Pace/Draw Setup:
Ripon’s mile can favour a handy position if the field doesn’t go overly hard. With Garden Oasis a likely front-runner and Capital Guarantee/Barley sitting just behind, we should get an even pace. Stalls 1–4 often enjoy a slight edge here, especially if breaking well.

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Strongest Contenders

Capital Guarantee – Proven / Progressive

• 3 wins this season, most recently over C&D nine days ago.
• That win rated better than bare result (delayed run, still strong late).
• Still well treated off 2lb higher, adaptable tactically.

Leadenhall – Progressive / Promising

• Winner at Haydock 15 days ago, form solid.
• Yard has a great record here, 2lb rise fair.
• Draw 3 a positive, consistent profile this season.

Silent Age – Progressive but Question Mark on Trip

• Won twice at 1m2f, close third at Windsor last time.
• Back to 1m, pedigree suggests it’s workable, but not proven.
• Needs a truly run race to feature.

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Main Dangers

Barley – Exposed / Solid placer

• Pushed Capital Guarantee close LTO, now 1lb better off.
• Doesn’t win often, but consistent at this level.
• Draw 1 ideal, could get a dream stalking trip.

Ey Up Its The Boss – Proven / Reliable locally

• Four-time Ripon winner, in form with Chester 2nd.
• But better at 1m2f and on softer ground. Trip may catch him.

Garden Oasis – Veteran / Front-runner

• Seven-time C&D winner, including this race in 2021.
• Still capable, but recent form says others are stronger finishers now.

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Outsider to Note

Isla Kai – Notebook Horse / Wildcard

• Won this race in 2023 from a similar mark.
• Absent 702 days – very hard to win off such a layoff.
• Class and course record respected, but likely to need the run.

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Suitability Scores (out of 10)

• Capital Guarantee – 9/10 (ideal set-up, progressive, recent C&D form)
• Leadenhall – 8.5/10 (in form, well drawn, still improving)
• Silent Age – 7.5/10 (trip query, otherwise solid)
• Barley – 7/10 (consistent, but unreliable finisher)
• Ey Up Its The Boss – 6.5/10 (trip/ground not optimal)
• Garden Oasis – 6/10 (likely to give his running, but vulnerable late)
• Rogue Encore – 6/10 (better on AW, turf mark stiff enough)
• Isla Kai – 5/10 (dangerous at best, but huge layoff)

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Private Tissue (My Odds)

• Capital Guarantee 5/2
• Leadenhall 7/2
• Silent Age 5/1
• Barley 7/1
• Ey Up Its The Boss 10/1
• Garden Oasis 12/1
• Rogue Encore 14/1
• Isla Kai 20/1

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Summary

A competitive Rowels, but it sets up for something stalking the pace. Capital Guarantee looks like he’s on a “go day” again—unlucky not to win more decisively last time, still well in. Leadenhall is the main danger, especially if he steps forward again from Haydock. Silent Age and Barley are solid place types, while Garden Oasis will try to dictate but looks vulnerable late.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Capital Guarantee – strongest C&D profile and still progressive.
• Saver/Each-Way: Leadenhall – consistent improver, drawn to get the right run.