Going: Good to Firm | Stalls: Inside | Runners: 5

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Pace & Draw Angles

Small field, little natural pace on show. Prince Hector and Stipulation most likely to press on, while Night Bear often sits handy. Low draw not a major advantage at Yarmouth over 10f, but inside stall (Tilsworth Silver) may still help with position. Likely an even to steady pace, which will favour those close to the lead.

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Runner-by-Runner Analysis

1. Stipulation (OR 60, Draw 4) – 4yo, 9-9

• Form: 5-6663
• Trainer: Mark Loughnane | Jockey: Jack Nicholls (claim)
• RPR 70 last time – his strongest in 2025.
• Ran a clear best for the year when 3rd at Doncaster (10f, GF), shaping as though he’s back on the right track.
• Drops in class here, carries top weight but remains competitive off this mark.
  Score: 8/10 – Proven at trip, ground ideal, stable in form.

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2. Night Bear (OR 57, Draw 2) – 8yo, 9-6

• Form: 520335
• Trainer: Tony Carroll | Jockey: Matthew Lloyd Slater (5lb)
• RPRs hovering in mid-60s earlier in summer, but last run a heavy defeat (beaten 28L).
• Stays this trip, but best days behind him and vulnerable if this turns tactical.
  Score: 5/10 – Solid veteran, but regressive profile.

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3. Myna (OR 49, Draw 5) – 4yo, 8-12

• Form: 6-0708
• Trainer: Tony Carroll | Jockey: Molly Gunn
• Poor turf runs lately, beaten big margins. Hasn’t shown much since 2yo days.
• Looks exposed and not well-treated.
  Score: 3/10 – Needs a career-best, unlikely in this setup.

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4. Prince Hector (OR 48, Draw 3) – 7yo, 8-11

• Form: 615992
• Trainer: Jessica Bedi | Jockey: Poppy Scott (5lb)
• Consistent at Wolverhampton of late, including runner-up last time over 1m6f.
• Drop back to 10f is a concern, but he has tactical pace and could get soft lead.
• Yard rarely has turf winners, but he’s one of few in form.
  Score: 7/10 – In form, but trip on turf a doubt.

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5. Tilsworth Silver (OR 46, Draw 1) – 4yo, 8-9 (long h’cap 8-8)

• Form: -08000
• Trainer: J R Jenkins | Jockey: Oliver Carmichael (7lb)
• Exposed as very limited, big defeats at 6–7f.
• First try at 10f, but no encouragement in profile.
  Score: 2/10 – Hard to recommend, even from basement mark.

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Private Tissue (Fair Odds Estimate)

• Stipulation – 2/1
• Prince Hector – 5/2
• Night Bear – 4/1
• Myna – 10/1
• Tilsworth Silver – 25/1

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Verdict & Smart Play

This is a weak apprentice handicap. Stipulation looks to have found his level again and shaped well last time – clear chance if repeating. Prince Hector has the most consistent recent form but big drop back in trip raises doubts. Night Bear may run into a place if this becomes a stamina test, but he’s not improving.

Smart Play:

• Win bet – Stipulation (looks ready to strike at this grade).
• Each-way saver – Prince Hector (consistent, could control pace if sent forward).