angles. Flicka’s Girl holds standout claims if she can defy her penalty – she’s tactically versatile and thriving over this C&D. However, Sarabi and Apple’s Angel are both drawn to pounce if the favourite gets softened up. Ancient State appeals for those looking beyond the obvious, now back on his preferred surface.

Smart Play:

• Win – Flicka’s Girl (In great heart, track suits, may get tactical edge)
• Each-Way – Apple’s Angel (Best drawn of closers, could get cover and pounce late)