Conditions: 3yo-only 0–55 rated handicap; penalties for wins post 9 August
Pace Angles: Mixed tempo potential – several mid-div types but potential pace from Dandy Khan, Step Along, and possibly Oldbury Lad
Draw Angles: Ffos Las’ round 7f80y start typically favours low to mid draws in steadily-run races; early pace bias can matter

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Top Contenders

• On A Vespa – Proven
  Recent Chepstow second and placed 4 times in last 5 starts. Very consistent and handles 7f well. Does best when prominent and can grind away if pace isn’t overly hot. Form of Chepstow and Windsor solid for this grade.
• Step Along – Promising
  Strong pace figure at Chepstow and Lingfield suggests upside remains. Solid RPRs in the high 60s put her right in the mix. This 7f+ trip is worth another try. Her best runs have come in more even-paced races.
• Scenario – Progressive
  Took a step forward to win at Lingfield then shaped OK back out quickly at Chepstow. Best runs at 7f and on quick ground. Still unexposed after just 9 starts and looks better suited to a return to prominent tactics.

Main Dangers

• Kingsclere – Promising
  Maiden after 3 runs but bred to be far better than this grade (sister to Kameko). Showed a bit more with sights lowered last time; 7f+ looks within range and can improve now handicapping in weak contest. May be a big mover if backed.
• Oldbury Lad – Resurgent
  Has shown more since stepping into low-grade 6f/7f races; credible 2nd and 3rd at Lingfield and Salisbury, shaped OK latest. Drawn well, and form has a solid floor.

Interesting Outsiders

• Champagnebreakfast – Unexposed
  Likely to improve now handicapping for the first time. Breeding suggests trip suits and pedigree is well above the level. Trainer in form. If she stays, could run a place at odds.
• Dandy Khan – Capable but quirky
  Formerly useful Irish juvenile who had one fair effort at Windsor. Stamina a question and needs everything to fall right, but likely to sit handy from draw 1.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• On A Vespa: 8/10 – Reliable profile, consistent, handles trip/ground well
• Step Along: 8/10 – Solid figures, best form in context, stamina slightly stretched but big player
• Scenario: 7/10 – Lingfield win was tidy, well suited by surface and tempo
• Kingsclere: 7/10 – Big pedigree, early days, could leave prior form behind
• Oldbury Lad: 6/10 – Likeable recent runs, but needs pace to collapse
• Dandy Khan: 6/10 – Minor claims on Irish form, inconsistent in UK
• Champagnebreakfast: 6/10 – Potentially thrown in, hard to weigh
• Spinning Dancer: 4/10 – Looks limited and hard to trust
• Havana’s Dream: 3/10 – No evidence of form, stamina very doubtful

Advisories:
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles

With 9 runners declared, each-way options exist. Two propositions:

• Scenario: Unexposed, ran well on similar going, each-way shout from fair draw
• Kingsclere: If any money comes, she could run well given pedigree-to-rating mismatch

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Private Tissue Estimate

• On A Vespa 3/1
• Step Along 4/1
• Scenario 5/1
• Kingsclere 13/2
• Oldbury Lad 8/1
• Dandy Khan 10/1
• Champagnebreakfast 10/1
• Havana’s Dream 20/1
• Spinning Dancer 25/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start or first run in handicaps.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This looks like a very typical 0–55 mid-season 3yo handicap with a few upwardly mobile types and a group of well-exposed runners. On A Vespa has rock-solid credentials, but Step Along may be just improving enough to edge this if she gets a handy sit. Kingsclere could be the class angle.

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Smart Play

• Win Selection: Step Along – Recent efforts better than they look, figures stack up well
• Each-Way Saver: Scenario – Unexposed, still improving, solid Lingfield win