3:10 Newmarket (July) – JenningsBet Fillies’ Handicap (Class 4, 6f, 3yo+ Fillies & Mares, 0–85)

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Pace Angles:

Angel Shared likely to lead again from draw 3, with Raneenn and Greydreambeliever also happy to force the issue. An even to strong pace looks probable.

Draw Angles:

Historically, the July course over 6f shows a slight centre-to-stands rail advantage in fields under 10. Draw 3 (Angel Shared) and 5 (Raneenn) could be ideal, with extreme low (1) a possible negative if pace doesn’t collapse.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

  • Angel Shared (Proven – 8/10)
    Back to form with an assertive win over C&D last time, up 3lb but retains tactical advantage from draw 3. Versatile ground-wise, and thrives at 6f. Profile suggests she can repeat under similar conditions.
  • Raneenn (Progressive – 8/10)
    Unexposed back in handicaps, classy enough to have contested Listed level. Returned to 6f last time and shaped better than bare result. Haggas yard excels in this race (won 2021, 2022). Has tactical speed and can sit handy.
  • Arabian Leopard (Progressive – 8/10)
    Solid 3yo who showed she handles this trip well at Goodwood. Spencer a notable booking for a likely hold-up ride. Will need pace to collapse but rates as very solid from a steadily progressive profile.

Main Dangers:

  • Miss Show Off (Proven – 7/10)
    C&D form and one win this term, though arguably better at 5f. Vulnerable if not able to settle. Trainer/jockey combo solid, but past 6f efforts hint at possible stamina limitation.
  • Swiss Lightning (Promising – 7/10)
    Lightly raced with one strong effort over 6f last time. Gosden filly should come forward again, but still learning the job. Pedigree leans 7f+, but tactical speed gives her a chance here. Unexposed.

Interesting Outsiders:

  • Greydreambeliever (Unclear – 6/10)
    First-time cheekpieces helped last time, but overall form is erratic and suspect under pressure. Did record a strong RPR of 95 in novice company last season; not totally dismissed.
  • Cuban Lady (Promising – 6/10)
    Lightly raced, one good turf win, but faded quickly last time and possibly not straightforward. May be best caught fresh or dropped in class again.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

  • Angel Shared: 8/10 – Proven at track, distance and going. Draw a plus. Up 3lb but should remain competitive.
  • Raneenn: 8/10 – Classy backform, well-handicapped, and back to ideal trip. Yard targets this race.
  • Arabian Leopard: 8/10 – In form, strong recent efforts at 6f, well-handicapped, strong finisher.
  • Miss Show Off: 7/10 – Reliable, but more effective over 5f; possible stamina doubts at this stiff finish.
  • Swiss Lightning: 7/10 – Unexposed filly with scope; needs to settle better to improve further.
  • Greydreambeliever: 6/10 – Inconsistent, but talented at best. Headgear may help again.
  • Cuban Lady: 6/10 – Still learning; shaped as though 6f tests her stamina at this level.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.


Each-Way Angles (8 runners)

With 8 runners declared, Arabian Leopard looks a potential each-way saver, especially if 6/1+ is available. Solid profile and pace collapse could play to her late strength.


Private Tissue Estimate (Horserace Analyst Tissue)

  • Angel Shared – 7/2
  • Raneenn – 4/1
  • Arabian Leopard – 9/2
  • Miss Show Off – 7/1
  • Swiss Lightning – 15/2
  • Greydreambeliever – 10/1
  • Cuban Lady – 12/1
  • Others – 16/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This looks a tightly knit fillies’ handicap where the standout proven performer is Angel Shared, who made all here last time and could dominate again under similar conditions. Raneenn represents a potent threat down in grade with class backform, while Arabian Leopard offers consistency and closing strength.

Smart Play:

  • Win Bet: Angel Shared – tactically dominant, back at ideal C&D, should be hard to pass.
  • Each-Way Saver: Arabian Leopard – fast closer with strong recent runs, shape could suit.

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