Conditions + Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

Class 3 handicap over a stiff 5f, suiting those with late speed and/or tactical pace. Ground is good-to-firm, which places emphasis on speed and stamina. Pace looks solid-to-strong, with Brummell, Naana’s Sparkle, and JM Jhingree likely to go forward. Draw bias historically favours low-to-middle numbers on quick ground at Hamilton over this trip; stalls 1–4 are ideally placed.

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Strongest Contenders:

Naana’s Sparkle – Proven

Rated 96 at peak, he’s been campaigned smartly in 3yo sprints and is holding form well. Three wins from six at 5f this season, including a strong success at Goodwood (heavy), then ran to the same mark on fast ground. Tactical versatility suits today’s pace shape, and he’s well drawn in stall 3. Upwardly mobile profile with consistent sectionals and stamina for a stiff 5f. Clear chance.

Brummell – Progressive

Has responded positively to patient handling and is a two-time C&D winner. Career-best RPR (94) last time with a controlled front-running ride. Stall 1 is perfect and has speed to lead or sit handy. Lightly raced for age and remains on the up, but soft finish last time suggests he may be vulnerable to stronger closers if pestered early.

Elegant Erin – Proven

Tough and consistent older mare, multiple C&D winner and specialist on stiff 5f tracks. Doesn’t win often but places frequently. Ran behind Brummell latest, finishing well, and retains form. Well drawn in 2, and although vulnerable to younger legs, she’s well suited by setup. Definite frame chance.

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Main Dangers:

Far Above Dream – Promising

Only seven starts and progressive since moving to James Owen. Won well at Bath, ran creditably behind Bellarchi over 7f, suggesting 5f could be sharp but the stiff finish helps. Likely still ahead of the handicapper off 84, but stall 7 is less than ideal, and drop in trip with headgear retained poses a tactical question.

Lion’s House – Progressive

4yo with three wins from last seven; shaped best at Musselburgh latest, finishing off powerfully. Still unexposed on turf and strong profile over a stiff 5f. Drawn well in 4, and looks to be the one arriving with momentum and hidden upside. Could pick off tiring leaders if pace collapses.

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Interesting Outsiders:

Water Of Leith – Proven

Well-handicapped veteran and multiple Hamilton winner, but inconsistent and often needs race to fall right. Off a winning mark and partnered with a capable 3lb claimer. Needs pace collapse and gaps late, but fit and in-form yard make him hard to dismiss.

JM Jhingree – Regressive

Won in lower grade two runs back but folded tamely up in class and pace pressure has exposed him. Drawn 5 which is fine, but better judged at Class 5 level. May find this too hot.

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Runner Scores and Suitability:

• Naana’s Sparkle: 9/10 – Well drawn, strong form, trip ideal, tactically versatile.
• Brummell: 8/10 – Best when able to dictate, drawn well, but may be pressured.
• Far Above Dream: 7/10 – Potentially ahead of mark, but wide draw and drop in trip questions.
• Elegant Erin: 7/10 – Rock-solid profile, ideal setup, but others better treated.
• Lion’s House: 7/10 – Late closer, improving, could swoop late.
• Water Of Leith: 6/10 – Not the most reliable, but shape of race suits.
• JM Jhingree: 5/10 – Vulnerable to stronger rivals at this level.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (8+ Runners):

With 8 runners, each-way value lies in Elegant Erin (strong C&D record) and Lion’s House, who could be peaking at the right time.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Naana’s Sparkle – 3/1
• Brummell – 9/2
• Far Above Dream – 5/1
• Elegant Erin – 7/1
• Lion’s House – 8/1
• Water Of Leith – 10/1
• JM Jhingree – 14/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

A fast and tactical sprint where stall position and stamina for a stiff finish will be decisive. Naana’s Sparkle brings the most robust, progressive form into this and is well drawn to track and pounce. Brummell and Elegant Erin bring track-specialist credentials but may lack the same upside. Lion’s House is an improver who could surprise late if they go too hard up front.

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Smart Play:

• Win Bet – Naana’s Sparkle (proven, progressive, ideally drawn, tactically flexible)
• Each-Way Saver – Elegant Erin (tough, consistent mare with strong C&D form, drawn to track pace)