Competitive Class 5 sprint with several exposed handicappers taking on progressive types. Pace looks strong: Lord Abama, Invincible Ruby, La Rochette, Balon d’Or all like to be handy, so race should set up well for one finishing off. Draw: historically, middle-to-high not disadvantaged over 6f here, but balance of pace suggests stands’ side (high) might be favoured.

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Strongest Contenders

• Lord Abama (9/10) – Rock-solid 6f handicapper, very consistent in this grade. Thirsk win (Jun) + several good placed runs since. Can make own running or sit handy. Notebook horse, repeatedly described as reliable, and Redcar suits strong travellers. Looks well treated off 74 if things fall right.
• Sugar Baby (8/10) – Veteran but still firing. York Class 4 runs confirm he’s competitive above this grade. Won at Doncaster in July, strong Redcar form (C&D winner, multiple placed). Genuine, and if pace is strong he’ll be finishing well.
• Dandy Dinmont (8/10) – Back to winning ways last time (Thirsk, Class 6) despite previous bleeding issues. Has good course form, well drawn, and if he stays sound he’s a big danger. Needs things to fall right but weighted to win again.
• Balon d’Or (7.5/10) – Well handicapped, ran big races in stronger Chester handicaps. Best recent RPRs in the field (90–94) suggest he’s dangerously well in down to Class 5. If taking to Redcar’s long straight, could dominate.
• Ishe Worth Agamble (7.5/10) – Very consistent 4yo, progressive this summer with 3 wins. Only just denied last time at Ayr off 64, still improving. Needs pace to collapse, but if it does, he’s a major threat.

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Main Dangers

• Alpine Girl (7/10) – New yard has found improvement; Doncaster win + two solid runs since. Versatile trip-wise, but may be stretched if they go too hard early. Drawn low, needs gaps.
• Captain Vallo (7/10) – Ultra-consistent placer, but turf win record poor (1-27). Ran to 82 RPR when close to Lord Abama at Thirsk. Likely to hit frame again without winning.
• Invincible Ruby (6.5/10) – 3yo filly, improving, Catterick win already. Not fully exposed, but latest Hamilton effort poor upped in trip. Back to 6f, still with upside.
• Bayraat (6.5/10) – Veteran who shaped with promise at York and Redcar earlier this season, unlucky in running. If they go too quick, could rattle home late.

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Interesting Outsiders

• La Rochette (5.5/10) – French import, hinted at ability but poor British form so far. Back to Class 5 helps, but only if she sparks suddenly.
• Lord Capulet (5/10) – Lightly raced 3yo with smart pedigree (half-brother to Rosallion). Shown little in handicaps so far, but could yet be better than mark. Risk/reward type.

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Runner Scores

• Lord Abama – 9/10 (proven, consistent, race setup ideal)
• Sugar Baby – 8/10 (Redcar form, strong closer, in form)
• Dandy Dinmont – 8/10 (class drop, recent win, but health a concern)
• Balon d’Or – 7.5/10 (well handicapped, class edge, track ? )
• Ishe Worth Agamble – 7.5/10 (progressive, needs pace collapse)
• Alpine Girl – 7/10 (new yard progress, but low draw tricky)
• Captain Vallo – 7/10 (always thereabouts, hard to win with)
• Invincible Ruby – 6.5/10 (scope but unproven at this level)
• Bayraat – 6.5/10 (late closer, could sneak into frame)
• La Rochette – 5.5/10 (down in class, but little recent promise)
• Lord Capulet – 5/10 (pedigree angle, but so far disappointing)

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Private Tissue (my odds)

• Lord Abama 3/1
• Sugar Baby 5/1
• Dandy Dinmont 6/1
• Balon d’Or 7/1
• Ishe Worth Agamble 7/1
• Alpine Girl 8/1
• Captain Vallo 9/1
• Invincible Ruby 10/1
• Bayraat 12/1
• La Rochette 16/1
• Lord Capulet 20/1

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Summary & Smart Play

This looks a true-run Redcar 6f handicap with pace on both sides. Horses that sit just off the speed or finish strongly could be best suited.

Smart Play:

• Win bet: Lord Abama – ultra-consistent, still well handicapped, pace scenario suits.
• Each-way saver: Sugar Baby – reliable Redcar sprinter, peak form, strong finisher.
• Dangerous floater: Balon d’Or – well handicapped on Chester efforts, drop in grade a big plus.