Pace Angles + Draw Angles

This is a valuable fillies’ heritage handicap over 10.5f on good to firm ground. The race features a mix of progressive 3yo improvers and seasoned handicappers. Pace looks even to positive, with likely early contributors including Bint Al Daar, Blessed Star, and Roarin’ Success, while many key players (e.g., Zgharta, Wonder Star) are mid-div or hold-up types. This increases hold-up risk.

Draw Bias: Historically, low to middle draws have held a slight edge at this trip at York on good to firm ground due to the short run to the bend. This favours Brielle (4), Fiver Friday (5), and Callisto Dream (7) over wider-drawn sorts like Zgharta (13) or Ciara Pearl (10).

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments

• Wonder Star – Promising. Shaped strongly in a red-hot Goodwood Class 2, splitting Ashariba and Power of Destiny. Only four runs into her career, bred for this trip, and progressive. Tactical hold-up ride likely again, so luck in running a concern.
• Zgharta – Progressive. 3yo eyecatcher in the Sandringham; bred to stay and shaped as if this trip would suit ideally. Poor break at Goodwood exaggerated her task but she finished off with purpose. Well-handicapped.
• Akecheta – Proven. Veteran Irish mare with a reliable profile at 10f, good recent RPRs, and a well-run race likely to suit her patient style. Up 2lb for a strong-finishing Goodwood fourth. Consistent in deeper fields.
• Power Of Destiny – Unreliable but with hidden merit. Her Goodwood run masked by a pace-unfriendly setup. If able to repeat her winter AW performance (RPR 106), she’d go very close, but tactically dependent and unproven on turf lately.
• Roarin’ Success – Reliable but exposed. Good record at 10f, but usually needs everything to fall right. Likely to race prominently; Buick a notable booking but drawn in 3 which might force her hand tactically.
• Ciara Pearl – Tough and versatile. Career-high mark demands a bit more but capable of going well. Likely racing prominently which may aid her chance if they don’t go hard. Listed winner-beater in past; stamina now proven.
• Cape Flora – Promising. Took a weak Leicester handicap apart with a devastating change of gear. Track record set there, but field fell apart. Marked rise in grade here and needs to handle hustle and a stronger pace, but big scope.
• Callisto Dream – Improving. Career-best in defeat at Ascot; unexposed, travels well. Trip unknown but shaping like it’s within range. Bethell’s 3yo fillies often improve sharply in late summer.
• Fiver Friday – Versatile dual-sphere runner, regressive Flat form this season. Looked in need of ease last few starts, and unlikely to be fully competitive off this mark in this grade.
• Jujubella – On the up in lesser company. In-form yard, stamina confirmed, and weight helps. Jump in class significant, but soft-ground form could translate. Interesting outsider if they go too hard up front.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

• Wonder Star: 9/10 – Trip/track suit; fast finisher. Market check crucial after break.
• Zgharta: 9/10 – Suited by return to 10f; form strong; improving type.
• Akecheta: 8/10 – Honest and stays well; consistent in big fields.
• Power Of Destiny: 7/10 – Fragile profile but big performance possible.
• Roarin’ Success: 7/10 – Competitive but others more progressive.
• Ciara Pearl: 7/10 – Durable, in-form but may find 2 or 3 too good.
• Cape Flora: 7/10 – High potential but this is much tougher.
• Callisto Dream: 6/10 – Unproven at trip/class but on the up.
• Fiver Friday: 4/10 – Flat form going backwards.
• Jujubella: 5/10 – Scopey but huge rise in class.
• Bint Al Daar: 5/10 – On the downgrade; tough ask despite good York run.
• Brielle: 5/10 – Unexposed, low mark but soft prep.
• Blessed Star: 6/10 – Improving maiden, but in deeper here.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.

Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (12 runners):

• Akecheta – Rock-solid profile, strong finisher, handles big fields, and drawn ideally.
• Callisto Dream – Under-the-radar type who may relish stronger pace at this trip.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Wonder Star – 4/1
• Zgharta – 5/1
• Akecheta – 6/1
• Power Of Destiny – 8/1
• Roarin’ Success – 9/1
• Ciara Pearl – 10/1
• Cape Flora – 11/1
• Callisto Dream – 14/1
• Blessed Star – 16/1
• Jujubella – 18/1
• Bint Al Daar – 20/1
• Fiver Friday – 25/1
• Brielle – 33/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This is a classic heritage handicap featuring an intriguing mix of older consistent fillies and unexposed 3yo improvers. Wonder Star and Zgharta represent the progressive elite and arrive with compelling profiles for this scenario. The pace is likely to be honest, which should suit strong travellers and closers, though mid-field traffic remains a danger.

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Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Wonder Star – Handled Goodwood superbly off the break; still scope off current mark.
• Each-Way Saver: Akecheta – Honest closer, peaking again, and thrives in big fields at 10f.