7.20 Kempton – Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Class 4) – 1m (AW)

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Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

This is a competitive 16-runner handicap likely to be run at a strong to even pace. Front-runners include Savvy Kingdom, Notimeforchitchat, and Zoffandia, with several others racing close up or pressing the pace. Draw bias at Kempton over a mile is historically modest but high draws can struggle when pace pressure is intense, especially for hold-up types.

Draw edge leans to middle-low, with Rogue Encore (14), Rey De La Batalla (13), and Notimeforchitchat (12) slightly compromised tactically from wider slots unless breaking sharply.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders:

Rogue EncoreProven & progressive. Solid AW performer with a strong C&D profile. Just touched off last time in a race that worked out well. Gets back to ideal conditions with Luke Morris retained. Wide draw not ideal, but he travels strongly and is peaking at the right time. (Score: 8/10)

Sheriff’s CourtProgressive 4yo with a smart win at Carlisle and consistent AW efforts. Returns to Tapeta and looks to be still on the up, especially under a 7lb claimer. Likely to get a good stalking trip. (8/10)

Run With ItPromising 3yo with form tied to Dubai Beach. AW win at Wolverhampton was backed up with strong sectionals and late energy efficiency. Drawn well in 3, improving, and unexposed. (8/10)

Dragon IconUnreliable but capable. Patchy profile but placed off higher marks and has a touch of class at this level. Must settle better. Tactically well drawn and gets De Sousa. (7/10)

NotimeforchitchatProgressive since the application of blinkers, AW form is 3-2-1 including a tidy win here. Last effort was poor but came on turf. Big chance if back on song despite wide draw. (7/10)

RhapsodyPromising but unproven in handicaps. Class dropper from listed races and bred to stay 1m+. Visually impressive debut winner on turf but must prove herself on AW. Could go either way. (6/10)

Savvy KingdomCapable but inconsistent. Strong sectional figure when winning at Newcastle and lightly raced for age. Peak AW runs competitive here but no margin for error. (6/10)

Rey De La BatallaTrack winner, comes alive at Kempton and form ties with others here. Deep closer with potential pace to run at, but wide draw and inconsistency are concerns. (6/10)

Sierra BlancaCapable but regressive. Useful form for Ballydoyle but poor strike-rate in handicaps. Better effort in blinkers at Haydock last year, needs to show that spark. (5/10)

Interesting Outsider – ZoffandiaUnexposed and bouncing back. C&D winner from earlier this year, hinted at return to form latest. One to note at a price from close to the pace. (6/10)


Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Rogue Encore: 8/10 – Well-suited to surface/trip, drawn wide but form strong.
  • Sheriff’s Court: 8/10 – Well-handicapped with upward profile; soft ground no issue.
  • Run With It: 8/10 – Ideal profile for AW progression; sharp late sectionals.
  • Dragon Icon: 7/10 – Draw fine, class dropper, must settle.
  • Notimeforchitchat: 7/10 – Peak RPRs on AW, just needs pace to hold up.
  • Savvy Kingdom: 6/10 – Needs strong pace, inconsistent turf form.
  • Rhapsody: 6/10 – Class angle; unproven but interesting.
  • Rey De La Batalla: 6/10 – Draw hurts; likes this C&D.
  • Sierra Blanca: 5/10 – Classy in past but regressing.
  • Zoffandia: 6/10 – C&D winner, pop-up potential.
  • Port Road: 5/10 – C&D form ties in, but always one paced.
  • Devious Devan: 4/10 – Suspect profile; maiden still learning.
  • He’s A Gentleman: 5/10 – Consistent, AW ok but no secrets.
  • Niminy Piminy: 5/10 – Promising but stamina query.
  • Sierra Blanca: 5/10 – Needs everything to fall right.
  • Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
  • Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-Way Angles (16 Runners):

  • Zoffandia (6/10) – Bounce-back candidate, former C&D winner.
  • Rey De La Batalla (6/10) – Dual C&D winner, underestimated.
  • Run With It (8/10) – Unexposed 3yo who should run well from the draw.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Rogue Encore – 9/2
  • Run With It – 11/2
  • Sheriff’s Court – 6/1
  • Dragon Icon – 8/1
  • Notimeforchitchat – 8/1
  • Zoffandia – 12/1
  • Rey De La Batalla – 14/1
  • Rhapsody – 14/1
  • Savvy Kingdom – 16/1
  • Others 20/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This is a strong renewal of the London Mile Qualifier, likely run at a solid pace. Several hold-up types need luck, and those tracking from midfield could be best placed.

Smart Play:

  • Win: Rogue Encore – Peaking at the right time, thrives under today’s conditions, and has the form edge.
  • Each-Way Saver: Run With It – Promising and tactically well drawn; potential for further improvement on the AW.

A clean shape, with several form lines tying in, and the top three selections all offer different tactical profiles, making for a strong betting heat.

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