Race shape & draw:
Plenty of pace on here – Marajito, Catch Cunningham, and possibly Rebel Path/ Sensorium all like to be handy. The July course 5f can suit those who travel strongly and challenge late, especially if pace burns up. Draw looks fairly neutral, though low/middle has had a slight edge recently.

---

Strongest Contenders

Tiva (O’Meara/Davies) – Proven/Progressive

• In cracking order this summer, 8 runs already and still holding form.
• Easy winner at Ripon latest, travelling strongly.
• Consistent on fast ground, proven at 5f, and plenty of placed efforts at C4 level.
• Solid mark (79) but races like one still with another win in her.

Catch Cunningham (Herrington/Hogan) – Proven

• Twice a strong finisher over C&D recently, both times behind Rocking Ends/Emperor Spirit.
• Track suits his style when pace is strong; just needs gaps.
• On a workable 70 mark, handles fast ground.
• Reliability questionable, but looks well set for another good effort.

HK Fourteen (Carroll/Watson) – Progressive

• Sprinter really finding his stride this summer, winning at Newbury last time.
• Big, scopey horse thriving since dropped to 5f.
• Up 3lb but lightly raced at trip and more to come.

---

Main Dangers

Rebel Path (Williams/Haines 7lb) – Place Angle

• Turf record mixed, but won nicely at Newmarket in May.
• 7lb claim helps, but recent runs suggest he struggles in stronger-run handicaps.
• Drop back to 5f not certain to suit – more a 6f horse.

Sensorium (Cunha/Egan) – Promising

• York 3rd in a valuable C2 shows raw ability.
• Weakened late here last time at 6f – this sharp 5f test on quick ground could suit.
• Only a 3yo, still open to progress.

Marajito (Easterby/Hardie) – Promising but Raw

• Blistering front-runner, but often overdoes it.
• Easy maiden win two runs back, but folded quickly latest when pressured.
• Could be pace-maker; hard to see her lasting home if challenged early.

---

Interesting Outsiders

Binadham (de Foy/Cosgrave) – Class Dropper

• Exposed in hot company (Group/LR) and well beaten on return to C4 last month.
• Clearly has talent but looks hard to place – probably needs 6f.
• Drop back to 5f on GF may again be too sharp.

Jacquelina (McEntee) – Exposed Mare

• Game veteran, multiple 5f wins, but regressive overall.
• Flashes of form (Nottingham win in July) but poor either side.
• Needs things to fall perfectly.

Muma Myflo (Williams/Ghiani) – Unexposed but Wrong Trip

• Cracksman filly – bred for middle distances, yet dropped to 5f.
• Has shown ability in maidens, but 5f on fast ground looks too sharp.
• Big outsider profile, hard to fancy.

---

Runner Scores (Suitability 10 = perfect fit)

• Tiva – 8/10 (in-form, track/trip fine, consistent filly)
• Catch Cunningham – 8/10 (course proven, closers’ race, but hostage to luck)
• HK Fourteen – 8/10 (progressive sprinter, can step up again)
• Sensorium – 7/10 (scopey 3yo, drop to 5f a possible plus)
• Rebel Path – 6/10 (better at 6f, but class/claim helps)
• Marajito – 6/10 (raw speed, likely burns out)
• Binadham – 5/10 (class edge but wrong trip)
• Jacquelina – 5/10 (well-handicapped at best but regressive)
• Muma Myflo – 3/10 (trip wrong, likely outpaced)

---

Private Tissue (100%)

• Tiva 7/2
• HK Fourteen 4/1
• Catch Cunningham 9/2
• Sensorium 6/1
• Rebel Path 8/1
• Marajito 10/1
• Binadham 14/1
• Jacquelina 20/1
• Muma Myflo 40/1

---

Summary & Smart Play

This sets up for a strong pace collapse, suiting stalkers and closers. Tiva is the solid filly with momentum, while HK Fourteen is still improving and looks a major danger. Catch Cunningham is knocking loudly and well suited to C&D.

Smart Play:

• Win bet – Tiva (solid, reliable 3yo with more to come at C4).
• Each-way saver – Catch Cunningham (C&D runs mark him down as ready to strike if pace plays right).