Pace / Draw Setup:
Plenty of forward-going types here – Double Parked, Waiting All Night, Hale End all like to be handy, with Paladin also able to sit close up. This could generate an even to strong pace, favouring those able to stalk and pounce.
Draw bias at Redcar (8f) tends to favour low to middle stalls when pace is honest. That plays positively for Donna Nook (2), Double Parked (3), Debora’s Dream (4), Waiting All Night (5). High numbers may need luck.

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Strongest Contenders

Double Parked – Proven & Progressive (8/10)

• 3yo, upwardly mobile, 2 wins at Redcar already (C&D specialist).
• Profile screams improver, form reads well (Haydock and Wolverhampton efforts solid in higher tempo races).
• Handles ground and trip, unexposed at this level.
• Well drawn in 3, tactical pace to hold position. Major player.

Paladin – Proven (7.5/10)

• Bounced back LTO here at Redcar with a tough win over 7f.
• Drops back to near-best trip, and trainer in form.
• Up a little in class/weight but not harshly treated.
• Middle draw fine; will race handy. Likely to be right there.

Hale End – Interesting Outsider (7/10)

• Consistent at this sort of level, unlucky in running more than once this summer.
• Runner-up at Pontefract latest, and excuses when behind Paladin here previously.
• Drawn 1 ideal if away cleanly, might get the rail.
• Lacks the raw upside of the 3yo improver but well capable. Place claims.

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Main Dangers

Donna Nook – Promising (7/10)

• 3yo filly, lightly raced, Irish import for O’Meara.
• Won at Dundalk stylishly in December, mixed efforts since.
• Pedigree (Bated Breath) suits this trip. First UK turf run – potentially well handicapped off 82 if settling.
• Drawn 2, Orr booked – dark one if fit and forward.

Waiting All Night – Exposed but Classy (6.5/10)

• Won this race last year off the same mark.
• Recent runs fair, placed in stronger Newmarket races.
• 7lb claimer takes off useful weight; draw 5 fine.
• Consistent, but not much in hand these days. Can run into frame again.

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Less Convincing

Debora’s Dream (6/10) – Capable on best form (Ran to 95+ last autumn), but new yard form patchy, not finishing off races. Draw 4 OK, but looks regressive.

Theme Park (5.5/10) – York form reads well but more miss than hit, mark catches him. Draw 6 neutral, but needs ideal pace collapse.

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Runner Scores

• Double Parked – 8/10 (progressive, loves Redcar, drawn well)
• Paladin – 7.5/10 (tough, local C&D form, stable flying)
• Hale End – 7/10 (solid, consistent, chance if gaps open)
• Donna Nook – 7/10 (potentially well in, but UK debut risk)
• Waiting All Night – 6.5/10 (last year’s winner, needs everything to drop right)
• Debora’s Dream – 6/10 (talent but profile gone backwards)
• Theme Park – 5.5/10 (hard to win with, mark stiff)

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Private Tissue (my odds)

• Double Parked 3/1
• Paladin 7/2
• Donna Nook 9/2
• Hale End 6/1
• Waiting All Night 7/1
• Debora’s Dream 10/1
• Theme Park 12/1

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Summary & Smart Play

Race complexion: Honest pace, favouring stalkers from inside/middle draws. Redcar’s straight suits progressive 3yo Double Parked, who ticks nearly every box. Paladin is tough and consistent, while Donna Nook is the big unknown making her UK turf debut for a shrewd yard.

Smart Play:

• Win bet: Double Parked – progressive, C&D record, right draw.
• Each-way saver: Donna Nook – dangerous 3yo filly, could be very well treated if adapting first time.