Pace Angles: No confirmed front-runners. Eternal Blessing and Camtank may adopt pressing roles; most runners are mid-to-late closers. Possibility of a falsely run race.
Draw Angles: At this trip on quick ground, there’s a mild bias to mid-to-low draws. With small field size, no major impact unless race becomes tactical, where draw 1 (Cecilia Star) becomes useful.

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

• Lieutenant Lily (Progressive): Ran very well in a deeper Newbury handicap last time and was an eye-catcher in a Listed trial here before that. Stays the trip, improving, and ideally drawn to sit handy. Has strong credentials off 72 and remains upwardly mobile.
• Eternal Blessing (Promising): Shaped like a stayer last time in a steadily-run Sandown race. This step up in trip looks ideal, and she comes from a yard adept with this type. On pedigree and visual evidence, she’s likely to have more to offer.
• Camtank (Progressive): Lingfield winner on soft with scope to progress over this trip. Her Nottingham disappointment can be excused (carrying a penalty, pace too strong early). Back in calmer waters with tactical speed to sit handy.

Main Dangers:

• Sound Janet (Promising): Three runs to date, finishing with promise, particularly on debut and again at Kempton. Bred to thrive at this trip and now eligible for handicaps. May be better for this run fitness-wise but has latent potential.
• Cecilia Star (Unexposed): Costly filly by Sea The Stars who won on debut at Newcastle and was thrown into a Listed race second time out. Not disgraced in that, though her mark of 78 is based more on potential than substance. Back in calmer waters but may be vulnerable unless she finds extra.

Interesting Outsider:

• Sibling Rivelry (Unexposed): Got up narrowly on her second start in a weak Southwell maiden. This is a big class jump, but she could improve again for the trip on breeding. May struggle unless the race completely falls apart late.

Hold-up Risk:
Sound Janet and Cecilia Star could be compromised if the gallop is very slow.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Lieutenant Lily: 8.5/10 – Proven in strong handicaps, likely to be well positioned, improving.
• Eternal Blessing: 8/10 – Trip a positive, bred for more, potential pace presser.
• Camtank: 7.5/10 – Back in calmer waters, prior win working out, well-handicapped.
• Sound Janet: 7/10 – Potential improver, but slight concern over tactical pace today.
• Cecilia Star: 6.5/10 – Back in class 4 helps, but stiff mark for what she’s done.
• Sibling Rivelry: 5/10 – Exposed on form and may need a slower gallop collapse to get involved.

Advice:
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Market confidence is especially significant for lightly-raced 3yo fillies making handicap debuts.

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Each-Way Angles:

Not applicable. Only 6 runners.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Lieutenant Lily – 11/4
• Eternal Blessing – 3/1
• Camtank – 7/2
• Sound Janet – 5/1
• Cecilia Star – 6/1
• Sibling Rivelry – 12/1

Market watch advised for runners making their handicap debut.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

A small but intriguing field, full of unexposed 3yo fillies at varying stages of development. Tactical pace may decide it, with stamina and positioning likely crucial. Lieutenant Lily stands out as the most solid candidate, well-handicapped off 72 and already proven at a higher level. Eternal Blessing could improve sharply now up in trip, and Camtank looks to rebound in calmer waters.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Lieutenant Lily – progressive profile, stamina assured, drawn well.
• Back-up Bet: Eternal Blessing – breeding and recent run suggest more to come.