Pace & Draw

Beverley’s 1m4f trip (round course) can be tactical, often favouring those ridden handy. Dr Rio and Princess Niyla are natural pace pressers, while Twilight Moon and Percy’s Daydream are more likely to be held up/mid-div. Draw is not a major factor at this trip, though inside stalls can help a front-runner control the pace.

Expect an even-to-strong pace with Dr Rio and Princess Niyla going forward, which should give the closers a fair crack.

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Strongest Contenders

• Twilight Moon (Marcus Tregoning) – Progressive 3yo filly chasing a hat-trick after back-to-back wins at Salisbury and Leicester over this trip. Still on the upgrade, though up to a career-high mark. The small-field wins are a slight concern in this bigger line-up, but she travels strongly and is in peak form. Proven.
• Percy’s Daydream (David O’Meara) – Another lightly-raced filly who has improved with each start; gritty win last time at Leicester over today’s trip. Up 5lb but clearly progressive. Has to prove she can repeat it in a deeper field but remains unexposed. Promising.
• Dr Rio (Declan Carroll) – Multiple Beverley winner including C&D; last two runs below par but ground/trip/course are spot on. Dangerous if bouncing back on favoured track. Proven.

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Main Dangers

• Saratoga Gold (Kevin Frost) – Back on track at Newbury (3rd in visor) after a break; not the most consistent but has winning C&D form (2022). Dangerous if building on latest.
• Kokinelli (Hugo Palmer) – Maiden but knocking on the door; narrow 2nd at Chester in July. Stays well and could sneak into the frame if pace collapses.
• Flickering Halo (Tim Easterby) – Capable of better than his AW flop last week; Thirsk 2nd over C&D puts him in the picture. Risky but not without chance.

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Interesting Outsider

• Princess Niyla (Alan Brown) – Tough mare, ran well twice this month including a close 2nd at Redcar yesterday. Very game, but might find a couple too strong up in class.

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Runner Scores (suitability /10)

• Twilight Moon – 8.5/10 (progressive, fit, but new mark asks a question)
• Percy’s Daydream – 8/10 (unexposed, still improving, but tougher race)
• Dr Rio – 8/10 (track specialist, danger to all if bouncing back)
• Saratoga Gold – 7/10 (revival possible, but consistency an issue)
• Kokinelli – 6.5/10 (solid each-way, but still a maiden)
• Flickering Halo – 6/10 (one good run, others poor; risky)
• Princess Niyla – 6/10 (game mare, but may be outclassed)

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Private Tissue (fair odds)

• Twilight Moon 3/1
• Percy’s Daydream 7/2
• Dr Rio 9/2
• Saratoga Gold 11/2
• Kokinelli 7/1
• Flickering Halo 10/1
• Princess Niyla 12/1

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Each-Way Angles

With 7 runners no EW 1/5 odds 3 places, so value is in win-only. Kokinelli the most appealing at bigger odds for place markets.

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Summary

This sets up as a clash between the two progressive 3yo fillies and the battle-hardened Beverley specialist Dr Rio. Twilight Moon is the likeliest improver, but Percy’s Daydream is still on the up. Dr Rio is the wildcard, as he loves this track and may capitalise if the fillies find their new marks too much.

Smart Play:

• Win bet – Twilight Moon (in-form, progressive, ideal trip/ground)
• Saver – Dr Rio (track specialist, dangerous at Beverley)