Pace Angles: Moderate pace expected. Platinum Prince, Risen Again, and Alazwar could press or lead, but none are out-and-out front-runners. Likely to be evenly run with some late closers playing a role.
Draw Angles: Low draws (1–4) have historically held a slight edge over this trip at Goodwood in larger fields. No obvious pace bias evident in this group.
Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders
Strongest Contenders:
- Platinum Prince (Proven – 9/10): Veteran with 3 course wins including a Class 5 success here in June. Blinkers have helped him settle and travel better. Well drawn in stall 1, tactically versatile, and retains form. Handles this level and track particularly well. Not a flashy profile, but rock-solid and likes it here.
- Uncle Dick (Proven – 8/10): Won this race last year from a 5lb higher mark. Loves it here, stays the trip strongly, and looks to have been teed up again following a charity win and Class 4 success at Brighton. Hold-up type with a known “go day” profile. Just a slight stamina stretch at this longer trip.
- Alazwar (Capable – 7/10): Back to a feasible mark and has been running in deeper races. Course win in June was solid, and he retains a decent RPR of 62-74 in similar company. Must settle better but well treated if bouncing back.
Main Dangers:
- Risen Again (Promising type, 6/10): Won well at Yarmouth three starts back and may be able to build again now back in Class 5 off same mark as that win. Free-going sort who faded last time when overdoing it in front. Big ask under 11-2 but danger if able to relax and settle early.
- Pride Of Nepal (Proven – 6/10): Consistent at this level and goes well for this amateur jockey. Rarely wins but places regularly, including a runner-up finish behind Platinum Prince here. Ideally wants a strong gallop to chase.
Interesting Outsiders:
- Joycean Way (Unexposed – 6/10): Unlucky in recent runs and steadily improving for the Moores. Remains a maiden, but blinkers have helped and his RPRs are rising (60–70). Handles the ground. Could run into a place late.
- Never Dream (Lightly raced – 5/10): Looked promising when winning over 7f at Goodwood in June. Stamina doubts here, but interesting back on this track off a light weight and with yard in form.
Hold-up Risk Horses:
- Uncle Dick, Joycean Way, Never Dream – all will need luck in running if pace slackens.
- Amal and Huntly Lodge appear outclassed and/or uncompetitive at this level based on past efforts.
Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis
- Platinum Prince: 9/10 – Fully proven at the track and trip. Suited by forecast pace and drawn to advantage.
- Uncle Dick: 8/10 – Strong course record and form signal peaking. Just needs pace and cover.
- Alazwar: 7/10 – Track suits; won here in June. Capable but must settle and recent form mixed.
- Risen Again: 6/10 – Talented at best but temperament/keenness remains a concern.
- Pride Of Nepal: 6/10 – Genuine and consistent but needs things to fall right.
- Joycean Way: 6/10 – Unexposed; place player if things fall right. Needs strong gallop.
- Never Dream: 5/10 – Improving type, may need more time but could be interesting dropped in again.
- Marsh Benham: 4/10 – Poor recent form; best chance on softer ground.
- Huntly Lodge: 3/10 – Very inexperienced and hasn’t shaped like a winner in waiting.
- Amal: 2/10 – No recent promise and form well below required level.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (Field = 11 runners)
Potential Each-Way Propositions:
- Joycean Way – lightly raced improver with solid recent RPRs and unlucky in last two starts. Could hit the frame again.
- Platinum Prince – well-handicapped and proven here, no reason to think he won’t give his running.
Private Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds)
| Horse | Fair Odds |
|---|---|
| Platinum Prince | 7/2 |
| Uncle Dick | 4/1 |
| Alazwar | 6/1 |
| Risen Again | 8/1 |
| Pride Of Nepal | 9/1 |
| Joycean Way | 10/1 |
| Never Dream | 14/1 |
| Marsh Benham | 20/1 |
| Huntly Lodge | 33/1 |
| Amal | 50/1 |
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)
This looks like a good opportunity for Platinum Prince, who is well drawn, arrives in form, and has won at this course and level recently under amateur handling. He should be positioned ideally behind the pace and can pounce late.
Uncle Dick is the defending champion and remains a major player with a “go day” profile for this race – but he’s reliant on pace and positioning. Alazwar and Risen Again are capable if bringing their A-game.
Smart Play:
Win bet: Platinum Prince (Proven, course specialist, solid form)
Each-way saver: Joycean Way (Progressive profile, unlucky in defeat, drawn to stalk pace)
Leave a comment