Pace & Draw Setup
- Fairly standard 6f maiden at Naas; no obvious confirmed trailblazer but a few who showed early dash on debut (notably Dawn Romance and You’ll Think Of Me).
- Low-to-middle draws can be favoured on straight track here if pace forms there. Today’s field looks spread, no draw red flags.
- Likely pace: Even to strong, with a few pushing forward.
Strongest Contenders
- Dawn Romance (M D O’Callaghan / Dylan Browne McMonagle) – Progressive. Solid 2nd on both starts, latest only a head down at Cork. Sets the standard on RPR (87) and has the speed for 6f. No reason to think she won’t go close again.
- You’ll Think Of Me (Donnacha O’Brien / Gavin Ryan) – Promising. Well-backed on debut, shaped nicely in 6th over 7f at the Curragh. Pedigree (Kingman x Love Locket) screams quality; drop back to 6f may sharpen her up. Big player with normal progress.
Main Dangers
- Taiyi (Mrs John Harrington / Shane Foley) – Unexposed. Two runs: shaped okay at Naas, then unsuited by stronger race at Curragh. Starspangledbanner filly bred for this trip; could improve plenty for third run.
- Quinta Girl (M D O’Callaghan / Jamie Powell) – Work in progress but kept on from mid-div last time at Curragh. Stable companion to Dawn Romance, suggesting trainer holds a strong hand.
- Pivotal Terms (Joseph Murphy / Gary Carroll) – Nicely bred Pinatubo filly, shaped with promise on debut, worth respecting if money comes.
Outsiders of Note
- Struck By Her (Andrew Slattery) – Not devoid of promise on debut, pedigree (Mehmas) suggests better can come.
- Raven’s Call (Edward Lynam / Chris Hayes) – Raven’s Pass filly, damline suggests later development but yard can pop up with fillies at a price.
Runner Scores (Suitability /10)
- A Daughters Love – 1/10 regressive, well beaten twice.
- Dawn Romance – 9/10 strong form standard, progressive.
- Jungle Bird – 2/10 little shown.
- Kiss Don’t Tell – 3/10 needs more.
- Lilo Pelekai – 2/10 poor debut.
- Pivotal Terms – 6/10 interesting, scope for step up.
- Quinta Girl – 6/10 fair run last time, each-way type.
- Raven’s Call – 5/10 unknown, could sneak minor money.
- Struck By Her – 4/10 small promise.
- Taiyi – 6/10 workable profile, may surprise.
- Xerling – 3/10 weak debut.
- You’ll Think Of Me – 8/10 strong potential improver.
Private Tissue Odds
- Dawn Romance 6/4
- You’ll Think Of Me 5/2
- Taiyi 10/1
- Quinta Girl 10/1
- Pivotal Terms 12/1
- Raven’s Call 14/1
- Others 20/1+
Summary
This maiden revolves around Dawn Romance, who brings the best form and should go close. You’ll Think Of Me is the danger, expected to improve plenty from her debut. Behind them, Taiyi and Quinta Girl look the pick of the rest for minor money or an each-way play if prices hold up.
Smart Play:
- Win bet: Dawn Romance
- Main danger: You’ll Think Of Me
- Each-way saver (if 8+ runners hold up): Quinta Girl
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