Pace & Draw Angles
- Expected honest pace: Partisan Hero (front-runner) and Aurora Majesty (goes forward) likely to ensure a good tempo.
- Crimson Spirit and Bell Shot are typically midfield closers, while The Fingal Raven and Competizione can sit handy.
- Low-to-middle draws historically suit over Epsom’s sharp 7f; stalls 1–4 look handier today (advantage Bell Shot, Society Man, The Fingal Raven).
Leading Contenders
Proven / Progressive / Promising Profiles
- Crimson Spirit (Proven & Progressive) – 2-4 at Epsom, recent close second at Musselburgh, thriving on fast ground. Handles the track well and only up 1lb. Very solid credentials.
- Aurora Majesty (Promising) – Improving 3yo, C&D winner last month, ran a cracker when 3rd in a strong Goodwood handicap. Up just 1lb and back in calmer waters; likely to be well backed.
- Bell Shot (Progressive) – Dominant Beverley winner 12 days ago (up 7lb), travelling like a horse still ahead of the assessor. Strong at the trip, well drawn, but this is a step up in depth.
- Partisan Hero (Proven) – C&D winner in June, solid Galway effort latest. Reliable front-runner who could dictate if breaking well. Still well handicapped on best.
Main Dangers & Interesting Outsiders
- Competizione (Promising, unexposed 3yo) – Windsor novice winner (1m, GF) but outclassed in big-field Ascot handicaps. Now back to Class 3 and drops to 7f; could rebound with Murphy up.
- The Fingal Raven (Solid but exposed) – Useful in Meydan, placed at Sandown, but win record (1-10) tempers enthusiasm. Place chances only.
- Native American (Class-dropper, risky) – Smart in Qatar/UAE but flopped at York on return; cheekpieces back on. Needs revival.
- Fifty Nifty (Regressive) – Looked smart early in season but has lost his way; headgear a last resort.
- Society Man (Unreliable) – French mud winner but bled last time, poor reappearance. Hard to trust.
Runner Ratings (Suitability /10)
- Crimson Spirit – 9/10 – Track form, current consistency, right weight swing.
- Aurora Majesty – 8.5/10 – Improving 3yo, unexposed, proven C&D.
- Bell Shot – 8.5/10 – Flying form, but 7lb hike into tougher race.
- Partisan Hero – 8/10 – Solid front-runner, suited by grade drop.
- Competizione – 7/10 – Scopey 3yo, needs to prove at 7f.
- The Fingal Raven – 6.5/10 – Consistent, but weak finisher.
- Native American – 6/10 – Risky after poor York run.
- Fifty Nifty – 5/10 – Fallen from early promise.
- Society Man – 4/10 – Hard to support given latest.
Private Tissue (fair odds)
- Crimson Spirit 3/1
- Aurora Majesty 7/2
- Bell Shot 9/2
- Partisan Hero 6/1
- Competizione 8/1
- The Fingal Raven 10/1
- Native American 12/1
- Fifty Nifty 20/1
- Society Man 33/1
Summary
A strong handicap where the progressive 3yos (Aurora Majesty, Competizione) meet solid 4yo handicappers (Crimson Spirit, Partisan Hero, Bell Shot). Pace looks genuine, suiting stalkers. Epsom C&D specialists usually hold sway here.
Smart Play
- Win Bet: Crimson Spirit – rock-solid Epsom performer, consistent, and well placed off 90.
- Each-Way Saver: Aurora Majesty – unexposed 3yo with further upside, still ahead of his mark.
- Danger: Bell Shot – flying form but needs to prove it at this higher level.
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