Pace + Track Suitability

Killarney’s tight, right-handed track favours handy types with efficient jumping. Expected pace looks solid, with prominent racers like Ashdale Flyer, Garde La Peche, and Warm In Gorey likely to push the tempo. Stamina will be tested if the ground rides on the slower side of good.

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Key Contenders:

Pride Of Place (11-12, OR 110)

• Form: 1-UR-2 from last 3; just denied at Kilbeggan last time (RPR 113)
• Positives: Progressive in blinkers; strong stamina; good ground ideal
• Negatives: 8lb rise since win; quirky (previous UR)
• Verdict: Solid favourite. Resilient and proven over trip. Leading contender if jumping holds.

Ashdale Flyer (11-12, OR 110)

• Form: 1st latest at Wexford (33/1 shock)
• Positives: Back to form over fences; travels well; winner over trip
• Negatives: Inconsistent; didn’t beat much last time
• Verdict: Dangerous if backing up Wexford win. Trip and ground suit.

Smallcraftwarning (11-2, OR 100)

• Form: 1-UR-3 from last 3; fences and hurdles form tie in well
• Positives: In-form; good RPRs (113); thrives on good ground
• Negatives: Unseated 2 starts ago; up 4lb for last win
• Verdict: Dangerous improver in both codes. Respected at a price.

Garde La Peche (11-8, OR 106)

• Form: 2-4-7 since chasing switch; consistent
• Positives: Trip suits; down in grade; in-form yard
• Negatives: May lack finishing kick off current mark
• Verdict: Reliable mare with frame claims. Place material.

Warm In Gorey (10-13, OR 97)

• Form: 2-3-2 from last 3; one-paced but genuine
• Positives: Back to 2m4f ideal; ground fine
• Negatives: May find one or two too strong; 6lb higher than best win
• Verdict: Hard trier, ideally placed to go close again.

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Lively Outsiders / Value Plays:

Paul Collins (11-9, OR 107)

• Form: 4-2-5 over hurdles recently; chasing debut
• Verdict: Potential chaser on pedigree, but jumping a big unknown.

Time Marches On (11-9, OR 107)

• Form: 5th last time; fading force?
• Verdict: Inconsistent. Risky despite past promise.

I A Connect (11-6, OR 104)

• Form: Flatters to deceive; 3rd best finish recently
• Verdict: Class edge but inconsistent. Minor money at best.

Sea Road Fill (11-0, OR 98)

• Form: Lightly raced over fences; stamina not assured
• Verdict: Well handicapped but risky proposition.

Hees Dynamite (10-0, OR 84)

• Form: Long-standing maiden; best over hurdles
• Verdict: Needs everything to fall right. Probably outclassed.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Pride Of Place – 4/1
• Ashdale Flyer – 6/1
• Smallcraftwarning – 7/1
• Warm In Gorey – 15/2
• Garde La Peche – 8/1
• Paul Collins – 10/1
• Time Marches On – 12/1
• I A Connect – 16/1
• Sea Road Fill – 20/1
• Hees Dynamite – 25/1

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Smart Play Summary:

• Win Bet: Pride Of Place – Tough, improving chaser who thrives on decent ground and looks capable of defying another rise.
• Each-Way Play: Smallcraftwarning – Solid dual performer, upward curve, attractive RPR profile, and decent value.
• Exotics: Include Garde La Peche and Warm In Gorey for trifectas and combo forecasts.