2:45 Yarmouth – 7f (7f3y) British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice (C4, 2yo, Bands C/D, Good to Firm, Stalls Centre)

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Pace / Draw Setup:
With ten declared, pace looks to come from Explosion and Up The Agenda, both forward-going types. Draw bias at Yarmouth (straight 7f) is minimal on fast ground, but being handy in centre stalls is often an advantage. Hold-up types risk being marooned if pace steadies mid-race.


Strongest Contenders

  • Explosion (7/4) – Proven form in stronger maiden at Leicester (3rd, RPR 77). Johnston’s often improve for a run and he looks to set the standard. Prominent racing style suits Yarmouth’s straight track. Progressive profile, major player.
  • Startled Lady (2/1) – Zoustar filly, placed in all three runs, including narrow 2nd at Southwell (RPR 84). Slightly unlucky last time at Windsor when close-up in a competitive fillies’ maiden. Brings the best RPR here and looks tough to keep out of frame. Proven, reliable, clear danger.

Main Dangers

  • Up The Agenda (9/2) – Shaped with promise at Haydock and Pontefract despite greenness. RPRs climbing (54 → 62 → 69). Likely more to come stepping back up to 7f on a flat track. Unexposed improver.
  • Outspan (11/2) – Cotai Glory colt, solid debut at Kempton (5th of 10, RPR 66). Should step forward on second run, trainer’s juveniles usually improve for experience. Interesting type if handling turf.

Others of Note

  • Rosa Inglesa (8/1) – Lope Y Fernandez filly making debut; yard’s 2yo strike-rate decent here. Market will guide. Promising on paper.
  • Heart Sign / Colori Forever – Both newcomers with smart pedigrees, but stable debutants often need the run. Market check essential.
  • El Carrusel, Dee’s Honey, Girls Allowed – Exposed and modest so far; look set for supporting roles only.

Runner Ratings (Suitability out of 10)

  • Startled Lady – 8.5/10 (solid placed form, best RPR, straightforward)
  • Explosion – 8/10 (sets clear standard, front-runner, should improve)
  • Up The Agenda – 7.5/10 (progressive profile, scope to improve again)
  • Outspan – 7/10 (decent debut, can step forward)
  • Rosa Inglesa – 6.5/10 (well-bred newcomer, market important)
  • Heart Sign – 6/10 (pedigree appealing, trainer not always sharp on debut)
  • Colori Forever – 5.5/10 (needs experience, likely educational run)
  • El Carrusel – 4.5/10 (modest so far, exposed)
  • Dee’s Honey – 4/10 (low-key profile, likely outclassed)
  • Girls Allowed – 3.5/10 (well beaten in two runs, hard to fancy)

Each-Way Angles

With 10 runners, three places available. Outspan (11/2) and Up The Agenda (9/2) both look solid each-way options against the front two, especially if market drifts make them 6/1+.


Private Tissue (My Odds)

  • Startled Lady – 2/1
  • Explosion – 9/4
  • Up The Agenda – 4/1
  • Outspan – 5/1
  • Rosa Inglesa – 8/1
  • Heart Sign – 12/1
  • Colori Forever – 14/1
  • El Carrusel – 25/1
  • Dee’s Honey – 28/1
  • Girls Allowed – 33/1

Summary + Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

This looks between Startled Lady and Explosion, both with strong placed form in maidens above this level. The former just edges it with the best RPR and most consistent profile. The improving Up The Agenda is the solid alternative and could still progress past them. Outspan appeals most of the rest for each-way support.

Smart Play:

  • Win Bet: Startled Lady (2/1+)
  • Each-Way Saver: Up The Agenda (4/1–5/1)

Market check crucial for Rosa Inglesa, who could shake things up if backed.

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