3:20 Epsom – Betfred Nifty 50 Amateurs’ Derby Handicap (Class 4, 1m4f, Good, 4yo+, 0–85)

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Pace / Draw:

  • Likely strong pace: Gordon Grey is a habitual front-runner and usually goes forward. Beauld As Brass can also press on when breaking on terms.
  • Stalls are centre: Epsom 12f isn’t hugely draw-sensitive, but prominent racers drawn low/middle often gain first run.

Strongest Contenders

Gordon Grey – Proven / Progressive

  • 2 wins over C&D (Ladies’ Derby ’24 & ’25), including a demolition job this summer.
  • Comes here in peak form after a Newbury win; 4lb rise very manageable.
  • Sets the pace, relishes Epsom’s undulations, and looks the one they must pass.
  • Cheekpieces added, possibly to sharpen concentration.
    Big positive: 3-4 record in amateur events, clear target horse.

Warning Sign – Promising / Progressive

  • Arrives on a roll with back-to-back Sandown wins (1m/1m2f).
  • 8lb higher but still unexposed at this trip; ran 2nd in this race last year.
  • Strong finisher, though may need pace to collapse late.
    Danger if stamina fully lasts.

Vaynor – Well Handicapped / Threat

  • Two years without a win but shaped well when 2nd in similar Haydock amateur race over 1m6f.
  • Back to 1m4f should be fine; mark of 71 workable.
  • Reliable hold-up type but often finds one too good.

Beauld As Brass – Hit & Miss but Dangerous

  • Five wins already this year (10f–14f).
  • Epsom flop in June but bounced back with a Haydock win before another heavy defeat at Goodwood.
  • Tongue-tie tried, P. Mullins booked (big booking for an amateur race).
  • If he breaks cleanly, he’s well capable of winning off 86.

Others

  • Fast Steps – Honest but exposed, usually places rather than wins. Hard to see him reversing form with Gordon Grey.
  • Big Bear Hug – Needs soft ground, Epsom form patchy. Opposable on today’s surface.
  • Way Of Life – Stronger on AW, turf record poor (1-20). Looks vulnerable.
  • Sanitiser – Out of form, needs headgear miracle.

Runner Ratings (Suitability out of 10)

  • Gordon Grey – 9.5/10 (ideal setup, strong C&D record, peak form)
  • Warning Sign – 8/10 (progressive, danger if stamina holds)
  • Vaynor – 7.5/10 (threat at weights, but place claims stronger than win)
  • Beauld As Brass – 7/10 (classy but risky, needs to bounce back)
  • Fast Steps – 6/10 (reliable but not improving, minor money chance only)
  • Big Bear Hug – 5/10 (ground not ideal, weighted about right)
  • Way Of Life – 4/10 (better on AW, turf form too weak)
  • Sanitiser – 3/10 (well below form, hard to fancy)

Private Tissue Odds (Raceform Data Estimate)

  • Gordon Grey 2/1
  • Warning Sign 3/1
  • Vaynor 5/1
  • Beauld As Brass 6/1
  • Fast Steps 10/1
  • Big Bear Hug 14/1
  • Way Of Life 20/1
  • Sanitiser 33/1

Summary

This looks set up for Gordon Grey, who loves Epsom, thrives in amateur events, and comes here on a hat-trick. He should get the lead and prove hard to peg back. Warning Sign is the chief danger, especially if stamina holds, while Vaynor appeals as the solid each-way alternative after his Haydock second. Beauld As Brass is a wild card – either wins or blows out.

Smart Play:

  • Win Bet – Gordon Grey (C&D specialist, peak form)
  • Each-Way Saver – Vaynor (dangerous mark, consistent in this grade)

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