1m1f197y · 3yo+ · Good ground

Pace & Draw Setup

• Pace likely even-to-strong: Asmen Warrior and Wicked have both been ridden forward; Londoner can also press from midfield.
• Low/mid draws (1–4) often favoured over this trip at Goodwood; hold-up horses need luck.
• Stalls: Whathappensinvegas (1) and Expert Witness (3) well berthed if ridden handily.

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Key Contenders

Proven / Solid

• Whathappensinvegas (OR 79, Draw 1) – back in form, convincing winner at Windsor (10f, GF). Travels strongly, likes pace to aim at. Effective at trip, though some runs suggest 1m4f stretches him. Big chance if settling.
• Londoner (OR 87, Draw 6) – inconsistent but better than bare Windsor run latest. Strong runs at Ascot/Lingfield show ability remains. Has been running in deeper races. Still 10lb below peak (100).
• Expert Witness (OR 82, Draw 3) – tough mare, already a 4-time winner. Goes well on quick ground, Windsor win solid. Consistent and well drawn.

Progressive / Unexposed

• Asmen Warrior (OR 85, Draw 7) – only 7 runs, 3yo allowance helps. Honest efforts at York/Newbury, got off the mark at Salisbury. Shapes like 10f ideal. Open to progress but tactically might be forced wide.
• Wicked (OR 85, Draw 2) – expensive, Kingman colt from top yard. Handicap debut win at Sandown reads well, flopped on heavy here (forgive run). Step back to good ground should help. Big unexposed player, well berthed.

Interesting Outsider

• Pink Lily (OR 70, Draw 5) – consistent in lower class, 6 wins (all 10f+). Loves Goodwood (2-time C&D winner), goes well fresh. Light weight and 3lb claim puts her in play if pace collapses.
• Westerton (OR 84, Draw 4) – well handicapped on peak 103 RPR but looks to want further than 10f now. May stay on too late.

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Runner Suitability Scores

• Whathappensinvegas – 8/10: Strong recent form, best draw, trip fine.
• Londoner – 7/10: Class edge if on song, but inconsistent.
• Expert Witness – 7/10: Reliable mare, handles trip/ground, but may lack finishing kick.
• Asmen Warrior – 7/10: Unexposed, but wide stall could leave him posted.
• Wicked – 8.5/10: Profile screams improver, ground right now, drawn to stalk pace.
• Pink Lily – 6.5/10: C&D record, well treated, but needs everything to fall right.
• Westerton – 6/10: Lacks a change of gear at 10f, best chance if it turns into a slog.

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Private Tissue Odds

• Wicked 3/1
• Whathappensinvegas 4/1
• Londoner 6/1
• Expert Witness 13/2
• Asmen Warrior 7/1
• Pink Lily 10/1
• Westerton 14/1

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Summary & Smart Play

This looks a clash between the unexposed Wicked and the in-form Whathappensinvegas, with Londoner the class danger if things drop right. Expert Witness is rock-solid but may be slightly vulnerable to classier types. Pink Lily is the value each-way outsider with course form.

Smart Play:

• Win bet – Wicked (unexposed, ground right, good draw, big pedigree).
• Each-way saver – Pink Lily (C&D winner, light weight, likely to run on into places).