3:45 Beverley – 7½f IRE-Incentive EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (C4, 2yo, Good to Firm, 14 runners)

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Race Setup & Angles

  • Trip/Track: 7f96y is a stiff enough test at Beverley, uphill finish puts emphasis on stamina.
  • Pace shape: No obvious front-runner; likely to be steady→even gallop. Could turn tactical, favouring those with a handy sit.
  • Draw: Middle-to-low often best here over 7½f. High draws can be posted wide on the first bend.

Strongest Contenders

Ten Sixty Six (David O’Meara, draw 5) – Proven / Progressive

  • 2nd of 9 at Musselburgh (7f) last time, only beaten ½L. RPR 79 tops this field.
  • Pedigree (Ten Sovereigns × Medicean mare) screams 7f–1m.
  • Nicely berthed in 5 to track pace. Sets the standard.

Lady Hornblower (Jedd O’Keeffe, draw 7) – Progressive

  • Solid 2nd at Carlisle behind a clear winner; RPR 67 gives her a strong profile here.
  • Bated Breath filly who shaped as though this longer trip will suit.
  • Yard also runs debutante Fuzeyya (possible pacemaker angle).

Fairydale (Tim Easterby, draw 10) – Interesting Outsider

  • Ripon run best ignored (badly outpaced in stronger race).
  • Previous Carlisle 4th (beaten 4¼L) reads well. RPR 71 gives her place claims if bouncing back.

Main Dangers

Miss Potomac (Kevin Ryan, draw 9)

  • AW run at Southwell a touch better than it looks, bred to improve for turf and trip.
  • Jockey booking (Kevin Stott) notable for this yard in a Beverley maiden.

Truly Special (David O’Meara, draw 12)

  • Two quiet starts but shaping as if 7f+ will bring progress. Market move would be telling.

Others

  • Danrana – Improved on 2nd run, handles cut, but draw 14 very tough to overcome.
  • Evergreen Emerald / Due To Shine / Lilac Dandy – Exposed, limited promise so far.
  • Fuzeyya, Myrrh, Kipepeo – Debutantes, yard form will be the guide, but none look obvious “go day” types.

Runner Ratings (suitability out of 10)

  • Ten Sixty Six – 9/10 (clear form pick, well drawn)
  • Lady Hornblower – 8/10 (solid form, progressing)
  • Fairydale – 7/10 (forgive last run, place chance)
  • Miss Potomac – 6/10 (likely improver at this trip)
  • Truly Special – 6/10 (dark horse if stepping forward)
  • Danrana – 5/10 (needs big luck from wide stall)
  • Evergreen Emerald – 4/10
  • Due To Shine – 3/10
  • Lilac Dandy – 3/10
  • Others (debutantes) – ?/10, market best guide.

Private Tissue (Guide Odds)

  • Ten Sixty Six 6/4
  • Lady Hornblower 3/1
  • Fairydale 8/1
  • Miss Potomac 10/1
  • Truly Special 12/1
  • Danrana 14/1
  • Others 20/1+

Summary & Smart Play

This looks a straight duel between Ten Sixty Six (form horse, right draw, yard in form) and Lady Hornblower (progressive, likely to improve again). Fairydale is the one lurking with potential to outrun odds if forgiven Ripon.

Smart Play:

  • Win bet – Ten Sixty Six (proven form, sets clear standard)
  • Each-way saver – Fairydale (back to calmer waters, stronger stamina influence).

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