Race Conditions: Class 4 | 0-78 | All-Weather (Standard) | Tapeta | 3yo+ | £35,000
Pace Angle: Likely to be even, with a mix of mid-division and hold-up types; Etretat and Golspie may press.
Draw Angle: Slight inside bias at this C&D under even pace. Stalls 1–6 preferred, especially if race becomes tactical.
Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends
Strongest Contenders:
Bragbor – Proven / Progressive (Score: 8/10)
Visually impressive on C&D debut, then solid in stronger company when second behind Commanding Prince. Huge price tag (€400k) and from strong connections. Slightly drawn wide in 3 but pace and track suits. Unexposed and may still be ahead of his mark.
Telepathic – Promising (Score: 8/10)
Crisford 3yo with strong form at 10f; progressed well from nursery win to take Doncaster event last time. Big-field test suits his running style. Carries upward momentum and has been efficiently campaigned. Well drawn in 9 and should settle off even pace.
Salamanca City – Progressive (Score: 7/10)
Likeable profile, consistent, with two recent seconds and a Chepstow win. C&D try is logical next step. Ground/trip/form trends all check out and draw in 1 is ideal. Reliable hold-up type, albeit with a potential luck-in-running risk.
Main Dangers:
Mr Mistoffelees – Proven (Score: 7/10)
Super consistent; multiple placed efforts this term, including close C&D second. Only one win from 22 but rock-solid profile and versatile. Likely to run his race again but place claims stronger than win credentials.
Golspie – Progressive (Score: 6.5/10)
Raced sparingly in recent weeks; backed up Pontefract win with strong Hamilton second under penalty. Has shown good late strength, suited by a strong pace. Slight class rise here, but trainer knows how to place these late bloomers. Drawn 7; tactics crucial.
Etretat – Improving but exposed (Score: 6/10)
Back-to-back solid runs, including Newcastle win two starts ago. Form ties in with others; not a huge upside angle but does seem happier on AW. Wide draw (14) makes it tricky unless ridden prominently.
Interesting Outsiders:
Say What You See – Promising (Score: 6.5/10)
3yo grey has improved since stepped up to 10f. Recent win and Ripon second showed grit. May still be ahead of mark, and lightly raced compared to older rivals. Trainer form a concern, but could sneak into the frame with luck.
Newtown Duke – Promising (Score: 6/10)
Lightly raced and not long with Ian Williams. Caught the eye at Carlisle from an impossible spot. Likely being brought along gradually. Possibly one for future, but don’t rule out a bold show with further improvement.
Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:
- Bragbor: 8/10 – Suited to C&D, strong form, lightly raced
- Telepathic: 8/10 – Trip ideal, improving, well drawn
- Salamanca City: 7/10 – Reliable, form solid, could need luck from behind
- Mr Mistoffelees: 7/10 – Consistent, well-handicapped, lacks a killer edge
- Golspie: 6.5/10 – Strong late finisher, drawn fine, form stacks up
- Say What You See: 6.5/10 – Unexposed 3yo, pace-suited, could sneak a place
- Etretat: 6/10 – Likes AW, solid form, wide draw a problem
- Newtown Duke: 6/10 – Big potential, unexposed, tactical concern
- Hosanna Power: 5.5/10 – Patchy; one good run here but lacks consistency
- Cormier: 5.5/10 – Dual-purpose veteran, form too mixed
- Al Waqidi: 5/10 – Career regressed; early promise faded
- West Tyrone: 5/10 – Regressive 3yo, needs more
- Jack Sparowe: 4.5/10 – Well handicapped but lacks substance now
- Alpine Sierra: 4/10 – May need drop in class; consistent but limited
Note:
“Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.”
“Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.”
Each-Way Angles (16 runners):
Each-Way Prospects:
- Salamanca City – C&D try; rock-solid and form is franked
- Golspie – Likely to run on late; progressive
- Say What You See – Lightly raced and upwardly mobile 3yo
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Bragbor – 4/1
- Telepathic – 5/1
- Salamanca City – 7/1
- Mr Mistoffelees – 8/1
- Golspie – 9/1
- Say What You See – 11/1
- Etretat – 12/1
- Newtown Duke – 14/1
- Hosanna Power – 16/1
- Cormier – 20/1
- Al Waqidi – 20/1
- West Tyrone – 25/1
- Jack Sparowe – 25/1
- Alpine Sierra – 28/1
- Others – 33/1+
Note: Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):
Summary:
Competitive Racing League handicap where the AW track, even pace, and solid middle draws will reward race position and finishing effort. Bragbor and Telepathic stand out for profile and recent performance, while Salamanca City and Golspie appeal as steady each-way plays.
Smart Play:
- Win Selection: Bragbor – Proven C&D form, lightly raced, strong visuals and profile.
- Each-Way Saver: Salamanca City – Dependable filly who keeps running to form and should relish 10f here from stall 1.
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