Race Shape & Draw:
Goodwood’s 6f can be draw-sensitive, with low to middle often favoured unless pace collapses high. Here, pace looks strong with Get It and Intervention likely to go forward; Jakajaro and Flash Harry can stalk, while Alaskan Gold and Purest Time are more waiting types. Expect an even to strong gallop, which should give closers a fair chance if gaps open.
Strongest Contenders
- Flash Harry (Clive Cox, OR 95, RPR 110) – Progressive 3yo, still unexposed, solid Ascot 3rd in a hot handicap last time, giving weight. Has won and placed over 6f, travels smoothly, and looks tailor-made for Goodwood’s demands. “Promising.”
- Jakajaro (Robert Cowell, OR 97, RPR 111) – Consistent Group-3 type handicapper, excellent 3rd in Stewards’ Cup (big field C&D form is gold). Handles fast ground, high cruising speed. Proven.
- Get It (George Baker, OR 104, RPR 110) – Listed-class ability, won Wokingham consolation in June, flopped in Stewards’ Cup (too much early use). Well drawn, pace angle, but needs to avoid a duel. Proven but risky.
Main Dangers
- Intervention (Michael Appleby, OR 88, RPR 108) – In flying form, wins at Ripon & Wolverhampton, thriving for yard. Big class rise but well handicapped relative to current form. “Hot horse.”
- Purest Time (Ian Williams, OR 87, RPR 110) – Strong 2nd at Newcastle latest, hinted at revival. Well treated, but turf record patchy; could sneak into frame if replicating AW form.
Interesting Outsider
- Alaskan Gold (Robert Cowell, OR 89, RPR 110) – Has smart back form, recently 3rd at Hamilton (5f). Strong traveller, but stamina for 6f at full tilt questionable. One for place markets at a price.
Runner Scores (Suitability /10)
- Flash Harry – 9/10 (progressive, unexposed, right profile for race)
- Jakajaro – 8.5/10 (big-field handicap form, strong credentials)
- Get It – 7.5/10 (talented, but high mark and pace risk)
- Intervention – 7.5/10 (in-form, but taking big class leap)
- Purest Time – 6.5/10 (revival possible, but unreliable turf)
- Alaskan Gold – 6/10 (not fully convincing over 6f, but capable on day)
Private Tissue (Fair Odds Estimate)
- Flash Harry 3/1
- Jakajaro 7/2
- Get It 5/1
- Intervention 6/1
- Purest Time 12/1
- Alaskan Gold 14/1
Summary
A progressive 3yo vs battle-hardened handicapper type of race. Pace is set to be strong, suiting stalkers. Flash Harry appeals most with his untapped improvement and Ascot form looking rock-solid. Jakajaro is the solid danger with proven Goodwood big-field form. Get It could rebound if controlling pace, while Intervention is the in-form dark horse stepping up.
Smart Play:
- Win bet – Flash Harry (progressive profile, unexposed 3yo at right trip).
- Each-way saver – Jakajaro (track form, reliable and classy handicapper).
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