2:50 Deauville – Prix Morny (Group 1, 6f, 2yo, straight course, turf, Good to Soft)

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Pace / Draw Angles:
Deauville’s straight six can favour those with tactical speed; pace looks shared here with Outfielder (US speed influence) likely to go forward, Coppull handy, and Wise Approach not far away. Venetian Sun and Gstaad both typically stalk and pounce. No strong draw bias historically on this strip but inside middle is often a comfort zone.


Strongest Contenders

  • Gstaad (A P O’Brien / Ryan Moore)Progressive & Proven: Looked a top colt when storming clear in the Coventry at Ascot. Strong traveller, hits the line well, handles ease in the ground. Straight six is ideal. Sets the standard on form and profile.
  • Venetian Sun (K R Burke / Clifford Lee)Progressive filly: Unbeaten, including G2 Duchess of Cambridge at Newmarket. Shows determination and gears, but hasn’t yet beaten the colts. Pedigree suggests cut won’t be an issue. A major danger if coping with the step up in opposition.
  • Wise Approach (Appleby / Buick)Progressive: Ascot Norfolk runner-up and wide-margin Listed winner since. Strong colt, improving with racing. Trainer has a superb record in this race (e.g. Pinatubo, Earthlight). Ground and trip both in favour.

Main Dangers

  • Coppull (Clive Cox / David Probert)Proven: Coventry third and Goodwood Richmond winner; gutsy, straightforward, and improving. Has already mixed it with Gstaad. Perhaps lacks the same top gear but very solid.
  • Outfielder (Wesley Ward)Promising: Blazed home in a 5f maiden in the US. Pure raw pace but faces sterner test on softer turf and at 6f; vulnerable late.
  • Imperial Me Cen (H-F Devin)Exposed: Consistent French runner but held at G2 level. Looks below what’s required here.

Runner Scores /10

  • Gstaad – 9.5/10 – Coventry winner, major player, likely best colt here.
  • Venetian Sun – 9/10 – Classy unbeaten filly, must prove against colts but has gears.
  • Wise Approach – 8.5/10 – Improving fast, Listed win impressive, top trainer in this race.
  • Coppull – 8/10 – Rock-solid, honest, has form with main rivals but maybe just below.
  • Outfielder – 6.5/10 – Fast US raider, but doubts on ground/trip.
  • Imperial Me Cen – 5/10 – Likeable but looks shy of G1 class.

Private Tissue (my odds)

  • Gstaad 7/4
  • Venetian Sun 11/4
  • Wise Approach 3/1
  • Coppull 6/1
  • Outfielder 12/1
  • Imperial Me Cen 25/1

Summary

A proper Morny with depth. Gstaad brings the standout Coventry form and looks the one to beat if reproducing that level. Venetian Sun is unbeaten and full of class but needs to match the colts. Wise Approach is improving rapidly and could spring a surprise. Coppull is tough and honest but may find one or two too sharp.

Smart Play

  • Win Bet: Gstaad – Strongest form, ticks all boxes for trip/ground.
  • Each-way Saver: Wise Approach – Still improving, could easily find another step forward.

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