Pace/Drawing Angle:
Downpatrick is a sharp right-handed track where prominent racers often hold an advantage, especially over fences at this trip. Expect Lakefield Flyer, Macinamillion and possibly Willywampus to be handy. Hold-up horses like Look Dont Touch may struggle to get involved if pace is only even.
Strongest Contenders
- Portarlington (Proven/Progressive) – Back at the scene of his hurdle win, now with a visor instead of cheekpieces. His prior chase win and strong track record put him right in the mix.
- Woodstream Lad (Well Handicapped/Interesting Outsider) – Not yet proven over fences (0-4), but back on the same mark as his easy hurdles win here last month. A big danger if he finally translates that form to fences.
- Lakefield Flyer (Proven) – Game C&D winner in July, beating Wajaaha. A poor run last time but still looks dangerous at this level.
Main Dangers
- Macinamillion (Promising) – Yet to win a chase but cheekpieces tried for the first time; that fourth at Tipperary puts him in the mix if he repeats it.
- Willywampus (Exposed but capable) – On his last winning mark, and had a chance before unseating at Tramore. Needs to cut out mistakes but not dismissed.
- Wajaaha (Exposed but genuine) – Pushed Lakefield Flyer close here in July, though more of a place threat now at 10yo.
Less Persuasive Profiles
- Presenting Lad – Multiple wins in the past but badly out of sorts this season.
- Look Dont Touch – Consistent in low-level hurdles but unconvincing in chases.
- Metamorpheus – Not bred for fences; Galway hurdle fifth showed ability but unproven in this sphere.
Runner Scores (Suitability /10)
- Portarlington – 8/10 (track form, visor angle, back to fences)
- Woodstream Lad – 8/10 (well handicapped if jumping holds up)
- Lakefield Flyer – 7/10 (proven C&D winner, slight worry after last run)
- Macinamillion – 6.5/10 (cheekpieces could help; inconsistent)
- Willywampus – 6/10 (dangerous on best form but jumping a risk)
- Wajaaha – 6/10 (honest, but peak efforts behind him)
- Metamorpheus – 5/10 (unexposed chaser, more a watching brief)
- Look Dont Touch – 4/10 (hard to fancy in this grade)
- Presenting Lad – 3/10 (out of form)
Each-Way Angles
With 9 runners and competitive odds, Woodstream Lad makes the strongest each-way case. Handicapped to strike if jumping holds up.
Private Tissue (my fair odds)
- Portarlington 3/1
- Woodstream Lad 7/2
- Lakefield Flyer 9/2
- Macinamillion 11/2
- Willywampus 7/1
- Wajaaha 8/1
- Metamorpheus 10/1
- Look Dont Touch 14/1
- Presenting Lad 20/1
Summary & Smart Play
This looks trappy, but the sharp track and proven course form should count heavily.
Smart Play:
- Win Bet – Portarlington (back at Downpatrick, visor could sharpen him)
- Each-Way Saver – Woodstream Lad (well handicapped, C&D hurdles win shows ability)
Lakefield Flyer is respected but looks priced about right; Macinamillion the joker in the pack with cheekpieces applied.
Leave a comment