Race Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

This is a 0–80 handicap for 3yo+ fillies and mares over a turning mile at Goodwood. With Patsy Snugfit and possibly Noche Clasica expected to go forward, the race should see an even pace. Draw bias is moderate at this trip—low draws (stalls 1–4) tend to offer a tactical edge, particularly when races are steadily run, so Atlantis Blue (2), Champagne On Ice (3), and Bint Mohaather (4) all land ideally.

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Strongest Contenders:

• Atlantis Blue (Proven) – Consistent, lightly raced this year, and arrives in career-best form judged on RPR 85 in a higher-grade C3 handicap here last time. Drop to Class 4 and positive draw make her a major player. Versatile tactically, handles the course well. Well-handicapped on 5279 and 5466 efforts.
• Bint Mohaather (Promising) – A winner on her second start, shaped well on turf debut when not ideally placed and strong late. Up to a mile today which is a logical move given pedigree. With the Channon yard in excellent current form (90% rtf), she’s a major improver. Well drawn and unexposed.

Main Dangers:

• Patsy Snugfit (Progressive) – Dual course winner, both victories achieved by making all. Found out last time up in class/trip, but dangerous if able to dictate. Drawn 1, which enhances that possibility, though she’s now 3lb above her last winning mark.
• Noche Clasica (Promising) – Made a striking impression at Chester, staying on powerfully from a compromised mid-race position. Pedigree (by Night Of Thunder) strongly supports further improvement over a mile. Market support would be significant.

Interesting Outsiders:

• Champagne On Ice (Unproven) – Has run to useful figures in novice company and shaped as if a handicap mile will suit. Trainer is in fair form and she’s been kept fresh for this. Wide scope for improvement, but may find a few sharper rivals today.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Atlantis Blue: 8/10 – Very solid mare, well drawn and consistent at this level.
• Bint Mohaather: 8/10 – Upwardly mobile and bred for the mile; track should suit.
• Patsy Snugfit: 7/10 – Strong front-runner with a good draw; slightly vulnerable in a true-run race.
• Noche Clasica: 7/10 – Dangerous improver; yard and pedigree point to further progress.
• Champagne On Ice: 6/10 – Unexposed, could be suited by this move into handicaps.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (Field of 7 – No Each-Way Angle)

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Atlantis Blue – 3/1
• Bint Mohaather – 7/2
• Patsy Snugfit – 9/2
• Noche Clasica – 5/1
• Champagne On Ice – 7/1
• Others – 10/1+

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This is a compact but competitive fillies’ handicap featuring a strong course specialist, unexposed 3yos, and improving novices. Atlantis Blue brings dependable form and a key drop in class after running to a new peak here last time. However, the improvers — particularly Bint Mohaather — are dangerous.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Atlantis Blue – Form rock solid, course-suited, top rider booked.
• Secondary Win Bet: Bint Mohaather – Big scope to improve; ideal pedigree for the test.